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Short Trade on AR

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Short Trade on AR 19 Jan 2026 at 00:51:35

Take profit at 3.7138 (1.36 %) and Stop Loss at 3.7906 (0.68 %)

Short Trade on AR

The 19 Jan 2026 at 00:51:35

With 312.5825 AR at 3.765$ per unit.

Position size of 1176.8731 $

Take profit at 3.7138 (1.36 %) and Stop Loss at 3.7906 (0.68 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 40
ML Pullback Score: 1.89
Prediction Score: 4
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.9
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.79
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.74
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : range_medium
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.737512

15m : -0.124495

1H : -0.081092

 3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.31
  4. atr: 0.01706216308
Details
  1. score: 1.31
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 3.80487
  4. ema21 : 3.91317
  5. ema50 : 3.98357
  6. ema100 : 4.00396
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.0104801
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0276753
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0176726
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0596829
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.562929
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.313092
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.139305
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0661001
  17. rsi : 0.355191
  18. adx : 0.384918
  19. kc_percentage : 0.101347
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0949891
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.0992961
  22. volume_ema1 : 182329.54299127
  23. volume_ema2 : 165860.25605111
  24. chop : 8.195
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 3.70669
  28. ema21 : 3.73607
  29. ema50 : 3.84414
  30. ema100 : 3.92762
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0157299
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00786451
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.028112
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0414065
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.00571554
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.154352
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.186025
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.128302
  41. rsi : 0.468925
  42. adx : 0.467616
  43. kc_percentage : 0.749251
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0351225
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.619398
  46. volume_ema1 : 22452.536834513
  47. volume_ema2 : 58992.267277744
  48. chop : 65.7096
  49. regime : bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 3.71646
  52. ema21 : 3.70503
  53. ema50 : 3.71962
  54. ema100 : 3.79232
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.0130607
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00308418
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00392207
  58. price_ema100_diff : -0.00720496
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0236421
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.00325955
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.0258219
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.0551469
  65. rsi : 0.732322
  66. adx : 0.239259
  67. kc_percentage : 1.31119
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0195161
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.00620287
  70. volume_ema1 : 12822.798279863
  71. volume_ema2 : 12902.832895619
  72. chop : 22.6189
  73. regime : range_medium
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    93215.4
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00725079
  78. 5m_price: 
    92539.6
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.737512
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    94151.3
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0171188
  83. 15m_price: 
    92539.6
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.124495
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    95122.6
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0271547
  88. 1H_price: 
    92539.6
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.081092
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 08:00:00
                    [1] => 4.062
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 14:00:00
                    [1] => 3.815
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 03:00:00
                    [1] => 4.084
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 10:00:00
                    [1] => 3.878
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 10:00:00
                    [1] => 4.167
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 19:00:00
                    [1] => 4.12
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 20:00:00
                    [1] => 4.005
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 02:00:00
                    [1] => 3.987
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 15:00:00
                    [1] => 4.189
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 19:00:00
                    [1] => 3.452
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -9.9068990212461
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 9.3279258400927
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 9
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 21.349942062572
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 11:00:00
                    [1] => 4.141
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 12:30:00
                    [1] => 4.088
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 13:45:00
                    [1] => 4.171
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 14:45:00
                    [1] => 4.121
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 15:30:00
                    [1] => 4.189
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 19:00:00
                    [1] => 3.452
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 22:15:00
                    [1] => 3.66
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 22:45:00
                    [1] => 3.734
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 00:15:00
                    [1] => 3.665
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 00:45:00
                    [1] => 3.776
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.052966101694909
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.9740791268759
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.0286493860846
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 17:10:00
                    [1] => 4.153
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 19:00:00
                    [1] => 3.452
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 19:40:00
                    [1] => 3.728
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 20:10:00
                    [1] => 3.727
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 20:50:00
                    [1] => 3.66
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 21:30:00
                    [1] => 3.698
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 22:15:00
                    [1] => 3.66
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 22:55:00
                    [1] => 3.734
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 00:15:00
                    [1] => 3.665
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 00:50:00
                    [1] => 3.776
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.052966101694909
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.9740791268759
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.0286493860846
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.05%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.97%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.03%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.3624
9.56%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.2618
7.05%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-18 17:10:00 4.153 ↑ High
2026-01-18 19:00:00 3.452 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 19:40:00 3.728 ↑ High
2026-01-18 20:10:00 3.727 ↑ High
2026-01-18 20:50:00 3.66 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 21:30:00 3.698 ↑ High
2026-01-18 22:15:00 3.66 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 22:55:00 3.734 ↑ High
2026-01-19 00:15:00 3.665 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 00:50:00 3.776 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.05%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.97%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.03%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.3984
10.51%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.2618
7.05%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-18 11:00:00 4.141 ↑ High
2026-01-18 12:30:00 4.088 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 13:45:00 4.171 ↑ High
2026-01-18 14:45:00 4.121 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 15:30:00 4.189 ↑ High
2026-01-18 19:00:00 3.452 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 22:15:00 3.66 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 22:45:00 3.734 ↑ High
2026-01-19 00:15:00 3.665 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 00:45:00 3.776 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-9.91%
Dist From Last Low Pct
9.33%
Bars Since Swing High
9 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
21.35%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.3984
10.51%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.2618
7.05%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-15 08:00:00 4.062 ↑ High
2026-01-15 14:00:00 3.815 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 03:00:00 4.084 ↑ High
2026-01-16 10:00:00 3.878 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 10:00:00 4.167 ↑ High
2026-01-17 19:00:00 4.12 ↑ High
2026-01-17 20:00:00 4.005 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 02:00:00 3.987 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 15:00:00 4.189 ↑ High
2026-01-18 19:00:00 3.452 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
19 Jan 2026
00:51:35		 19 Jan 2026
01:15:00		 23 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
3.765 3.7906 3.7138 2 1.691
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 3.765
  • Stop Loss: 3.7906
  • Take Profit: 3.7138

