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Short Trade on AR

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Short Trade on AR 18 Jan 2026 at 22:54:44

Take profit at 3.6763 (1.31 %) and Stop Loss at 3.7494 (0.66 %)

Short Trade on AR

The 18 Jan 2026 at 22:54:44

With 328.4415 AR at 3.725$ per unit.

Position size of 1223.4445 $

Take profit at 3.6763 (1.31 %) and Stop Loss at 3.7494 (0.66 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 40
ML Pullback Score: 1.26
Prediction Score: 5
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.85
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.54
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.57
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bear_medium
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.739672

15m : 0.027376

1H : 0.023114

 3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.03
  4. atr: 0.01623830651
Details
  1. score: 1.03
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 3.84775
  4. ema21 : 3.95243
  5. ema50 : 4.00633
  6. ema100 : 4.02405
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.0319032
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0264841
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0134538
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0743173
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.433454
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.210283
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0850185
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0403418
  17. rsi : 0.275825
  18. adx : 0.359346
  19. kc_percentage : -0.104163
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0989715
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.838075
  22. volume_ema1 : 316418.68586369
  23. volume_ema2 : 172146.70468048
  24. chop : 5.1655
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 3.70149
  28. ema21 : 3.77194
  29. ema50 : 3.89761
  30. ema100 : 3.97013
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00635061
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0186777
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0322434
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0617449
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.249973
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.370013
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.265811
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.157038
  41. rsi : 0.350121
  42. adx : 0.557099
  43. kc_percentage : 0.236329
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0411953
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.764921
  46. volume_ema1 : 17944.278694674
  47. volume_ema2 : 76333.012865682
  48. chop : 71.4006
  49. regime : bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 3.69974
  52. ema21 : 3.69392
  53. ema50 : 3.74542
  54. ema100 : 3.84932
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00682665
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00157539
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0137496
  58. price_ema100_diff : -0.0322977
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0406428
  62. ema_slope_21 : -0.00108311
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.0747653
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.0929688
  65. rsi : 0.605573
  66. adx : 0.301337
  67. kc_percentage : 1.03224
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.015878
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.679165
  70. volume_ema1 : 7203.1988208426
  71. volume_ema2 : 22451.470837534
  72. chop : 46.3769
  73. regime : bear_medium
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    93599.3
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00998031
  78. 5m_price: 
    92665.2
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.739672
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    94414.1
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0190401
  83. 15m_price: 
    92616.5
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.027376
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    95269.6
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0273376
  88. 1H_price: 
    92665.2
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.023114
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 08:00:00
                    [1] => 4.062
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 14:00:00
                    [1] => 3.815
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 03:00:00
                    [1] => 4.084
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 10:00:00
                    [1] => 3.878
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 10:00:00
                    [1] => 4.167
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 19:00:00
                    [1] => 4.12
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 20:00:00
                    [1] => 4.005
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 02:00:00
                    [1] => 3.987
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 15:00:00
                    [1] => 4.189
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 19:00:00
                    [1] => 3.452
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -11.076629267128
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 7.9084588644264
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 7
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 21.349942062572
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 09:30:00
                    [1] => 4.122
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 10:00:00
                    [1] => 4.026
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 11:00:00
                    [1] => 4.141
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 12:30:00
                    [1] => 4.088
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 13:45:00
                    [1] => 4.171
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 14:45:00
                    [1] => 4.121
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 15:30:00
                    [1] => 4.189
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 19:00:00
                    [1] => 3.452
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 22:15:00
                    [1] => 3.66
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 22:45:00
                    [1] => 3.731
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.16081479496113
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.775956284153
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.9398907103825
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 16:40:00
                    [1] => 4.134
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 16:50:00
                    [1] => 4.134
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 17:10:00
                    [1] => 4.153
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 19:00:00
                    [1] => 3.452
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 19:40:00
                    [1] => 3.728
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 20:10:00
                    [1] => 3.727
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 20:50:00
                    [1] => 3.66
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 21:30:00
                    [1] => 3.698
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 22:15:00
                    [1] => 3.66
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 22:50:00
                    [1] => 3.731
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.16081479496113
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.775956284153
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.9398907103825
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.16%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.78%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.94%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.4036
10.76%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.2243
6.10%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-18 16:40:00 4.134 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 16:50:00 4.134 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 17:10:00 4.153 ↑ High
2026-01-18 19:00:00 3.452 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 19:40:00 3.728 ↑ High
2026-01-18 20:10:00 3.727 ↑ High
2026-01-18 20:50:00 3.66 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 21:30:00 3.698 ↑ High
2026-01-18 22:15:00 3.66 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 22:50:00 3.731 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.16%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.78%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.94%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.4396
11.72%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.2243
6.10%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-18 09:30:00 4.122 ↑ High
2026-01-18 10:00:00 4.026 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 11:00:00 4.141 ↑ High
2026-01-18 12:30:00 4.088 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 13:45:00 4.171 ↑ High
2026-01-18 14:45:00 4.121 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 15:30:00 4.189 ↑ High
2026-01-18 19:00:00 3.452 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 22:15:00 3.66 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 22:45:00 3.731 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-11.08%
Dist From Last Low Pct
7.91%
Bars Since Swing High
7 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
21.35%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.4396
11.72%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.2243
6.10%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-15 08:00:00 4.062 ↑ High
2026-01-15 14:00:00 3.815 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 03:00:00 4.084 ↑ High
2026-01-16 10:00:00 3.878 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 10:00:00 4.167 ↑ High
2026-01-17 19:00:00 4.12 ↑ High
2026-01-17 20:00:00 4.005 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 02:00:00 3.987 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 15:00:00 4.189 ↑ High
2026-01-18 19:00:00 3.452 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
18 Jan 2026
22:54:44		 19 Jan 2026
00:05:00		 1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
3.725 3.7494 3.6763 2 1.661
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 3.725
  • Stop Loss: 3.7494
  • Take Profit: 3.6763

