Short Trade on BTC 18 Jan 2026 at 03:43:45

Take profit at 95068.7386 (0.096 %) and Stop Loss at 95205.1807 (0.048 %)

Short Trade on BTC

The 18 Jan 2026 at 03:43:45

With 0.1759 BTC at 95159.7$ per unit.

Position size of 16738.4719 $

Take profit at 95068.7386 (0.096 %) and Stop Loss at 95205.1807 (0.048 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 3.9
Prediction Score: 0
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.84
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.55
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.9
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : range_low

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 1

15m : -0.074228

1H : 0.136887

0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.28
  4. atr: 30.32047383
Details
  1. score: 1.28
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 95111.5
  4. ema21 : 95162.9
  5. ema50 : 95291.6
  6. ema100 : 95380.7
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.000506312
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.000540703
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00135008
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.00231754
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.0178671
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.0129221
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0106153
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.00676845
  17. rsi : 0.489184
  18. adx : 0.245486
  19. kc_percentage : 0.501449
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.00734369
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.60222
  22. volume_ema1 : 25847084.487199
  23. volume_ema2 : 64978477.680354
  24. chop : 63.5454
  25. regime : range_low
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 95062.8
  29. ema21 : 95075.9
  30. ema50 : 95110.6
  31. ema100 : 95136.7
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.00101923
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.000138278
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.000364487
  35. price_ema100_diff : 0.000241668
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : -0.00241555
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.000663177
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.00167075
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.00128672
  42. rsi : 0.494883
  43. adx : 0.171297
  44. kc_percentage : 0.853906
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.00251381
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.321764
  47. volume_ema1 : 5398064.4846813
  48. volume_ema2 : 7958979.4825278
  49. chop : 55.4059
  50. regime : range_low
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 95077.1
  54. ema21 : 95066.8
  55. ema50 : 95073.2
  56. ema100 : 95079.6
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.000868566
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000107985
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : -6.72042E-5
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.000841628
  61. all_emas_in_trend : False
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.00230602
  64. ema_slope_21 : -0.00127822
  65. ema_slope_50 : -0.00114138
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.000719709
  67. rsi : 0.656765
  68. adx : 0.217252
  69. kc_percentage : 1.28376
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.00124803
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.115854
  72. volume_ema1 : 2035195.9091101
  73. volume_ema2 : 2301878.4773823
  74. chop : 35.3425
  75. regime : range_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    95079.6
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.000841628
  81. 5m_price:
    95159.7
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    1
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    95136.7
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.000617095
  86. 15m_price:
    95078
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.074228
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    95380.7
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00231754
  91. 1H_price:
    95159.7
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.136887
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 15:00:00
                        [1] => 95101
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 23:00:00
                        [1] => 95114.2
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 03:00:00
                        [1] => 95800
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 09:00:00
                        [1] => 95765
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 10:00:00
                        [1] => 94259
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 16:00:00
                        [1] => 95555
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 03:00:00
                        [1] => 94980.9
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 10:00:00
                        [1] => 95626
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 20:00:00
                        [1] => 94810.1
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 00:00:00
                        [1] => 95223.9
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.09671941602895
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.33930984146204
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.43645139072735
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 1
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 16:15:00
                        [1] => 95365.3
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 17:45:00
                        [1] => 95002
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 19:15:00
                        [1] => 95199.9
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 20:00:00
                        [1] => 94810.1
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 21:30:00
                        [1] => 94844
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 22:45:00
                        [1] => 95168
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 00:00:00
                        [1] => 95025.4
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 00:45:00
                        [1] => 95223.9
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 02:30:00
                        [1] => 94988.1
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 03:30:00
                        [1] => 95159.8
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.029424189626292
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.15128210796931
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.18075948460912
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 1
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 21:15:00
                        [1] => 95034.3
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 21:35:00
                        [1] => 94844
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 22:45:00
                        [1] => 95168
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 23:30:00
                        [1] => 95038.4
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 00:05:00
                        [1] => 95025.4
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 00:45:00
                        [1] => 95223.9
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 01:25:00
                        [1] => 95112.2
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 01:35:00
                        [1] => 95176.5
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 02:40:00
                        [1] => 94988.1
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 03:40:00
                        [1] => 95159.8
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.029424189626292
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.15128210796931
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 12
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.18075948460912
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 3

