Short Trade on AVAX 18 Jan 2026 at 11:16:15

Take profit at 13.5414 (0.47 %) and Stop Loss at 13.6383 (0.24 %)

Short Trade on AVAX

The 18 Jan 2026 at 11:16:15

With 247.5445 AVAX at 13.606$ per unit.

Position size of 3368.0902 $

Take profit at 13.5414 (0.47 %) and Stop Loss at 13.6383 (0.24 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 40
ML Pullback Score: 4.27
Prediction Score: 0
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.89
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.69
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.74
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_medium

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.702345

15m : 0.054701

1H : -0.070372

0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.05
  4. atr: 0.02154494972
Details
  1. score: 1.05
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 13.5812
  4. ema21 : 13.624
  5. ema50 : 13.6941
  6. ema100 : 13.8424
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00181955
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00313939
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00511847
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0170829
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.076996
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.056488
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0403088
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0412919
  17. rsi : 0.462495
  18. adx : 0.202137
  19. kc_percentage : 0.449786
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0225869
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.279077
  22. volume_ema1 : 300432.40098216
  23. volume_ema2 : 416733.32011006
  24. chop : 56.8914
  25. regime : bear_medium
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 13.5648
  29. ema21 : 13.5665
  30. ema50 : 13.6039
  31. ema100 : 13.6662
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.00303716
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.000127461
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00275103
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.00441133
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.00245419
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.0119448
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.018476
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0185068
  42. rsi : 0.567277
  43. adx : 0.244892
  44. kc_percentage : 0.740927
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0123076
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.378926
  47. volume_ema1 : 53719.033826708
  48. volume_ema2 : 86493.853674726
  49. chop : 46.0191
  50. regime : range_low
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 13.5752
  54. ema21 : 13.5589
  55. ema50 : 13.5589
  56. ema100 : 13.5709
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00226629
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.001198
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 2.17046E-6
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.00258467
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.0331579
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0131959
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.00201794
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.00138774
  67. rsi : 0.666967
  68. adx : 0.140162
  69. kc_percentage : 1.05346
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.00616587
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.528428
  72. volume_ema1 : 15153.221157623
  73. volume_ema2 : 32133.465912598
  74. chop : 38.0905
  75. regime : range_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    95064.7
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.000555255
  81. 5m_price:
    95117.5
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.702345
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    95167.5
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.000526216
  86. 15m_price:
    95117.5
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.054701
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    95338.9
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0023226
  91. 1H_price:
    95117.5
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.070372
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 04:00:00
                        [1] => 14.467
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 15:00:00
                        [1] => 13.609
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 19:00:00
                        [1] => 13.85
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 23:00:00
                        [1] => 13.674
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 03:00:00
                        [1] => 13.859
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 11:00:00
                        [1] => 13.182
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 16:00:00
                        [1] => 13.66
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 02:00:00
                        [1] => 13.522
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 09:00:00
                        [1] => 13.966
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 10:00:00
                        [1] => 13.463
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.7423743376772
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.89133179826191
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 26
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.7361657877145
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 19:30:00
                        [1] => 13.816
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 21:45:00
                        [1] => 13.621
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 23:30:00
                        [1] => 13.629
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 01:00:00
                        [1] => 13.693
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 02:00:00
                        [1] => 13.561
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 04:45:00
                        [1] => 13.646
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 08:00:00
                        [1] => 13.502
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 09:15:00
                        [1] => 13.618
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 10:00:00
                        [1] => 13.463
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 11:15:00
                        [1] => 13.611
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.20571596502829
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.89133179826191
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.0993092178564
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 04:55:00
                        [1] => 13.646
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 06:10:00
                        [1] => 13.565
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 06:30:00
                        [1] => 13.6
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 07:05:00
                        [1] => 13.55
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 07:45:00
                        [1] => 13.598
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 08:05:00
                        [1] => 13.502
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 08:45:00
                        [1] => 13.577
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 09:15:00
                        [1] => 13.618
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 10:00:00
                        [1] => 13.463
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 11:15:00
                        [1] => 13.611
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.20571596502829
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.89133179826191
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 15
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.0993092178564
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.21%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.89%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
15 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.10%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0077
0.06%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0784
0.58%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-18 04:55:00 13.646 ↑ High
2026-01-18 06:10:00 13.565 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 06:30:00 13.6 ↑ High
2026-01-18 07:05:00 13.55 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 07:45:00 13.598 ↑ High
2026-01-18 08:05:00 13.502 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 08:45:00 13.577 ↑ High
2026-01-18 09:15:00 13.618 ↑ High
2026-01-18 10:00:00 13.463 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 11:15:00 13.611 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.21%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.89%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.10%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.1777
1.30%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0784
0.58%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-17 19:30:00 13.816 ↑ High
2026-01-17 21:45:00 13.621 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 23:30:00 13.629 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 01:00:00 13.693 ↑ High
2026-01-18 02:00:00 13.561 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 04:45:00 13.646 ↑ High
2026-01-18 08:00:00 13.502 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 09:15:00 13.618 ↑ High
2026-01-18 10:00:00 13.463 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 11:15:00 13.611 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-2.74%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.89%
Bars Since Swing High
26 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.74%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.8287
6.08%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.3594
2.65%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-15 04:00:00 14.467 ↑ High
2026-01-15 15:00:00 13.609 ↓ Low
2026-01-15 19:00:00 13.85 ↑ High
2026-01-15 23:00:00 13.674 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 03:00:00 13.859 ↑ High
2026-01-16 11:00:00 13.182 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 16:00:00 13.66 ↑ High
2026-01-17 02:00:00 13.522 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 09:00:00 13.966 ↑ High
2026-01-18 10:00:00 13.463 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
18 Jan 2026
11:16:15
18 Jan 2026
12:40:00
1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
13.606 13.6383 13.5414 2 9.118
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 13.606
  • Stop Loss: 13.6383
  • Take Profit: 13.5414

