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Short Trade on MERL

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Short Trade on MERL 17 Jan 2026 at 20:10:02

Take profit at 0.2063 (4 %) and Stop Loss at 0.2192 (2 %)

Short Trade on MERL

The 17 Jan 2026 at 20:10:02

With 1867.3858 MERL at 0.2149$ per unit.

Position size of 401.3012 $

Take profit at 0.2063 (4 %) and Stop Loss at 0.2192 (2 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 80
ML Pullback Score: 8
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.87
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.48
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.63
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_high_confirmed
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.063893

15m : 0.08415

1H : -0.019545

 0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.62
  4. atr: 0.002856042577
Details
  1. score: 1.62
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 0.207392
  4. ema21 : 0.220051
  5. ema50 : 0.234306
  6. ema100 : 0.241062
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.0361992
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0575264
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0608415
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.10853
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -1.24624
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.941788
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.52533
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.285986
  17. rsi : 0.417746
  18. adx : 0.479844
  19. kc_percentage : 0.375801
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.159986
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.596469
  22. volume_ema1 : 224091.18605686
  23. volume_ema2 : 140366.70103246
  24. chop : 10.2939
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 0.201559
  28. ema21 : 0.200185
  29. ema50 : 0.210566
  30. ema100 : 0.223993
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0661854
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00686326
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0492997
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0405977
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.32139
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.107637
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.303483
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.26186
  41. rsi : 0.672014
  42. adx : 0.554124
  43. kc_percentage : 1.1825
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.101745
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.157838
  46. volume_ema1 : 61389.540918668
  47. volume_ema2 : 72895.206800164
  48. chop : 38.748
  49. regime : bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 0.207202
  52. ema21 : 0.201128
  53. ema50 : 0.198326
  54. ema100 : 0.203093
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.0371497
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0302017
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.014126
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.0581344
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.711363
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.418413
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.156069
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.0071074
  65. rsi : 0.876922
  66. adx : 0.37755
  67. kc_percentage : 1.62205
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0558043
  69. volume_ema_diff : 0.198843
  70. volume_ema1 : 28983.854256338
  71. volume_ema2 : 24176.51612589
  72. chop : 7.70474
  73. regime : bull_high_confirmed
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    95193.4
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00305582
  78. 5m_price: 
    94902.6
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.063893
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    95268.9
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00384533
  83. 15m_price: 
    94902.6
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.08415
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    95534.4
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0066137
  88. 1H_price: 
    94902.6
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.019545
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 01:00:00
                    [1] => 0.2681
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 04:00:00
                    [1] => 0.2409
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 08:00:00
                    [1] => 0.2591
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 11:00:00
                    [1] => 0.2435
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 20:00:00
                    [1] => 0.2567
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 04:00:00
                    [1] => 0.2489
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 12:00:00
                    [1] => 0.2658
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 16:00:00
                    [1] => 0.2524
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 15:00:00
                    [1] => 0.1842
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 20:00:00
                    [1] => 0.2161
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.1286441462286
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 14.820846905537
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 17.318132464712
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 1
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 20:30:00
                    [1] => 0.2529
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 22:45:00
                    [1] => 0.2556
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 01:15:00
                    [1] => 0.245
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 03:00:00
                    [1] => 0.2503
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 09:15:00
                    [1] => 0.2327
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 09:45:00
                    [1] => 0.2377
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 15:15:00
                    [1] => 0.1842
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 16:15:00
                    [1] => 0.198
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 18:45:00
                    [1] => 0.1887
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 20:00:00
                    [1] => 0.2161
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.1286441462286
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 12.0826709062
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 14.520402755697
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 1
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 11:55:00
                    [1] => 0.2351
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 14:00:00
                    [1] => 0.1884
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 15:20:00
                    [1] => 0.1842
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 16:25:00
                    [1] => 0.198
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 17:00:00
                    [1] => 0.1894
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 17:30:00
                    [1] => 0.1953
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 18:10:00
                    [1] => 0.1941
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 18:20:00
                    [1] => 0.1888
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 18:55:00
                    [1] => 0.1887
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 20:05:00
                    [1] => 0.2161
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.1286441462286
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 12.0826709062
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 15
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 14.520402755697
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-2.13%
Dist From Last Low Pct
12.08%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
15 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
14.52%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0159
7.25%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0221
10.71%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-17 11:55:00 0.2351 ↑ High
2026-01-17 14:00:00 0.1884 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 15:20:00 0.1842 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 16:25:00 0.198 ↑ High
2026-01-17 17:00:00 0.1894 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 17:30:00 0.1953 ↑ High
2026-01-17 18:10:00 0.1941 ↑ High
2026-01-17 18:20:00 0.1888 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 18:55:00 0.1887 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 20:05:00 0.2161 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-2.13%
Dist From Last Low Pct
12.08%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
14.52%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0364
16.61%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0221
10.71%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-16 20:30:00 0.2529 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 22:45:00 0.2556 ↑ High
2026-01-17 01:15:00 0.245 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 03:00:00 0.2503 ↑ High
2026-01-17 09:15:00 0.2327 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 09:45:00 0.2377 ↑ High
2026-01-17 15:15:00 0.1842 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 16:15:00 0.198 ↑ High
2026-01-17 18:45:00 0.1887 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 20:00:00 0.2161 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-2.13%
Dist From Last Low Pct
14.82%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
17.32%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
1

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0489
22.31%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0221
10.71%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-15 01:00:00 0.2681 ↑ High
2026-01-15 04:00:00 0.2409 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 08:00:00 0.2591 ↑ High
2026-01-15 11:00:00 0.2435 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 20:00:00 0.2567 ↑ High
2026-01-16 04:00:00 0.2489 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 12:00:00 0.2658 ↑ High
2026-01-16 16:00:00 0.2524 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 15:00:00 0.1842 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 20:00:00 0.2161 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
17 Jan 2026
20:10:02		 17 Jan 2026
20:15:00		 4 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.2149 0.2192 0.2063 2 0.04317
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.2149
  • Stop Loss: 0.2192
  • Take Profit: 0.2063

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.2192 - 0.2149 = 0.0043

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.2149 - 0.2063 = 0.0086

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0086 / 0.0043 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
401.3012 100 1867.3858 4.01
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0043

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0043 = 1860.47

Taille de position USD = 1860.47 x 0.2149 = 399.82

Donc, tu peux acheter 1860.47 avec un stoploss a 0.2192

Avec un position size USD de 399.82$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1860.47 x 0.0043 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1860.47 x 0.0086 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 1860.47
  • Taille de position USD 399.82
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
4 % 16.06 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
2 % 8.03 $
PNL PNL %
16.06 $ 4.00
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.2063
            [stop_loss] => 0.2192
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-17 20:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.20415
            [stop_loss] => 0.2192
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-17 20:25:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.202
            [stop_loss] => 0.2192
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-17 21:55:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.19985
            [stop_loss] => 0.2192
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-17 22:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1977
            [stop_loss] => 0.2192
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-17 22:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0183
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00070000000000001
            [rr_ratio] => 26.14
            [high] => 0.21560000
            [low] => 0.19660000
            [mfe_pct] => 8.52
            [mae_pct] => 0.33
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 26.14
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-17T20:10:02-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-17T22:10:02-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0183
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00070000000000001
            [rr_ratio] => 26.14
            [high] => 0.21560000
            [low] => 0.19660000
            [mfe_pct] => 8.52
            [mae_pct] => 0.33
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 26.14
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-17T20:10:02-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-18T03:10:02-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.21610000
            [high_after] => 0.21560000
            [low_before] => 0.18870000
            [low_after] => 0.19660000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)