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Short Trade on AR

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Short Trade on AR 19 Jan 2026 at 02:37:45

Take profit at 3.7322 (1.26 %) and Stop Loss at 3.8039 (0.63 %)

Short Trade on AR

The 19 Jan 2026 at 02:37:45

With 334.9026 AR at 3.78$ per unit.

Position size of 1265.9317 $

Take profit at 3.7322 (1.26 %) and Stop Loss at 3.8039 (0.63 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.07
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.6
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.66
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.76
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_medium
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.686601

15m : -0.042472

1H : -0.101428

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.13
  4. atr: 0.01592502964
Details
  1. score: 1.13
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 3.78561
  4. ema21 : 3.88466
  5. ema50 : 3.96474
  6. ema100 : 3.98849
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00148365
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0254971
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0201991
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0522736
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.64659
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.3989
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.190587
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0929137
  17. rsi : 0.388477
  18. adx : 0.394823
  19. kc_percentage : 0.207396
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0893335
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.138487
  22. volume_ema1 : 137733.89564797
  23. volume_ema2 : 159874.46225297
  24. chop : 10.7841
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 3.73938
  28. ema21 : 3.74072
  29. ema50 : 3.81967
  30. ema100 : 3.90214
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0108602
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.000358034
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0206679
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0313014
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0778504
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0345093
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.120063
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.100025
  41. rsi : 0.526204
  42. adx : 0.309188
  43. kc_percentage : 0.822395
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0337037
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.574723
  46. volume_ema1 : 22343.68356887
  47. volume_ema2 : 52539.196151457
  48. chop : 57.0211
  49. regime : bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 3.75311
  52. ema21 : 3.73961
  53. ema50 : 3.73065
  54. ema100 : 3.7606
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00716401
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00360859
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00240132
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00515629
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0311979
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0279958
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0149849
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.0122951
  65. rsi : 0.677554
  66. adx : 0.19602
  67. kc_percentage : 1.12835
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0166601
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.460987
  70. volume_ema1 : 6876.4189781729
  71. volume_ema2 : 12757.448193749
  72. chop : 46.5131
  73. regime : bull_medium
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    92924.2
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00380274
  78. 5m_price: 
    92570.9
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.686601
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    93949.1
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0147974
  83. 15m_price: 
    92558.9
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.042472
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    95018.8
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0257626
  88. 1H_price: 
    92570.9
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.101428
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 14:00:00
                    [1] => 3.815
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 03:00:00
                    [1] => 4.084
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 10:00:00
                    [1] => 3.878
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 10:00:00
                    [1] => 4.167
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 19:00:00
                    [1] => 4.12
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 20:00:00
                    [1] => 4.005
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 02:00:00
                    [1] => 3.987
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 15:00:00
                    [1] => 4.189
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 19:00:00
                    [1] => 3.452
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 02:00:00
                    [1] => 3.784
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.18498942917547
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 9.41483198146
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 9.6176129779838
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 12:30:00
                    [1] => 4.088
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 13:45:00
                    [1] => 4.171
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 14:45:00
                    [1] => 4.121
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 15:30:00
                    [1] => 4.189
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 19:00:00
                    [1] => 3.452
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 22:15:00
                    [1] => 3.66
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 22:45:00
                    [1] => 3.734
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 00:15:00
                    [1] => 3.665
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 00:45:00
                    [1] => 3.776
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 02:30:00
                    [1] => 3.784
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.18498942917547
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.055934515689
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.21186440677966
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 20:50:00
                    [1] => 3.66
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 21:30:00
                    [1] => 3.698
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 22:15:00
                    [1] => 3.66
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 22:55:00
                    [1] => 3.734
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 00:15:00
                    [1] => 3.665
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 00:50:00
                    [1] => 3.776
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 01:15:00
                    [1] => 3.713
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 01:30:00
                    [1] => 3.763
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 01:50:00
                    [1] => 3.712
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 02:35:00
                    [1] => 3.784
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.18498942917547
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.7510775862069
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.9396551724138
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.18%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.75%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
9 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.94%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0199
0.52%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0722
1.93%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-18 20:50:00 3.66 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 21:30:00 3.698 ↑ High
2026-01-18 22:15:00 3.66 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 22:55:00 3.734 ↑ High
2026-01-19 00:15:00 3.665 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 00:50:00 3.776 ↑ High
2026-01-19 01:15:00 3.713 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 01:30:00 3.763 ↑ High
2026-01-19 01:50:00 3.712 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 02:35:00 3.784 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.18%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.06%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
9 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.21%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.3851
10.12%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.2802
7.51%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-18 12:30:00 4.088 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 13:45:00 4.171 ↑ High
2026-01-18 14:45:00 4.121 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 15:30:00 4.189 ↑ High
2026-01-18 19:00:00 3.452 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 22:15:00 3.66 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 22:45:00 3.734 ↑ High
2026-01-19 00:15:00 3.665 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 00:45:00 3.776 ↑ High
2026-01-19 02:30:00 3.784 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.18%
Dist From Last Low Pct
9.41%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
9.62%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.3851
10.12%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.2802
7.51%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-15 14:00:00 3.815 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 03:00:00 4.084 ↑ High
2026-01-16 10:00:00 3.878 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 10:00:00 4.167 ↑ High
2026-01-17 19:00:00 4.12 ↑ High
2026-01-17 20:00:00 4.005 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 02:00:00 3.987 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 15:00:00 4.189 ↑ High
2026-01-18 19:00:00 3.452 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 02:00:00 3.784 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
19 Jan 2026
02:37:45		 19 Jan 2026
03:20:00		 42 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
3.78 3.8039 3.7322 2 1.67
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 3.78
  • Stop Loss: 3.8039
  • Take Profit: 3.7322

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 3.8039 - 3.78 = 0.0239

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 3.78 - 3.7322 = 0.0478

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0478 / 0.0239 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1265.9317 100 334.9026 12.66
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0239

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0239 = 334.73

Taille de position USD = 334.73 x 3.78 = 1265.28

Donc, tu peux acheter 334.73 avec un stoploss a 3.8039

Avec un position size USD de 1265.28$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 334.73 x 0.0239 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 334.73 x 0.0478 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 334.73
  • Taille de position USD 1265.28
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.26 % 16.01 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.63 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.63
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.7937 % 125.53 % 4

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.7322
            [entry_price] => 3.78
            [stop_loss] => 3.80629
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 03:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.7322
            [entry_price] => 3.78
            [stop_loss] => 3.80868
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 03:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.7322
            [entry_price] => 3.78
            [stop_loss] => 3.81107
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 03:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.7322
            [entry_price] => 3.78
            [stop_loss] => 3.81585
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 03:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.033
            [max_drawdown] => 0.06
            [rr_ratio] => 0.55
            [high] => 3.84000000
            [low] => 3.74700000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.87
            [mae_pct] => 1.59
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.55
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-19T02:37:45-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-19T04:37:45-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.063
            [max_drawdown] => 0.06
            [rr_ratio] => 1.05
            [high] => 3.84000000
            [low] => 3.71700000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.67
            [mae_pct] => 1.59
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.05
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-19T02:37:45-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-19T09:37:45-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 3.78400000
            [high_after] => 3.84000000
            [low_before] => 3.66500000
            [low_after] => 3.71700000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)