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 13.6383 - 13.606 = 0.032299999999999

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 13.606 - 13.5414 = 0.0646

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0646 / 0.032299999999999 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
3368.0902 100 247.5445 33.68
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.032299999999999

Taille de position = 8 / 0.032299999999999 = 247.68

Taille de position USD = 247.68 x 13.606 = 3369.93

Donc, tu peux acheter 247.68 avec un stoploss a 13.6383

Avec un position size USD de 3369.93$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 247.68 x 0.032299999999999 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 247.68 x 0.0646 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 247.68
  • Taille de position USD 3369.93
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.47 % 15.99 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.24 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
15.99 $ 0.47
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.0661 % 27.84 % 5

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.5414
            [stop_loss] => 13.6383
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-18 12:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.52525
            [stop_loss] => 13.6383
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-18 13:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.5091
            [stop_loss] => 13.6383
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-18 13:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.49295
            [stop_loss] => 13.6383
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-18 13:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.4768
            [stop_loss] => 13.6383
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-18 13:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.46065
            [stop_loss] => 13.6383
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-18 13:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.4445
            [stop_loss] => 13.6383
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-18 13:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.42835
            [stop_loss] => 13.6383
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-18 13:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.4122
            [stop_loss] => 13.6383
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-18 13:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.39605
            [stop_loss] => 13.6383
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-18 13:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 13.3799
            [stop_loss] => 13.6383
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-18 13:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.066000000000001
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0090000000000003
            [rr_ratio] => 7.33
            [high] => 13.61500000
            [low] => 13.54000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.49
            [mae_pct] => 0.07
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 7.33
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-18T11:16:15-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-18T13:16:15-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.066000000000001
            [max_drawdown] => 0.148
            [rr_ratio] => 0.45
            [high] => 13.75400000
            [low] => 13.54000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.49
            [mae_pct] => 1.09
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.45
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-18T11:16:15-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-18T18:16:15-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 13.61800000
            [high_after] => 13.75400000
            [low_before] => 13.46300000
            [low_after] => 13.54000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)