5M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.03%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.15%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
12 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.18%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
18.7193
0.02%
TP to Pivot Distance
224.7386
0.24%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-17 21:15:00 95034.3 ↑ High
2026-01-17 21:35:00 94844 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 22:45:00 95168 ↑ High
2026-01-17 23:30:00 95038.4 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 00:05:00 95025.4 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 00:45:00 95223.9 ↑ High
2026-01-18 01:25:00 95112.2 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 01:35:00 95176.5 ↑ High
2026-01-18 02:40:00 94988.1 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 03:40:00 95159.8 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.03%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.15%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.18%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
1

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
160.1193
0.17%
TP to Pivot Distance
258.6386
0.27%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-17 16:15:00 95365.3 ↑ High
2026-01-17 17:45:00 95002 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 19:15:00 95199.9 ↑ High
2026-01-17 20:00:00 94810.1 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 21:30:00 94844 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 22:45:00 95168 ↑ High
2026-01-18 00:00:00 95025.4 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 00:45:00 95223.9 ↑ High
2026-01-18 02:30:00 94988.1 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 03:30:00 95159.8 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.10%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.34%
Bars Since Swing High
3 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.44%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
1

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
594.8193
0.62%
TP to Pivot Distance
809.7386
0.85%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-15 15:00:00 95101 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 23:00:00 95114.2 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 03:00:00 95800 ↑ High
2026-01-16 09:00:00 95765 ↑ High
2026-01-16 10:00:00 94259 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 16:00:00 95555 ↑ High
2026-01-17 03:00:00 94980.9 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 10:00:00 95626 ↑ High
2026-01-17 20:00:00 94810.1 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 00:00:00 95223.9 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
18 Jan 2026
03:43:45
18 Jan 2026
04:30:00
46 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
95159.7 95205.1807 95068.7386 2 67457.5
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 95159.7
  • Stop Loss: 95205.1807
  • Take Profit: 95068.7386

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 95205.1807 - 95159.7 = 45.4807

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 95159.7 - 95068.7386 = 90.9614

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 90.9614 / 45.4807 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
16738.4719 100 0.1759 167.38
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 45.4807

Taille de position = 8 / 45.4807 = 0.18

Taille de position USD = 0.18 x 95159.7 = 17128.75

Donc, tu peux acheter 0.18 avec un stoploss a 95205.1807

Avec un position size USD de 17128.75$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 0.18 x 45.4807 = 8.19

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.19$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 0.18 x 90.9614 = 16.37

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.37$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 0.18
  • Taille de position USD 17128.75
  • Perte potentielle 8.19
  • Gain potentiel 16.37
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.096 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.048 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.05
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.0529 % 110.67 % 4

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 95068.7386
            [entry_price] => 95159.7
            [stop_loss] => 95209.72877
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-18 04:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 95068.7386
            [entry_price] => 95159.7
            [stop_loss] => 95214.27684
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-18 04:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 95068.7386
            [entry_price] => 95159.7
            [stop_loss] => 95218.82491
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-18 04:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 95068.7386
            [entry_price] => 95159.7
            [stop_loss] => 95227.92105
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-18 04:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 109.7
            [max_drawdown] => 104.8
            [rr_ratio] => 1.05
            [high] => 95264.50000000
            [low] => 95050.00000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.12
            [mae_pct] => 0.11
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.05
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-18T03:43:45-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-18T05:43:45-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 289.7
            [max_drawdown] => 163.8
            [rr_ratio] => 1.77
            [high] => 95323.50000000
            [low] => 94870.00000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.3
            [mae_pct] => 0.17
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.77
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-18T03:43:45-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-18T10:43:45-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 95223.90000000
            [high_after] => 95323.50000000
            [low_before] => 94988.10000000
            [low_after] => 94870.00000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)