Short Trade on BTC 17 Jan 2026 at 22:35:15
Take profit at 94977.6457 (0.16 %) and Stop Loss at 95200.9272 (0.078 %)
Short Trade on BTC 17 Jan 2026 at 22:35:15
Take profit at 94977.6457 (0.16 %) and Stop Loss at 95200.9272 (0.078 %)
Position size of 10224.9236 $
Take profit at 94977.6457 (0.16 %) and Stop Loss at 95200.9272 (0.078 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.8 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.75 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.76 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : range_low 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 1 15m : -0.136271 1H : -0.046078 |
0 |
Indicators:
95099.8
0.000280412
95126.5
1
95208.5
-0.000862754
95126.4
-0.136271
95445.6
-0.00334405
95126.5
-0.046078
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 04:00:00
[1] => 97151
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 15:00:00
[1] => 95101
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 23:00:00
[1] => 95114.2
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 03:00:00
[1] => 95800
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 09:00:00
[1] => 95765
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 10:00:00
[1] => 94259
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 16:00:00
[1] => 95555
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 03:00:00
[1] => 94980.9
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 10:00:00
[1] => 95626
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 20:00:00
[1] => 94810.1
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.5033149980131
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.35291598679887
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 12
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.86056232405619
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 08:00:00
[1] => 95150
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 10:00:00
[1] => 95626
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 11:45:00
[1] => 95155.1
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 13:30:00
[1] => 95419.9
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 16:15:00
[1] => 95365.3
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 17:45:00
[1] => 95002
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 19:15:00
[1] => 95199.9
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 20:00:00
[1] => 94810.1
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 21:30:00
[1] => 94844
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 22:30:00
[1] => 95154.4
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.010193958450683
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.3170469402387
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.32727426089156
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 17:45:00
[1] => 95002
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 17:55:00
[1] => 95186.5
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 19:00:00
[1] => 95055
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 19:20:00
[1] => 95199.9
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 20:05:00
[1] => 94810.1
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 20:30:00
[1] => 95038.5
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 20:50:00
[1] => 94850
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 21:15:00
[1] => 95034.3
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 21:35:00
[1] => 94844
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 22:30:00
[1] => 95154.4
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.010193958450683
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.3170469402387
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 12
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.32727426089156
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 17:45:00 | 95002 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-17 17:55:00 | 95186.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-17 19:00:00 | 95055 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-17 19:20:00 | 95199.9 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-17 20:05:00 | 94810.1 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-17 20:30:00 | 95038.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-17 20:50:00 | 94850 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-17 21:15:00 | 95034.3 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-17 21:35:00 | 94844 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-17 22:30:00 | 95154.4 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 08:00:00 | 95150 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-17 10:00:00 | 95626 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-17 11:45:00 | 95155.1 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-17 13:30:00 | 95419.9 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-17 16:15:00 | 95365.3 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-17 17:45:00 | 95002 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-17 19:15:00 | 95199.9 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-17 20:00:00 | 94810.1 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-17 21:30:00 | 94844 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-17 22:30:00 | 95154.4 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-15 04:00:00 | 97151 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 15:00:00 | 95101 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 23:00:00 | 95114.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-16 03:00:00 | 95800 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-16 09:00:00 | 95765 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-16 10:00:00 | 94259 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-16 16:00:00 | 95555 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-17 03:00:00 | 94980.9 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-17 10:00:00 | 95626 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-17 20:00:00 | 94810.1 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan 2026 22:35:15 |
18 Jan 2026 00:45:00 |
2 hours |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 95126.5 | 95200.9272 | 94977.6457 | 2 | 67614.1 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 95200.9272 - 95126.5 = 74.427200000006
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 95126.5 - 94977.6457 = 148.85430000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 148.85430000001 / 74.427200000006 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10224.9236 | 100 | 0.1075 | 102.25 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 74.427200000006 = 0.11
Taille de position USD = 0.11 x 95126.5 = 10463.92
Donc, tu peux acheter 0.11 avec un stoploss a 95200.9272
Avec un position size USD de 10463.92$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 0.11 x 74.427200000006 = 8.19
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.19$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 0.11 x 148.85430000001 = 16.37
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.37$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.16 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.078 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.08 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1024 % | 130.95 % | 8 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 94977.6457
[entry_price] => 95126.5
[stop_loss] => 95208.36992
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-01-18 00:45:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 94977.6457
[entry_price] => 95126.5
[stop_loss] => 95215.81264
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-01-18 00:45:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 94977.6457
[entry_price] => 95126.5
[stop_loss] => 95223.25536
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-01-18 00:45:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 101.10000000001
[max_drawdown] => 41.5
[rr_ratio] => 2.44
[high] => 95168.00000000
[low] => 95025.40000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.11
[mae_pct] => 0.04
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.44
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-01-17T22:35:15-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-18T00:35:15-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 138.39999999999
[max_drawdown] => 138
[rr_ratio] => 1
[high] => 95264.50000000
[low] => 94988.10000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.15
[mae_pct] => 0.15
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 1
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-01-17T22:35:15-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-18T05:35:15-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 95199.90000000
[high_after] => 95234.40000000
[low_before] => 94810.10000000
[low_after] => 94988.10000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)