Short Trade on TRUMP 19 Jan 2026 at 03:19:58

Take profit at 4.9572 (0.54 %) and Stop Loss at 4.9974 (0.27 %)

Short Trade on TRUMP

The 19 Jan 2026 at 03:19:58

With 597.0428 TRUMP at 4.984$ per unit.

Position size of 2975.6611 $

Take profit at 4.9572 (0.54 %) and Stop Loss at 4.9974 (0.27 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 50
ML Pullback Score: 4.82
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.76
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.52
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.61
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.652031

15m : 0.05994

1H : -0.068017

2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.2
  4. atr: 0.008932916913
Details
  1. score: 1.2
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 4.98579
  4. ema21 : 5.0634
  5. ema50 : 5.17839
  6. ema100 : 5.27017
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.000360893
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0153265
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0222067
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0543003
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.330894
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.267737
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.178246
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.114775
  17. rsi : 0.300596
  18. adx : 0.617242
  19. kc_percentage : 0.17595
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0455742
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.538892
  22. volume_ema1 : 359887.70864372
  23. volume_ema2 : 780485.83308744
  24. chop : 6.00532
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 4.96109
  29. ema21 : 4.9625
  30. ema50 : 5.01268
  31. ema100 : 5.08371
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.00461727
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.000283582
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0100109
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.0196148
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.0295623
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.0177076
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0582886
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0570189
  42. rsi : 0.554491
  43. adx : 0.46614
  44. kc_percentage : 0.804681
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0148418
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.938772
  47. volume_ema1 : 15505.185101644
  48. volume_ema2 : 253239.09873975
  49. chop : 66.5737
  50. regime : bear_medium
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 4.96469
  54. ema21 : 4.9577
  55. ema50 : 4.95216
  56. ema100 : 4.95093
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00388846
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00141063
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00111766
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.00667903
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.0203429
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0157923
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.00870947
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.00415192
  67. rsi : 0.710044
  68. adx : 0.202388
  69. kc_percentage : 1.20417
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.00738009
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.978897
  72. volume_ema1 : 6502.2249989497
  73. volume_ema2 : 308124.61682416
  74. chop : 41.3387
  75. regime : range_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    92645.6
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00244348
  81. 5m_price:
    92872
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.652031
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    93865.2
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0105816
  86. 15m_price:
    92872
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.05994
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    94994
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0223386
  91. 1H_price:
    92872
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.068017
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 04:00:00
                        [1] => 5.433
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 10:00:00
                        [1] => 5.287
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 16:00:00
                        [1] => 5.406
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 03:00:00
                        [1] => 5.387
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 06:00:00
                        [1] => 5.356
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 10:00:00
                        [1] => 5.466
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 17:00:00
                        [1] => 5.264
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 10:00:00
                        [1] => 5.131
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 19:00:00
                        [1] => 4.562
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 03:00:00
                        [1] => 4.984
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.020064205457471
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 9.2284085927225
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 9.2503288031565
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 12:30:00
                        [1] => 5.149
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 13:30:00
                        [1] => 5.207
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 14:45:00
                        [1] => 5.168
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 17:00:00
                        [1] => 5.198
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 19:00:00
                        [1] => 4.562
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 21:30:00
                        [1] => 4.977
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 23:00:00
                        [1] => 4.962
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 23:45:00
                        [1] => 4.925
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 01:15:00
                        [1] => 4.962
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 03:15:00
                        [1] => 4.984
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.020064205457471
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.1776649746193
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 14
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.44336960902862
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 22:35:00
                        [1] => 4.937
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 23:10:00
                        [1] => 4.962
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 23:55:00
                        [1] => 4.925
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 00:30:00
                        [1] => 4.955
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 01:15:00
                        [1] => 4.929
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 01:25:00
                        [1] => 4.962
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 01:45:00
                        [1] => 4.937
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 02:15:00
                        [1] => 4.961
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 02:45:00
                        [1] => 4.947
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 03:15:00
                        [1] => 4.984
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.020064205457471
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.72771376591873
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.74792803719426
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.02%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.73%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.75%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0134
0.27%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0322
0.65%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-18 22:35:00 4.937 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 23:10:00 4.962 ↑ High
2026-01-18 23:55:00 4.925 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 00:30:00 4.955 ↑ High
2026-01-19 01:15:00 4.929 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 01:25:00 4.962 ↑ High
2026-01-19 01:45:00 4.937 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 02:15:00 4.961 ↑ High
2026-01-19 02:45:00 4.947 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 03:15:00 4.984 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.02%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.18%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
14 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.44%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.2096
4.19%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.3952
7.97%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-18 12:30:00 5.149 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 13:30:00 5.207 ↑ High
2026-01-18 14:45:00 5.168 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 17:00:00 5.198 ↑ High
2026-01-18 19:00:00 4.562 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 21:30:00 4.977 ↑ High
2026-01-18 23:00:00 4.962 ↑ High
2026-01-18 23:45:00 4.925 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 01:15:00 4.962 ↑ High
2026-01-19 03:15:00 4.984 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.02%
Dist From Last Low Pct
9.23%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
8 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
9.25%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.4686
9.38%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.3952
7.97%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-16 04:00:00 5.433 ↑ High
2026-01-16 10:00:00 5.287 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 16:00:00 5.406 ↑ High
2026-01-17 03:00:00 5.387 ↑ High
2026-01-17 06:00:00 5.356 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 10:00:00 5.466 ↑ High
2026-01-17 17:00:00 5.264 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 10:00:00 5.131 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 19:00:00 4.562 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 03:00:00 4.984 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
19 Jan 2026
03:19:58
19 Jan 2026
04:10:00
50 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
4.984 4.9974 4.9572 2 3.49
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 4.984
  • Stop Loss: 4.9974
  • Take Profit: 4.9572

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 4.9974 - 4.984 = 0.0134

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 4.984 - 4.9572 = 0.0268

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0268 / 0.0134 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
2975.6611 100 597.0428 29.76
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0134

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0134 = 597.01

Taille de position USD = 597.01 x 4.984 = 2975.5

Donc, tu peux acheter 597.01 avec un stoploss a 4.9974

Avec un position size USD de 2975.5$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 597.01 x 0.0134 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 597.01 x 0.0268 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 597.01
  • Taille de position USD 2975.5
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.54 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.27 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.54
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.1003 % 37.3 % 2

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.9572
            [stop_loss] => 4.9974
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 04:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.9505
            [stop_loss] => 4.9974
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 07:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.031
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0049999999999999
            [rr_ratio] => 6.2
            [high] => 4.98900000
            [low] => 4.95300000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.62
            [mae_pct] => 0.1
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 6.2
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-19T03:19:58-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-19T05:19:58-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.037
            [max_drawdown] => 0.027
            [rr_ratio] => 1.37
            [high] => 5.01100000
            [low] => 4.94700000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.74
            [mae_pct] => 0.54
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.37
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-19T03:19:58-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-19T10:19:58-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 4.98400000
            [high_after] => 4.98900000
            [low_before] => 4.92500000
            [low_after] => 4.94700000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)