Short Trade on BTC 19 Jan 2026 at 02:54:02
Take profit at 92529.6742 (0.23 %) and Stop Loss at 92846.5129 (0.11 %)
Short Trade on BTC 19 Jan 2026 at 02:54:02
Take profit at 92529.6742 (0.23 %) and Stop Loss at 92846.5129 (0.11 %)
Position size of 7024.9671 $
Take profit at 92529.6742 (0.23 %) and Stop Loss at 92846.5129 (0.11 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.8 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.74 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.51 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_low 15m_regime : bear_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 1 15m : 0.009951 1H : -0.036707 |
1 |
Indicators:
92856.7
-0.0012474
92740.9
1
93912.8
-0.0132163
92671.7
0.009951
95022.2
-0.0240081
92740.9
-0.036707
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 03:00:00
[1] => 95800
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 09:00:00
[1] => 95765
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 10:00:00
[1] => 94259
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 16:00:00
[1] => 95555
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 03:00:00
[1] => 94980.9
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 10:00:00
[1] => 95626
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 20:00:00
[1] => 94810.1
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 08:00:00
[1] => 94870
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 13:00:00
[1] => 95490.3
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 19:00:00
[1] => 91850
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.8509702032563
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.9993467610234
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 13
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.9633097441481
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 1
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 13:45:00
[1] => 95490.3
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 15:00:00
[1] => 95235.9
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 17:00:00
[1] => 95489.4
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 19:00:00
[1] => 91850
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 20:45:00
[1] => 92190.9
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 22:15:00
[1] => 92747
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 23:15:00
[1] => 92450
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 00:30:00
[1] => 92770.9
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 01:15:00
[1] => 92352
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 02:45:00
[1] => 92767.9
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.45034216909216
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.45034216909216
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 1
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 19:40:00
[1] => 93017.2
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 20:45:00
[1] => 92190.9
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 21:20:00
[1] => 92639.3
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 22:15:00
[1] => 92747
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 22:20:00
[1] => 92450
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 23:00:00
[1] => 92719.9
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 23:20:00
[1] => 92450
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 00:30:00
[1] => 92770.9
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 01:15:00
[1] => 92352
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 02:50:00
[1] => 92767.9
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.45034216909216
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 19
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.45034216909216
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 3
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-18 19:40:00 | 93017.2 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-18 20:45:00 | 92190.9 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 21:20:00 | 92639.3 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-18 22:15:00 | 92747 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-18 22:20:00 | 92450 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 23:00:00 | 92719.9 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-18 23:20:00 | 92450 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-19 00:30:00 | 92770.9 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-19 01:15:00 | 92352 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-19 02:50:00 | 92767.9 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-18 13:45:00 | 95490.3 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-18 15:00:00 | 95235.9 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 17:00:00 | 95489.4 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-18 19:00:00 | 91850 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 20:45:00 | 92190.9 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 22:15:00 | 92747 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-18 23:15:00 | 92450 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-19 00:30:00 | 92770.9 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-19 01:15:00 | 92352 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-19 02:45:00 | 92767.9 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-16 03:00:00 | 95800 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-16 09:00:00 | 95765 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-16 10:00:00 | 94259 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-16 16:00:00 | 95555 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-17 03:00:00 | 94980.9 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-17 10:00:00 | 95626 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-17 20:00:00 | 94810.1 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 08:00:00 | 94870 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 13:00:00 | 95490.3 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-18 19:00:00 | 91850 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan 2026 02:54:02 |
19 Jan 2026 03:15:00 |
20 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 92740.9 | 92846.5129 | 92529.6742 | 2 | 67242.4 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 92846.5129 - 92740.9 = 105.61290000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 92740.9 - 92529.6742 = 211.2258
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 211.2258 / 105.61290000001 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7024.9671 | 100 | 0.07575 | 70.25 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 105.61290000001 = 0.08
Taille de position USD = 0.08 x 92740.9 = 7419.27
Donc, tu peux acheter 0.08 avec un stoploss a 92846.5129
Avec un position size USD de 7419.27$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 0.08 x 105.61290000001 = 8.45
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.45$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 0.08 x 211.2258 = 16.9
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.9$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.23 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.11 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.11 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1981 % | 173.92 % | 5 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 92529.6742
[entry_price] => 92740.9
[stop_loss] => 92857.07419
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-01-19 03:15:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 92529.6742
[entry_price] => 92740.9
[stop_loss] => 92867.63548
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-01-19 03:15:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 92529.6742
[entry_price] => 92740.9
[stop_loss] => 92878.19677
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-01-19 03:15:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 92529.6742
[entry_price] => 92740.9
[stop_loss] => 92899.31935
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-19 03:15:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 90
[max_drawdown] => 575.60000000001
[rr_ratio] => 0.16
[high] => 93316.50000000
[low] => 92650.90000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.1
[mae_pct] => 0.62
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.16
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-01-19T02:54:02-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-19T04:54:02-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 90
[max_drawdown] => 575.60000000001
[rr_ratio] => 0.16
[high] => 93316.50000000
[low] => 92650.90000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.1
[mae_pct] => 0.62
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.16
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-01-19T02:54:02-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-19T09:54:02-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 92770.90000000
[high_after] => 93316.50000000
[low_before] => 92352.00000000
[low_after] => 92650.90000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)