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Short Trade on MERL

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Short Trade on MERL 18 Jan 2026 at 06:38:47

Take profit at 0.205 (2.1 %) and Stop Loss at 0.2116 (1.05 %)

Short Trade on MERL

The 18 Jan 2026 at 06:38:47

With 3617.5031 MERL at 0.2094$ per unit.

Position size of 757.5052 $

Take profit at 0.205 (2.1 %) and Stop Loss at 0.2116 (1.05 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.16
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.77
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.47
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.51
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : range

rules_regime : range_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bull_high

5m_regime : bull_medium_confirmed
BTC Correlation Score

5m : -0.085173

15m : 0.153798

1H : -0.067496

 0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.02
  4. atr: 0.001474313401
Details
  1. score: 1.02
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 0.204865
  4. ema21 : 0.209988
  5. ema50 : 0.224034
  6. ema100 : 0.234052
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.0221327
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0243942
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0626967
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.105328
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : 0.0202313
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.43711
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.425147
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.276137
  17. rsi : 0.458669
  18. adx : 0.289464
  19. kc_percentage : 0.500226
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.141077
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.35672
  22. volume_ema1 : 92358.809726798
  23. volume_ema2 : 143574.88860967
  24. chop : 51.7528
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 0.206252
  28. ema21 : 0.204979
  29. ema50 : 0.205483
  30. ema100 : 0.211896
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0152612
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00621161
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00245506
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0117836
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0781108
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.0562981
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0058465
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0717547
  41. rsi : 0.598727
  42. adx : 0.207121
  43. kc_percentage : 0.893954
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0527643
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.619793
  46. volume_ema1 : 14594.703366269
  47. volume_ema2 : 38386.240908599
  48. chop : 66.1126
  49. regime : bull_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 0.207426
  52. ema21 : 0.206243
  53. ema50 : 0.205018
  54. ema100 : 0.204012
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00951646
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00573456
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00597626
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.0264101
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.109497
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0812564
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0493693
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.0322199
  65. rsi : 0.669222
  66. adx : 0.273938
  67. kc_percentage : 1.02393
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0281293
  69. volume_ema_diff : 0.233155
  70. volume_ema1 : 10101.662936016
  71. volume_ema2 : 8191.7210415861
  72. chop : 48.3418
  73. regime : bull_medium_confirmed
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    95092.8
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.000395285
  78. 5m_price: 
    95055.3
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.085173
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    95135.3
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.000726992
  83. 15m_price: 
    95066.2
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.153798
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    95353.3
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00312623
  88. 1H_price: 
    95055.3
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.067496
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 04:00:00
                    [1] => 0.2409
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 08:00:00
                    [1] => 0.2591
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 11:00:00
                    [1] => 0.2435
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 20:00:00
                    [1] => 0.2567
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 04:00:00
                    [1] => 0.2489
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 12:00:00
                    [1] => 0.2658
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 16:00:00
                    [1] => 0.2524
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 15:00:00
                    [1] => 0.1842
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 20:00:00
                    [1] => 0.2161
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 06:00:00
                    [1] => 0.2106
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.047483380816722
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 14.277958740499
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 15
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.6115859449193
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 15:15:00
                    [1] => 0.1842
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 16:15:00
                    [1] => 0.198
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 18:45:00
                    [1] => 0.1887
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 20:00:00
                    [1] => 0.2161
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 22:00:00
                    [1] => 0.1966
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 23:15:00
                    [1] => 0.2094
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 00:30:00
                    [1] => 0.199
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 03:15:00
                    [1] => 0.209
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 03:45:00
                    [1] => 0.2013
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 06:30:00
                    [1] => 0.2106
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.047483380816722
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.5702930948833
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 11
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.6199701937407
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 01:15:00
                    [1] => 0.1995
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 02:00:00
                    [1] => 0.2053
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 02:15:00
                    [1] => 0.2014
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 03:15:00
                    [1] => 0.209
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 03:55:00
                    [1] => 0.2013
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 04:40:00
                    [1] => 0.207
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 05:05:00
                    [1] => 0.2019
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 05:40:00
                    [1] => 0.208
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 06:00:00
                    [1] => 0.2046
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 06:35:00
                    [1] => 0.2106
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.047483380816722
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.8836754643206
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.9325513196481
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.05%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.88%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.93%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0010
0.47%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0055
2.68%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-18 01:15:00 0.1995 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 02:00:00 0.2053 ↑ High
2026-01-18 02:15:00 0.2014 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 03:15:00 0.209 ↑ High
2026-01-18 03:55:00 0.2013 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 04:40:00 0.207 ↑ High
2026-01-18 05:05:00 0.2019 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 05:40:00 0.208 ↑ High
2026-01-18 06:00:00 0.2046 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 06:35:00 0.2106 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.05%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.57%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
11 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
4.62%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0045
2.13%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0208
10.15%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-17 15:15:00 0.1842 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 16:15:00 0.198 ↑ High
2026-01-17 18:45:00 0.1887 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 20:00:00 0.2161 ↑ High
2026-01-17 22:00:00 0.1966 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 23:15:00 0.2094 ↑ High
2026-01-18 00:30:00 0.199 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 03:15:00 0.209 ↑ High
2026-01-18 03:45:00 0.2013 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 06:30:00 0.2106 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.05%
Dist From Last Low Pct
14.28%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
15 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.61%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0542
25.61%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0208
10.15%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-15 04:00:00 0.2409 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 08:00:00 0.2591 ↑ High
2026-01-15 11:00:00 0.2435 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 20:00:00 0.2567 ↑ High
2026-01-16 04:00:00 0.2489 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 12:00:00 0.2658 ↑ High
2026-01-16 16:00:00 0.2524 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 15:00:00 0.1842 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 20:00:00 0.2161 ↑ High
2026-01-18 06:00:00 0.2106 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
18 Jan 2026
06:38:47		 18 Jan 2026
07:00:00		 21 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.2094 0.2116 0.205 2 0.0431
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.2094
  • Stop Loss: 0.2116
  • Take Profit: 0.205

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.2116 - 0.2094 = 0.0022

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.2094 - 0.205 = 0.0044

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0044 / 0.0022 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
757.5052 100 3617.5031 7.58
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0022

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0022 = 3636.36

Taille de position USD = 3636.36 x 0.2094 = 761.45

Donc, tu peux acheter 3636.36 avec un stoploss a 0.2116

Avec un position size USD de 761.45$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 3636.36 x 0.0022 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 3636.36 x 0.0044 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 3636.36
  • Taille de position USD 761.45
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.1 % 15.92 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.05 % 7.96 $
PNL PNL %
-7.96 $ -1.05
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.0535 % 195.46 % 3

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.205
            [entry_price] => 0.2094
            [stop_loss] => 0.21182
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-18 07:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.205
            [entry_price] => 0.2094
            [stop_loss] => 0.21204
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-18 07:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.205
            [entry_price] => 0.2094
            [stop_loss] => 0.21226
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-18 07:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.205
            [entry_price] => 0.2094
            [stop_loss] => 0.2127
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-18 07:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0015
            [max_drawdown] => 0.011
            [rr_ratio] => 0.14
            [high] => 0.22040000
            [low] => 0.20790000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.72
            [mae_pct] => 5.25
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.14
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-18T06:38:47-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-18T08:38:47-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0015
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0199
            [rr_ratio] => 0.08
            [high] => 0.22930000
            [low] => 0.20790000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.72
            [mae_pct] => 9.5
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.08
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-18T06:38:47-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-18T13:38:47-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.21060000
            [high_after] => 0.22930000
            [low_before] => 0.20130000
            [low_after] => 0.20790000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)