Short Trade on POL 18 Jan 2026 at 22:58:07
Take profit at 0.1379 (1.57 %) and Stop Loss at 0.1412 (0.79 %)
Short Trade on POL 18 Jan 2026 at 22:58:07
Take profit at 0.1379 (1.57 %) and Stop Loss at 0.1412 (0.79 %)
Position size of 1033.3023 $
Take profit at 0.1379 (1.57 %) and Stop Loss at 0.1412 (0.79 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.85 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.67 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.59 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : bear_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bull_medium |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.740055 15m : 0.048218 1H : -0.072937 |
3 |
Indicators:
93572.1
-0.00998251
92638.1
0.740055
94414.1
-0.0190401
92616.5
0.048218
95269.1
-0.0276166
92638.1
-0.072937
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 01:00:00
[1] => 0.1516
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 07:00:00
[1] => 0.1586
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 15:00:00
[1] => 0.1482
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-15 23:00:00
[1] => 0.1465
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 11:00:00
[1] => 0.1383
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 20:00:00
[1] => 0.1465
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 06:00:00
[1] => 0.1493
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 06:00:00
[1] => 0.1412
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 11:00:00
[1] => 0.1452
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 19:00:00
[1] => 0.1256
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.4765840220386
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 10.429936305732
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 11
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 15.605095541401
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 1
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 07:15:00
[1] => 0.1431
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 08:00:00
[1] => 0.1416
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 10:00:00
[1] => 0.1423
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 11:30:00
[1] => 0.1452
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 12:45:00
[1] => 0.1432
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 15:00:00
[1] => 0.1425
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 15:30:00
[1] => 0.1442
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 17:45:00
[1] => 0.1438
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 19:00:00
[1] => 0.1256
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 22:45:00
[1] => 0.1404
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.2108262108262
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 10.429936305732
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 15
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 11.783439490446
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 17:30:00
[1] => 0.1428
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 17:55:00
[1] => 0.1438
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 19:00:00
[1] => 0.1256
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 19:50:00
[1] => 0.1354
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 20:35:00
[1] => 0.1353
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 20:50:00
[1] => 0.1337
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 21:20:00
[1] => 0.1358
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 21:50:00
[1] => 0.1348
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 22:20:00
[1] => 0.135
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 22:55:00
[1] => 0.1404
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.2108262108262
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.7407407407407
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-18 17:30:00 | 0.1428 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 17:55:00 | 0.1438 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-18 19:00:00 | 0.1256 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 19:50:00 | 0.1354 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-18 20:35:00 | 0.1353 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-18 20:50:00 | 0.1337 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 21:20:00 | 0.1358 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-18 21:50:00 | 0.1348 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 22:20:00 | 0.135 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 22:55:00 | 0.1404 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-18 07:15:00 | 0.1431 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-18 08:00:00 | 0.1416 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 10:00:00 | 0.1423 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 11:30:00 | 0.1452 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-18 12:45:00 | 0.1432 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 15:00:00 | 0.1425 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 15:30:00 | 0.1442 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-18 17:45:00 | 0.1438 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-18 19:00:00 | 0.1256 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 22:45:00 | 0.1404 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-15 01:00:00 | 0.1516 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 07:00:00 | 0.1586 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-15 15:00:00 | 0.1482 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-15 23:00:00 | 0.1465 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-16 11:00:00 | 0.1383 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-16 20:00:00 | 0.1465 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-17 06:00:00 | 0.1493 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-18 06:00:00 | 0.1412 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 11:00:00 | 0.1452 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-18 19:00:00 | 0.1256 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan 2026 22:58:07 |
18 Jan 2026 23:00:00 |
1 minute |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1401 | 0.1412 | 0.1379 | 2 | 0.1095 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1412 - 0.1401 = 0.0011
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1401 - 0.1379 = 0.0022
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0022 / 0.0011 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1033.3023 | 100 | 7375.4627 | 10.33 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0011 = 7272.73
Taille de position USD = 7272.73 x 0.1401 = 1018.91
Donc, tu peux acheter 7272.73 avec un stoploss a 0.1412
Avec un position size USD de 1018.91$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 7272.73 x 0.0011 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 7272.73 x 0.0022 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.57 % | 16.23 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.79 % | 8.11 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.23 $ | 1.57 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1379
[stop_loss] => 0.1412
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-01-18 23:00:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.13735
[stop_loss] => 0.1412
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-19 01:35:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1368
[stop_loss] => 0.1412
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2026-01-19 02:00:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.13625
[stop_loss] => 0.1412
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-19 02:45:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0023
[max_drawdown] => 9.9999999999989E-5
[rr_ratio] => 23
[high] => 0.14020000
[low] => 0.13780000
[mfe_pct] => 1.64
[mae_pct] => 0.07
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 23
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-01-18T22:58:07-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-19T00:58:07-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0052
[max_drawdown] => 9.9999999999989E-5
[rr_ratio] => 52
[high] => 0.14020000
[low] => 0.13490000
[mfe_pct] => 3.71
[mae_pct] => 0.07
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 52
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-01-18T22:58:07-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-19T05:58:07-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 0.14040000
[high_after] => 0.14020000
[low_before] => 0.12560000
[low_after] => 0.13580000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)