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 3.7906 - 3.765 = 0.0256

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 3.765 - 3.7138 = 0.0512

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0512 / 0.0256 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1176.8731 100 312.5825 11.77
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0256

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0256 = 312.5

Taille de position USD = 312.5 x 3.765 = 1176.56

Donc, tu peux acheter 312.5 avec un stoploss a 3.7906

Avec un position size USD de 1176.56$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 312.5 x 0.0256 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 312.5 x 0.0512 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 312.5
  • Taille de position USD 1176.56
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.36 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.68 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 1.36
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.239 % 35.15 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.7138
            [stop_loss] => 3.7906
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 01:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.701
            [stop_loss] => 3.7906
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 02:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.6882
            [stop_loss] => 3.7906
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 02:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.6754
            [stop_loss] => 3.7906
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 02:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.6626
            [stop_loss] => 3.7906
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 02:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.6498
            [stop_loss] => 3.7906
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 02:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.637
            [stop_loss] => 3.7906
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 02:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.6242
            [stop_loss] => 3.7906
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 02:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.6114
            [stop_loss] => 3.7906
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 02:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.5986
            [stop_loss] => 3.7906
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 02:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.5858
            [stop_loss] => 3.7906
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 02:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.053
            [max_drawdown] => 0.029
            [rr_ratio] => 1.83
            [high] => 3.79400000
            [low] => 3.71200000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.41
            [mae_pct] => 0.77
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.83
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-19T00:51:35-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-19T02:51:35-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.053
            [max_drawdown] => 0.075
            [rr_ratio] => 0.71
            [high] => 3.84000000
            [low] => 3.71200000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.41
            [mae_pct] => 1.99
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.71
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-19T00:51:35-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-19T07:51:35-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 3.77600000
            [high_after] => 3.84000000
            [low_before] => 3.66000000
            [low_after] => 3.71200000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)