Short Trade on BTC 18 Jan 2026 at 04:17:44
Take profit at 95078.8214 (0.08 %) and Stop Loss at 95193.0893 (0.04 %)
Short Trade on BTC 18 Jan 2026 at 04:17:44
Take profit at 95078.8214 (0.08 %) and Stop Loss at 95193.0893 (0.04 %)
Position size of 19985.6562 $
Take profit at 95078.8214 (0.08 %) and Stop Loss at 95193.0893 (0.04 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.82 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.81 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.77 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : range_low 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 1 15m : -0.040942 1H : -0.138716 |
0 |
Indicators:
95071.2
0.000881335
95155
1
95154.3
6.42091E-6
95155
-0.040942
95379.3
-0.002352
95155
-0.138716
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 15:00:00
[1] => 95101
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 23:00:00
[1] => 95114.2
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 03:00:00
[1] => 95800
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 09:00:00
[1] => 95765
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 10:00:00
[1] => 94259
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 16:00:00
[1] => 95555
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 03:00:00
[1] => 94980.9
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 10:00:00
[1] => 95626
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 20:00:00
[1] => 94810.1
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 00:00:00
[1] => 95223.9
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.067420048958294
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.36873708602775
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.43645139072735
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 1
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 16:15:00
[1] => 95365.3
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 17:45:00
[1] => 95002
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 19:15:00
[1] => 95199.9
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 20:00:00
[1] => 94810.1
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 21:30:00
[1] => 94844
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 22:45:00
[1] => 95168
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 00:00:00
[1] => 95025.4
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 00:45:00
[1] => 95223.9
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 02:30:00
[1] => 94988.1
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 04:15:00
[1] => 95159.9
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.00021017256217912
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.18065420826397
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.18086476095425
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 1
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 22:45:00
[1] => 95168
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 23:30:00
[1] => 95038.4
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 00:05:00
[1] => 95025.4
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 00:45:00
[1] => 95223.9
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 01:25:00
[1] => 95112.2
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 01:35:00
[1] => 95176.5
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 02:40:00
[1] => 94988.1
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 03:40:00
[1] => 95159.8
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 04:05:00
[1] => 95113.4
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 04:15:00
[1] => 95159.9
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.00021017256217912
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.048678735067827
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.048889010381292
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 22:45:00 | 95168 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-17 23:30:00 | 95038.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 00:05:00 | 95025.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 00:45:00 | 95223.9 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-18 01:25:00 | 95112.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 01:35:00 | 95176.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-18 02:40:00 | 94988.1 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 03:40:00 | 95159.8 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-18 04:05:00 | 95113.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 04:15:00 | 95159.9 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 16:15:00 | 95365.3 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-17 17:45:00 | 95002 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-17 19:15:00 | 95199.9 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-17 20:00:00 | 94810.1 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-17 21:30:00 | 94844 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-17 22:45:00 | 95168 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-18 00:00:00 | 95025.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 00:45:00 | 95223.9 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-18 02:30:00 | 94988.1 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 04:15:00 | 95159.9 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-15 15:00:00 | 95101 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 23:00:00 | 95114.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-16 03:00:00 | 95800 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-16 09:00:00 | 95765 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-16 10:00:00 | 94259 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-16 16:00:00 | 95555 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-17 03:00:00 | 94980.9 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-17 10:00:00 | 95626 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-17 20:00:00 | 94810.1 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 00:00:00 | 95223.9 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan 2026 04:17:44 |
18 Jan 2026 04:20:00 |
2 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 95155 | 95193.0893 | 95078.8214 | 2 | 67527.2 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 95193.0893 - 95155 = 38.089300000007
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 95155 - 95078.8214 = 76.178599999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 76.178599999999 / 38.089300000007 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19985.6562 | 100 | 0.21 | 199.86 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 38.089300000007 = 0.21
Taille de position USD = 0.21 x 95155 = 19982.55
Donc, tu peux acheter 0.21 avec un stoploss a 95193.0893
Avec un position size USD de 19982.55$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 0.21 x 38.089300000007 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 0.21 x 76.178599999999 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.08 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.04 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.04 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0458 % | 114.5 % | 0 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 95078.8214
[entry_price] => 95155
[stop_loss] => 95196.89823
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-01-18 04:20:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 95078.8214
[entry_price] => 95155
[stop_loss] => 95200.70716
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-01-18 04:30:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 95078.8214
[entry_price] => 95155
[stop_loss] => 95204.51609
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-01-18 04:30:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 95078.8214
[entry_price] => 95155
[stop_loss] => 95212.13395
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-18 04:35:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 105
[max_drawdown] => 109.5
[rr_ratio] => 0.96
[high] => 95264.50000000
[low] => 95050.00000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.11
[mae_pct] => 0.12
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.96
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-01-18T04:17:44-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-18T06:17:44-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 285
[max_drawdown] => 168.5
[rr_ratio] => 1.69
[high] => 95323.50000000
[low] => 94870.00000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.3
[mae_pct] => 0.18
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.69
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-01-18T04:17:44-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-18T11:17:44-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 95223.90000000
[high_after] => 95323.50000000
[low_before] => 94988.10000000
[low_after] => 94870.00000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] => 1
)
)