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Short Trade on AR

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Short Trade on AR 19 Jan 2026 at 02:30:20

Take profit at 3.7222 (1.22 %) and Stop Loss at 3.7909 (0.61 %)

Short Trade on AR

The 19 Jan 2026 at 02:30:20

With 349.3024 AR at 3.768$ per unit.

Position size of 1316.1713 $

Take profit at 3.7222 (1.22 %) and Stop Loss at 3.7909 (0.61 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.66
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.89
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.53
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.73
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_medium
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.69247

15m : 0.014021

1H : 0.088161

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.04
  4. atr: 0.0152685292
Details
  1. score: 1.04
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 3.78321
  4. ema21 : 3.88357
  5. ema50 : 3.96427
  6. ema100 : 3.98825
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00402211
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0258414
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.020358
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0552259
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.651463
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.401128
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.191554
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0934047
  17. rsi : 0.376848
  18. adx : 0.396951
  19. kc_percentage : 0.170561
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0883441
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.148382
  22. volume_ema1 : 135975.82301464
  23. volume_ema2 : 159667.63017846
  24. chop : 10.7509
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 3.73918
  28. ema21 : 3.74063
  29. ema50 : 3.81963
  30. ema100 : 3.90212
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00770509
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.000387206
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0206816
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0343717
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0774005
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.034711
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.120147
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.100066
  41. rsi : 0.52455
  42. adx : 0.307828
  43. kc_percentage : 0.735609
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0328557
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.58092
  46. volume_ema1 : 22001.225735536
  47. volume_ema2 : 52498.906994594
  48. chop : 56.9723
  49. regime : bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 3.74619
  52. ema21 : 3.73549
  53. ema50 : 3.72919
  54. ema100 : 3.76447
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.0058217
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00286429
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00168786
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00093572
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.00734257
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0180579
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0095771
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.0176299
  65. rsi : 0.646247
  66. adx : 0.182419
  67. kc_percentage : 1.03713
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0157269
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.308153
  70. volume_ema1 : 7848.7484339261
  71. volume_ema2 : 11344.645872189
  72. chop : 53.999
  73. regime : bull_medium
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    92961.4
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00408118
  78. 5m_price: 
    92582.1
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.69247
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    93949.5
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0145553
  83. 15m_price: 
    92582.1
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.014021
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    95019
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.025647
  88. 1H_price: 
    92582.1
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.088161
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 08:00:00
                    [1] => 4.062
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 14:00:00
                    [1] => 3.815
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 03:00:00
                    [1] => 4.084
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 10:00:00
                    [1] => 3.878
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 10:00:00
                    [1] => 4.167
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 19:00:00
                    [1] => 4.12
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 20:00:00
                    [1] => 4.005
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 02:00:00
                    [1] => 3.987
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 15:00:00
                    [1] => 4.189
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 19:00:00
                    [1] => 3.452
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -10.026259250418
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 9.1830822711472
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 11
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 21.349942062572
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 12:30:00
                    [1] => 4.088
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 13:45:00
                    [1] => 4.171
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 14:45:00
                    [1] => 4.121
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 15:30:00
                    [1] => 4.189
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 19:00:00
                    [1] => 3.452
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 22:15:00
                    [1] => 3.66
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 22:45:00
                    [1] => 3.734
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 00:15:00
                    [1] => 3.665
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 00:45:00
                    [1] => 3.776
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 02:30:00
                    [1] => 3.773
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.10601643254704
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.837653478854
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.079512324410275
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 20:50:00
                    [1] => 3.66
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 21:30:00
                    [1] => 3.698
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 22:15:00
                    [1] => 3.66
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 22:55:00
                    [1] => 3.734
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 00:15:00
                    [1] => 3.665
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 00:50:00
                    [1] => 3.776
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 01:15:00
                    [1] => 3.713
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 01:30:00
                    [1] => 3.763
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 01:50:00
                    [1] => 3.712
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 02:30:00
                    [1] => 3.773
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.10601643254704
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.5355603448276
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.6433189655172
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.11%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.54%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
8 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.64%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0149
0.39%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0622
1.67%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-18 20:50:00 3.66 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 21:30:00 3.698 ↑ High
2026-01-18 22:15:00 3.66 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 22:55:00 3.734 ↑ High
2026-01-19 00:15:00 3.665 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 00:50:00 3.776 ↑ High
2026-01-19 01:15:00 3.713 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 01:30:00 3.763 ↑ High
2026-01-19 01:50:00 3.712 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 02:30:00 3.773 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.11%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.84%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
9 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.08%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.3981
10.50%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.2702
7.26%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-18 12:30:00 4.088 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 13:45:00 4.171 ↑ High
2026-01-18 14:45:00 4.121 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 15:30:00 4.189 ↑ High
2026-01-18 19:00:00 3.452 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 22:15:00 3.66 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 22:45:00 3.734 ↑ High
2026-01-19 00:15:00 3.665 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 00:45:00 3.776 ↑ High
2026-01-19 02:30:00 3.773 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-10.03%
Dist From Last Low Pct
9.18%
Bars Since Swing High
11 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
21.35%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.3981
10.50%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.2702
7.26%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-15 08:00:00 4.062 ↑ High
2026-01-15 14:00:00 3.815 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 03:00:00 4.084 ↑ High
2026-01-16 10:00:00 3.878 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 10:00:00 4.167 ↑ High
2026-01-17 19:00:00 4.12 ↑ High
2026-01-17 20:00:00 4.005 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 02:00:00 3.987 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 15:00:00 4.189 ↑ High
2026-01-18 19:00:00 3.452 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
19 Jan 2026
02:30:20		 19 Jan 2026
02:50:00		 19 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
3.768 3.7909 3.7222 2 1.65
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 3.768
  • Stop Loss: 3.7909
  • Take Profit: 3.7222

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 3.7909 - 3.768 = 0.0229

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 3.768 - 3.7222 = 0.0458

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0458 / 0.0229 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1316.1713 100 349.3024 13.16
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0229

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0229 = 349.34

Taille de position USD = 349.34 x 3.768 = 1316.31

Donc, tu peux acheter 349.34 avec un stoploss a 3.7909

Avec un position size USD de 1316.31$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 349.34 x 0.0229 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 349.34 x 0.0458 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 349.34
  • Taille de position USD 1316.31
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.22 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.61 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.61
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.69 % 113.54 % 3

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.7222
            [entry_price] => 3.768
            [stop_loss] => 3.79319
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 02:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.7222
            [entry_price] => 3.768
            [stop_loss] => 3.79548
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 03:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.7222
            [entry_price] => 3.768
            [stop_loss] => 3.79777
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 03:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.7222
            [entry_price] => 3.768
            [stop_loss] => 3.80235
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 03:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.021
            [max_drawdown] => 0.072
            [rr_ratio] => 0.29
            [high] => 3.84000000
            [low] => 3.74700000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.56
            [mae_pct] => 1.91
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.29
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-19T02:30:20-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-19T04:30:20-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.051
            [max_drawdown] => 0.072
            [rr_ratio] => 0.71
            [high] => 3.84000000
            [low] => 3.71700000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.35
            [mae_pct] => 1.91
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.71
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-19T02:30:20-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-19T09:30:20-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 3.77600000
            [high_after] => 3.84000000
            [low_before] => 3.66500000
            [low_after] => 3.71700000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)