Short Trade on ETHFI 18 Jan 2026 at 22:57:15
Take profit at 0.648 (1.23 %) and Stop Loss at 0.6602 (0.62 %)
Short Trade on ETHFI 18 Jan 2026 at 22:57:15
Take profit at 0.648 (1.23 %) and Stop Loss at 0.6602 (0.62 %)
Position size of 1288.5708 $
Take profit at 0.648 (1.23 %) and Stop Loss at 0.6602 (0.62 %)
That's a 1.98 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Strong Trade
|
0.52 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.62 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.58 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : bear_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bear_medium |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.812286 15m : -0.02757 1H : -0.038288 |
3 |
Indicators:
93572.4
-0.00983478
92652.2
0.812286
94414.1
-0.0190401
92616.5
-0.02757
95269.3
-0.0274715
92652.2
-0.038288
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 23:00:00
[1] => 0.7338
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 00:00:00
[1] => 0.7489
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 10:00:00
[1] => 0.7187
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 16:00:00
[1] => 0.7509
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 10:00:00
[1] => 0.7667
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 12:00:00
[1] => 0.7667
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 21:00:00
[1] => 0.7256
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 08:00:00
[1] => 0.7267
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 13:00:00
[1] => 0.7541
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 19:00:00
[1] => 0.6029
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -12.955841400345
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 8.873776745729
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 9
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 25.078785868303
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 02:00:00
[1] => 0.7274
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 02:45:00
[1] => 0.7324
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 06:15:00
[1] => 0.7353
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 08:00:00
[1] => 0.7267
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 11:00:00
[1] => 0.7439
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 13:45:00
[1] => 0.7541
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 14:45:00
[1] => 0.7407
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 19:00:00
[1] => 0.6029
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 20:45:00
[1] => 0.64
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 22:45:00
[1] => 0.6565
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.015232292460014
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.5625
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.578125
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 15:30:00
[1] => 0.7492
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 16:50:00
[1] => 0.7375
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 17:10:00
[1] => 0.742
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 18:00:00
[1] => 0.7384
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 19:00:00
[1] => 0.6029
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 20:15:00
[1] => 0.654
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 20:45:00
[1] => 0.64
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 21:20:00
[1] => 0.6484
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 22:00:00
[1] => 0.6421
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 22:55:00
[1] => 0.6565
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.015232292460014
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.227067434979
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 11
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.2426413331257
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-18 15:30:00 | 0.7492 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-18 16:50:00 | 0.7375 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 17:10:00 | 0.742 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-18 18:00:00 | 0.7384 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-18 19:00:00 | 0.6029 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 20:15:00 | 0.654 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-18 20:45:00 | 0.64 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 21:20:00 | 0.6484 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-18 22:00:00 | 0.6421 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 22:55:00 | 0.6565 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-18 02:00:00 | 0.7274 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 02:45:00 | 0.7324 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-18 06:15:00 | 0.7353 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-18 08:00:00 | 0.7267 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 11:00:00 | 0.7439 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-18 13:45:00 | 0.7541 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-18 14:45:00 | 0.7407 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 19:00:00 | 0.6029 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 20:45:00 | 0.64 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 22:45:00 | 0.6565 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-15 23:00:00 | 0.7338 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-16 00:00:00 | 0.7489 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-16 10:00:00 | 0.7187 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-16 16:00:00 | 0.7509 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-17 10:00:00 | 0.7667 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-17 12:00:00 | 0.7667 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-17 21:00:00 | 0.7256 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 08:00:00 | 0.7267 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 13:00:00 | 0.7541 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-18 19:00:00 | 0.6029 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan 2026 22:57:15 |
18 Jan 2026 23:40:00 |
42 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6561 | 0.6602 | 0.648 | 1.98 | 0.5087 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.6602 - 0.6561 = 0.0041
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6561 - 0.648 = 0.0081
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0081 / 0.0041 = 1.9756
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1288.5708 | 100 | 1963.9854 | 12.89 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0041 = 1951.22
Taille de position USD = 1951.22 x 0.6561 = 1280.2
Donc, tu peux acheter 1951.22 avec un stoploss a 0.6602
Avec un position size USD de 1280.2$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1951.22 x 0.0041 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1951.22 x 0.0081 = 15.8
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.8$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.23 % | 15.91 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.62 % | 8.05 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 15.91 $ | 1.23 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0457 % | 7.31 % | 1 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.6479
[stop_loss] => 0.6602
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-01-18 23:40:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.64585
[stop_loss] => 0.6602
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-18 23:45:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.6438
[stop_loss] => 0.6602
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2026-01-19 00:10:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.64175
[stop_loss] => 0.6602
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-19 00:20:00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.6397
[stop_loss] => 0.6602
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2026-01-19 00:25:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0164
[max_drawdown] => 0.00029999999999997
[rr_ratio] => 54.67
[high] => 0.65640000
[low] => 0.63970000
[mfe_pct] => 2.5
[mae_pct] => 0.05
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 54.67
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-01-18T22:57:15-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-19T00:57:15-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0164
[max_drawdown] => 0.00029999999999997
[rr_ratio] => 54.67
[high] => 0.65640000
[low] => 0.63970000
[mfe_pct] => 2.5
[mae_pct] => 0.05
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 54.67
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-01-18T22:57:15-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-19T05:57:15-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 0.69280000
[high_after] => 0.65640000
[low_before] => 0.60290000
[low_after] => 0.63970000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)