Short Trade on MERL 17 Jan 2026 at 20:47:48

Take profit at 0.2042 (4.89 %) and Stop Loss at 0.22 (2.47 %)

Short Trade on MERL

The 17 Jan 2026 at 20:47:48

With 1517.9911 MERL at 0.2147$ per unit.

Position size of 325.9127 $

Take profit at 0.2042 (4.89 %) and Stop Loss at 0.22 (2.47 %)

That's a 1.98 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 60
ML Pullback Score: 6
Prediction Score: 0
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.92
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.65
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.8
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_high

BTC Correlation Score

5m : -0.006155

15m : -0.128703

1H : -0.136753

0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.05
  4. atr: 0.003513415491
Details
  1. score: 1.05
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 0.207352
  4. ema21 : 0.220033
  5. ema50 : 0.234299
  6. ema100 : 0.241058
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.0354345
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0576303
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0608877
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.109345
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -1.2476
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.942399
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.525591
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.286118
  17. rsi : 0.415903
  18. adx : 0.479844
  19. kc_percentage : 0.380287
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.173177
  21. volume_ema_diff : 1.05561
  22. volume_ema1 : 309097.33023352
  23. volume_ema2 : 150367.42387677
  24. chop : 10.5375
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 0.206417
  29. ema21 : 0.20286
  30. ema50 : 0.210576
  31. ema100 : 0.223199
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.0401244
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0175345
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0366442
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.038081
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.561539
  39. ema_slope_21 : 0.106602
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.194429
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.211174
  42. rsi : 0.638228
  43. adx : 0.482045
  44. kc_percentage : 1.00809
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.108842
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.214147
  47. volume_ema1 : 58016.274602692
  48. volume_ema2 : 73825.902575971
  49. chop : 38.3571
  50. regime : bear_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 0.210721
  54. ema21 : 0.206232
  55. ema50 : 0.201588
  56. ema100 : 0.20381
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.0188819
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0217634
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.0230385
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.0534299
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.474609
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.437455
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.24372
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.0786952
  67. rsi : 0.71615
  68. adx : 0.31896
  69. kc_percentage : 1.05176
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0687405
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.235172
  72. volume_ema1 : 19724.593957359
  73. volume_ema2 : 25789.583827018
  74. chop : 41.9423
  75. regime : bull_high
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    95168.9
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00257321
  81. 5m_price:
    94924.1
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.006155
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    95247.9
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00339991
  86. 15m_price:
    94924.1
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.128703
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    95534.8
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00639307
  91. 1H_price:
    94924.1
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.136753
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 01:00:00
                        [1] => 0.2681
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 04:00:00
                        [1] => 0.2409
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 08:00:00
                        [1] => 0.2591
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 11:00:00
                        [1] => 0.2435
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 20:00:00
                        [1] => 0.2567
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 04:00:00
                        [1] => 0.2489
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 12:00:00
                        [1] => 0.2658
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 16:00:00
                        [1] => 0.2524
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 15:00:00
                        [1] => 0.1842
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 20:00:00
                        [1] => 0.2161
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.3600185099491
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 14.549402823018
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 17.318132464712
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 1
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 20:30:00
                        [1] => 0.2529
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 22:45:00
                        [1] => 0.2556
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 01:15:00
                        [1] => 0.245
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 03:00:00
                        [1] => 0.2503
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 09:15:00
                        [1] => 0.2327
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 09:45:00
                        [1] => 0.2377
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 15:15:00
                        [1] => 0.1842
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 16:15:00
                        [1] => 0.198
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 18:45:00
                        [1] => 0.1887
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 20:00:00
                        [1] => 0.2161
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.3600185099491
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 11.817700052994
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 14.520402755697
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 1
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 15:20:00
                        [1] => 0.1842
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 16:25:00
                        [1] => 0.198
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 17:00:00
                        [1] => 0.1894
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 17:30:00
                        [1] => 0.1953
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 18:10:00
                        [1] => 0.1941
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 18:20:00
                        [1] => 0.1888
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 18:55:00
                        [1] => 0.1887
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 20:05:00
                        [1] => 0.2161
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 20:25:00
                        [1] => 0.2031
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 20:45:00
                        [1] => 0.2156
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.1335807050093
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.889709502708
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 6.1546036435254
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-2.13%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.89%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
6.15%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0039
1.77%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0200
9.79%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-17 15:20:00 0.1842 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 16:25:00 0.198 ↑ High
2026-01-17 17:00:00 0.1894 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 17:30:00 0.1953 ↑ High
2026-01-17 18:10:00 0.1941 ↑ High
2026-01-17 18:20:00 0.1888 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 18:55:00 0.1887 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 20:05:00 0.2161 ↑ High
2026-01-17 20:25:00 0.2031 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 20:45:00 0.2156 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-2.36%
Dist From Last Low Pct
11.82%
Bars Since Swing High
3 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
8 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
14.52%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0356
16.18%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0200
9.79%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-16 20:30:00 0.2529 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 22:45:00 0.2556 ↑ High
2026-01-17 01:15:00 0.245 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 03:00:00 0.2503 ↑ High
2026-01-17 09:15:00 0.2327 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 09:45:00 0.2377 ↑ High
2026-01-17 15:15:00 0.1842 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 16:15:00 0.198 ↑ High
2026-01-17 18:45:00 0.1887 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 20:00:00 0.2161 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-2.36%
Dist From Last Low Pct
14.55%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
17.32%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
1

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0481
21.86%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0200
9.79%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-15 01:00:00 0.2681 ↑ High
2026-01-15 04:00:00 0.2409 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 08:00:00 0.2591 ↑ High
2026-01-15 11:00:00 0.2435 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 20:00:00 0.2567 ↑ High
2026-01-16 04:00:00 0.2489 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 12:00:00 0.2658 ↑ High
2026-01-16 16:00:00 0.2524 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 15:00:00 0.1842 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 20:00:00 0.2161 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
17 Jan 2026
20:47:48
17 Jan 2026
21:10:00
22 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.2147 0.22 0.2042 1.98 0.04317
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.2147
  • Stop Loss: 0.22
  • Take Profit: 0.2042

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.22 - 0.2147 = 0.0053

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.2147 - 0.2042 = 0.0105

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0105 / 0.0053 = 1.9811

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
325.9127 100 1517.9911 3.26
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0053

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0053 = 1509.43

Taille de position USD = 1509.43 x 0.2147 = 324.07

Donc, tu peux acheter 1509.43 avec un stoploss a 0.22

Avec un position size USD de 324.07$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1509.43 x 0.0053 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1509.43 x 0.0105 = 15.85

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.85$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 1509.43
  • Taille de position USD 324.07
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 15.85
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9811

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
4.89 % 15.94 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
2.47 % 8.05 $
PNL PNL %
15.94 $ 4.89
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.2041
            [stop_loss] => 0.22
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-17 21:55:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.20145
            [stop_loss] => 0.22
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-17 21:55:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1988
            [stop_loss] => 0.22
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-17 22:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0181
            [max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
            [rr_ratio] => 100
            [high] => 0.21100000
            [low] => 0.19660000
            [mfe_pct] => 8.43
            [mae_pct] => -1.72
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-17T20:47:48-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-17T22:47:48-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0181
            [max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
            [rr_ratio] => 100
            [high] => 0.21100000
            [low] => 0.19660000
            [mfe_pct] => 8.43
            [mae_pct] => -1.72
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-17T20:47:48-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-18T03:47:48-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.21610000
            [high_after] => 0.21100000
            [low_before] => 0.18870000
            [low_after] => 0.19660000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)