Short Trade on AAVE 19 Jan 2026 at 03:25:19

Take profit at 161.9964 (0.66 %) and Stop Loss at 163.6068 (0.33 %)

Short Trade on AAVE

The 19 Jan 2026 at 03:25:19

With 14.9034 AAVE at 163.07$ per unit.

Position size of 2430.2956 $

Take profit at 161.9964 (0.66 %) and Stop Loss at 163.6068 (0.33 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.4
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.76
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.48
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.7
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.681764

15m : 0.112033

1H : 0.082796

2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.03
  4. atr: 0.3578604389
Details
  1. score: 1.03
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 164.158
  4. ema21 : 167.496
  5. ema50 : 170.575
  6. ema100 : 172.091
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00663289
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0199295
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0180468
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.05242
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.510174
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.325883
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.167687
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0905088
  17. rsi : 0.288741
  18. adx : 0.464982
  19. kc_percentage : -0.0273826
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0491119
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.477839
  22. volume_ema1 : 295787.98113106
  23. volume_ema2 : 566469.35647806
  24. chop : 10.9794
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 162.22
  29. ema21 : 162.863
  30. ema50 : 165.572
  31. ema100 : 168.326
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.00523818
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00394872
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0163623
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.0312281
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : -0.0431708
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.0802753
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.105934
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0826526
  42. rsi : 0.402583
  43. adx : 0.485631
  44. kc_percentage : 0.607856
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0164586
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.813279
  47. volume_ema1 : 28718.952076978
  48. volume_ema2 : 153807.16529339
  49. chop : 65.5572
  50. regime : bear_medium
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 162.499
  54. ema21 : 162.304
  55. ema50 : 162.399
  56. ema100 : 162.59
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00350925
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00120172
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.000582804
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.00294801
  61. all_emas_in_trend : False
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.0228191
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0101089
  65. ema_slope_50 : -0.00191285
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.00377946
  67. rsi : 0.646544
  68. adx : 0.153639
  69. kc_percentage : 1.02584
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.00886471
  71. volume_ema_diff : 0.0766361
  72. volume_ema1 : 23007.553305738
  73. volume_ema2 : 21369.850005689
  74. chop : 44.4256
  75. regime : range_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    92595.7
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.0059872
  81. 5m_price:
    93150.1
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.681764
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    93865.2
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0105743
  86. 15m_price:
    92872.7
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.112033
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    94999.5
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0194679
  91. 1H_price:
    93150.1
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.082796
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 03:00:00
                        [1] => 174.19
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 10:00:00
                        [1] => 168.21
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 21:00:00
                        [1] => 177.21
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 03:00:00
                        [1] => 173.63
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 11:00:00
                        [1] => 176.51
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 20:00:00
                        [1] => 171.8
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 10:00:00
                        [1] => 172.07
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 13:00:00
                        [1] => 177.18
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 19:00:00
                        [1] => 156.47
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 01:00:00
                        [1] => 161.29
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -8.1329721187493
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.91760183520368
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 14
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.0804627085064
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 07:30:00
                        [1] => 173.59
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 08:15:00
                        [1] => 172.32
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 10:00:00
                        [1] => 172.07
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 13:45:00
                        [1] => 177.18
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 16:00:00
                        [1] => 175.96
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 16:15:00
                        [1] => 174.23
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 19:00:00
                        [1] => 156.47
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 00:30:00
                        [1] => 163.47
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 01:45:00
                        [1] => 161.29
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 03:15:00
                        [1] => 163.34
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.34896534835312
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.91760183520368
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.2710025420051
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 21:45:00
                        [1] => 162.89
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 22:05:00
                        [1] => 163.78
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 22:20:00
                        [1] => 162.76
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 22:55:00
                        [1] => 163.71
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 23:20:00
                        [1] => 162.69
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 00:00:00
                        [1] => 163.4
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 00:30:00
                        [1] => 163.47
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 01:45:00
                        [1] => 161.29
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 02:25:00
                        [1] => 162.48
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 03:20:00
                        [1] => 163.34
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.34896534835312
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.91760183520368
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 20
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.52929591334319
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.35%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.92%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
20 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.53%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.1732
0.11%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.7064
0.44%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-18 21:45:00 162.89 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 22:05:00 163.78 ↑ High
2026-01-18 22:20:00 162.76 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 22:55:00 163.71 ↑ High
2026-01-18 23:20:00 162.69 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 00:00:00 163.4 ↑ High
2026-01-19 00:30:00 163.47 ↑ High
2026-01-19 01:45:00 161.29 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 02:25:00 162.48 ↑ High
2026-01-19 03:20:00 163.34 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.35%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.92%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.27%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
13.5732
8.30%
TP to Pivot Distance
5.5264
3.41%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-18 07:30:00 173.59 ↑ High
2026-01-18 08:15:00 172.32 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 10:00:00 172.07 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 13:45:00 177.18 ↑ High
2026-01-18 16:00:00 175.96 ↑ High
2026-01-18 16:15:00 174.23 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 19:00:00 156.47 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 00:30:00 163.47 ↑ High
2026-01-19 01:45:00 161.29 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 03:15:00 163.34 ↑ High
1H - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-8.13%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.92%
Bars Since Swing High
14 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.08%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
13.6032
8.31%
TP to Pivot Distance
5.5264
3.41%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-16 03:00:00 174.19 ↑ High
2026-01-16 10:00:00 168.21 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 21:00:00 177.21 ↑ High
2026-01-17 03:00:00 173.63 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 11:00:00 176.51 ↑ High
2026-01-17 20:00:00 171.8 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 10:00:00 172.07 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 13:00:00 177.18 ↑ High
2026-01-18 19:00:00 156.47 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 01:00:00 161.29 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
19 Jan 2026
03:25:19
19 Jan 2026
04:00:00
34 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
163.07 163.6068 161.9964 2 114.95
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 163.07
  • Stop Loss: 163.6068
  • Take Profit: 161.9964

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 163.6068 - 163.07 = 0.5368

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 163.07 - 161.9964 = 1.0736

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.0736 / 0.5368 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
2430.2956 100 14.9034 24.30
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.5368

Taille de position = 8 / 0.5368 = 14.9

Taille de position USD = 14.9 x 163.07 = 2429.74

Donc, tu peux acheter 14.9 avec un stoploss a 163.6068

Avec un position size USD de 2429.74$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 14.9 x 0.5368 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 14.9 x 1.0736 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 14.9
  • Taille de position USD 2429.74
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.66 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.33 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.33
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.417 % 126.67 % 4

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 161.9964
            [entry_price] => 163.07
            [stop_loss] => 163.66048
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 04:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 161.9964
            [entry_price] => 163.07
            [stop_loss] => 163.71416
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 04:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 161.9964
            [entry_price] => 163.07
            [stop_loss] => 163.76784
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 06:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 161.9964
            [entry_price] => 163.07
            [stop_loss] => 163.8752
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 06:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.78999999999999
            [max_drawdown] => 0.68000000000001
            [rr_ratio] => 1.16
            [high] => 163.75000000
            [low] => 162.28000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.48
            [mae_pct] => 0.42
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.16
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-19T03:25:19-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-19T05:25:19-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.02
            [max_drawdown] => 1.31
            [rr_ratio] => 0.78
            [high] => 164.38000000
            [low] => 162.05000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.63
            [mae_pct] => 0.8
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.78
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-19T03:25:19-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-19T10:25:19-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 163.47000000
            [high_after] => 164.38000000
            [low_before] => 161.29000000
            [low_after] => 162.05000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)