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 3.7494 - 3.725 = 0.0244

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 3.725 - 3.6763 = 0.0487

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0487 / 0.0244 = 1.9959

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1223.4445 100 328.4415 12.23
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0244

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0244 = 327.87

Taille de position USD = 327.87 x 3.725 = 1221.32

Donc, tu peux acheter 327.87 avec un stoploss a 3.7494

Avec un position size USD de 1221.32$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 327.87 x 0.0244 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 327.87 x 0.0487 = 15.97

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.97$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 327.87
  • Taille de position USD 1221.32
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 15.97
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9959

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.31 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.66 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 1.31
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.2416 % 36.89 % 3

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.6762
            [stop_loss] => 3.7494
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 00:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.664
            [stop_loss] => 3.7494
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 00:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.6518
            [stop_loss] => 3.7494
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 00:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.6396
            [stop_loss] => 3.7494
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 00:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.6274
            [stop_loss] => 3.7494
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 00:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.6152
            [stop_loss] => 3.7494
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 00:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.603
            [stop_loss] => 3.7494
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 00:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.5908
            [stop_loss] => 3.7494
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 00:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.5786
            [stop_loss] => 3.7494
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 00:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.5664
            [stop_loss] => 3.7494
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 00:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.5542
            [stop_loss] => 3.7494
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 00:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.06
            [max_drawdown] => 0.051
            [rr_ratio] => 1.18
            [high] => 3.77600000
            [low] => 3.66500000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.61
            [mae_pct] => 1.37
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.18
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-18T22:54:44-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-19T00:54:44-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.06
            [max_drawdown] => 0.115
            [rr_ratio] => 0.52
            [high] => 3.84000000
            [low] => 3.66500000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.61
            [mae_pct] => 3.09
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.52
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-18T22:54:44-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-19T05:54:44-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 3.87100000
            [high_after] => 3.84000000
            [low_before] => 3.45200000
            [low_after] => 3.66500000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)