Short Trade on FIL 18 Jan 2026 at 22:52:52
Take profit at 1.3636 (1.26 %) and Stop Loss at 1.3897 (0.63 %)
Short Trade on FIL 18 Jan 2026 at 22:52:52
Take profit at 1.3636 (1.26 %) and Stop Loss at 1.3897 (0.63 %)
Position size of 1267.7376 $
Take profit at 1.3636 (1.26 %) and Stop Loss at 1.3897 (0.63 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.83 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.48 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.51 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : bear_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bear_medium |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.750318 15m : 0.024343 1H : -0.010332 |
3 |
Indicators:
93598.5
-0.0104244
92622.8
0.750318
94414.1
-0.0190401
92616.5
0.024343
95268.8
-0.0277741
92622.8
-0.010332
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 10:00:00
[1] => 1.474
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 20:00:00
[1] => 1.525
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 23:00:00
[1] => 1.499
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 10:00:00
[1] => 1.594
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 19:00:00
[1] => 1.57
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 02:00:00
[1] => 1.515
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 07:00:00
[1] => 1.558
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 09:00:00
[1] => 1.505
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 11:00:00
[1] => 1.558
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 19:00:00
[1] => 1.256
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -11.489088575096
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 9.7929936305732
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 11
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 24.044585987261
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 09:45:00
[1] => 1.505
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 11:00:00
[1] => 1.558
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 12:30:00
[1] => 1.519
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 13:45:00
[1] => 1.553
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 14:45:00
[1] => 1.531
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 15:15:00
[1] => 1.557
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 16:30:00
[1] => 1.54
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 17:00:00
[1] => 1.551
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 19:00:00
[1] => 1.256
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 22:45:00
[1] => 1.382
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.21707670043415
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 9.7929936305732
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 15
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 10.031847133758
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 17:10:00
[1] => 1.551
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 17:55:00
[1] => 1.547
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 19:00:00
[1] => 1.256
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 20:10:00
[1] => 1.374
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 20:45:00
[1] => 1.349
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 21:20:00
[1] => 1.371
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 21:30:00
[1] => 1.371
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 21:40:00
[1] => 1.364
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 22:10:00
[1] => 1.363
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 22:50:00
[1] => 1.382
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.21707670043415
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.1738811445341
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.3939838591343
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-18 17:10:00 | 1.551 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-18 17:55:00 | 1.547 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-18 19:00:00 | 1.256 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 20:10:00 | 1.374 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-18 20:45:00 | 1.349 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 21:20:00 | 1.371 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-18 21:30:00 | 1.371 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-18 21:40:00 | 1.364 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 22:10:00 | 1.363 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 22:50:00 | 1.382 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-18 09:45:00 | 1.505 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 11:00:00 | 1.558 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-18 12:30:00 | 1.519 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 13:45:00 | 1.553 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-18 14:45:00 | 1.531 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 15:15:00 | 1.557 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-18 16:30:00 | 1.54 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 17:00:00 | 1.551 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-18 19:00:00 | 1.256 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 22:45:00 | 1.382 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-16 10:00:00 | 1.474 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-16 20:00:00 | 1.525 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-16 23:00:00 | 1.499 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-17 10:00:00 | 1.594 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-17 19:00:00 | 1.57 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-18 02:00:00 | 1.515 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 07:00:00 | 1.558 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-18 09:00:00 | 1.505 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 11:00:00 | 1.558 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-18 19:00:00 | 1.256 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan 2026 22:52:52 |
19 Jan 2026 01:25:00 |
2 hours |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.381 | 1.3897 | 1.3636 | 2 | 1.0233 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.3897 - 1.381 = 0.0086999999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.381 - 1.3636 = 0.0174
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0174 / 0.0086999999999999 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1267.7376 | 100 | 917.9853 | 12.68 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0086999999999999 = 919.54
Taille de position USD = 919.54 x 1.381 = 1269.88
Donc, tu peux acheter 919.54 avec un stoploss a 1.3897
Avec un position size USD de 1269.88$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 919.54 x 0.0086999999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 919.54 x 0.0174 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.26 % | 15.97 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.63 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.99 $ | -0.63 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.8689 % | 137.92 % | 6 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.3636
[entry_price] => 1.381
[stop_loss] => 1.39057
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-01-19 01:25:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.3636
[entry_price] => 1.381
[stop_loss] => 1.39144
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-01-19 01:25:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.3636
[entry_price] => 1.381
[stop_loss] => 1.39231
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-01-19 01:25:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.3636
[entry_price] => 1.381
[stop_loss] => 1.39405
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-19 01:30:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.015
[max_drawdown] => 0.008
[rr_ratio] => 1.87
[high] => 1.38900000
[low] => 1.36600000
[mfe_pct] => 1.09
[mae_pct] => 0.58
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.87
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-01-18T22:52:52-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-19T00:52:52-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.015
[max_drawdown] => 0.02
[rr_ratio] => 0.75
[high] => 1.40100000
[low] => 1.36600000
[mfe_pct] => 1.09
[mae_pct] => 1.45
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.75
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-01-18T22:52:52-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-19T05:52:52-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 1.45400000
[high_after] => 1.40100000
[low_before] => 1.25600000
[low_after] => 1.36600000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)