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Short Trade on AVAX

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Short Trade on AVAX 19 Jan 2026 at 03:25:53

Take profit at 12.7049 (0.76 %) and Stop Loss at 12.8505 (0.38 %)

Short Trade on AVAX

The 19 Jan 2026 at 03:25:53

With 164.8299 AVAX at 12.802$ per unit.

Position size of 2110.1529 $

Take profit at 12.7049 (0.76 %) and Stop Loss at 12.8505 (0.38 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 60
ML Pullback Score: 5.93
Prediction Score: 5
Prediction 1 Probability
Strong Trade
0.85
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.53
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.6
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

5m_regime : bull_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.74632

15m : 0.022974

1H : -0.05963

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.53
  4. atr: 0.03235658165
Details
  1. score: 1.53
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 12.7821
  4. ema21 : 13.05
  5. ema50 : 13.3518
  6. ema100 : 13.5871
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.0015568
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0205328
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0226014
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0577883
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.517216
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.356716
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.200687
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.123477
  17. rsi : 0.350971
  18. adx : 0.445862
  19. kc_percentage : 0.162694
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0533505
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.150462
  22. volume_ema1 : 927656.61523293
  23. volume_ema2 : 1091955.210605
  24. chop : 7.36308
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 12.6377
  28. ema21 : 12.6656
  29. ema50 : 12.8743
  30. ema100 : 13.1204
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0129929
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00219848
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.016209
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0242687
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.00194304
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0551436
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0995487
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0852944
  41. rsi : 0.503553
  42. adx : 0.436788
  43. kc_percentage : 1.16153
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0167346
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.548929
  46. volume_ema1 : 167038.4168775
  47. volume_ema2 : 370315.90449412
  48. chop : 66.739
  49. regime : bear_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 12.6998
  52. ema21 : 12.657
  53. ema50 : 12.6351
  54. ema100 : 12.6183
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00804284
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00338479
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00172925
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.0145546
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0616499
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.033503
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0139678
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.00846679
  65. rsi : 0.793369
  66. adx : 0.223742
  67. kc_percentage : 1.53126
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0108373
  69. volume_ema_diff : 0.657283
  70. volume_ema1 : 124721.76602876
  71. volume_ema2 : 75256.737721439
  72. chop : 18.5241
  73. regime : bull_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    92595.7
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.0059872
  78. 5m_price: 
    93150.1
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.74632
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    93865.2
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0105743
  83. 15m_price: 
    92872.7
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.022974
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    94999.5
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0194679
  88. 1H_price: 
    93150.1
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.05963
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 23:00:00
                    [1] => 13.674
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 03:00:00
                    [1] => 13.859
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 11:00:00
                    [1] => 13.182
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 16:00:00
                    [1] => 13.66
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 02:00:00
                    [1] => 13.522
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 09:00:00
                    [1] => 13.966
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 10:00:00
                    [1] => 13.463
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 17:00:00
                    [1] => 13.754
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 19:00:00
                    [1] => 12.064
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 03:00:00
                    [1] => 12.815
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.34334763948497
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 5.8604111405836
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 6.2251326259947
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 11:30:00
                    [1] => 13.615
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 12:30:00
                    [1] => 13.54
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 13:45:00
                    [1] => 13.729
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 14:45:00
                    [1] => 13.612
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 17:00:00
                    [1] => 13.754
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 19:00:00
                    [1] => 12.064
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 21:15:00
                    [1] => 12.751
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 23:00:00
                    [1] => 12.73
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 01:30:00
                    [1] => 12.543
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 03:15:00
                    [1] => 12.815
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.34334763948497
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.8177469504903
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.1685402216376
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 1
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 20:45:00
                    [1] => 12.531
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 21:20:00
                    [1] => 12.751
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 22:20:00
                    [1] => 12.625
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 23:00:00
                    [1] => 12.73
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 00:15:00
                    [1] => 12.58
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 00:30:00
                    [1] => 12.676
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 01:30:00
                    [1] => 12.623
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 01:35:00
                    [1] => 12.543
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 03:00:00
                    [1] => 12.598
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 03:20:00
                    [1] => 12.815
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.34334763948497
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.3732338466423
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.7224956342276
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 1
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.34%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.37%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.72%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0355
0.28%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.1739
1.37%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-18 20:45:00 12.531 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 21:20:00 12.751 ↑ High
2026-01-18 22:20:00 12.625 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 23:00:00 12.73 ↑ High
2026-01-19 00:15:00 12.58 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 00:30:00 12.676 ↑ High
2026-01-19 01:30:00 12.623 ↑ High
2026-01-19 01:35:00 12.543 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 03:00:00 12.598 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 03:20:00 12.815 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.34%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.82%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.17%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.9035
7.03%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.6409
5.04%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-18 11:30:00 13.615 ↑ High
2026-01-18 12:30:00 13.54 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 13:45:00 13.729 ↑ High
2026-01-18 14:45:00 13.612 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 17:00:00 13.754 ↑ High
2026-01-18 19:00:00 12.064 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 21:15:00 12.751 ↑ High
2026-01-18 23:00:00 12.73 ↑ High
2026-01-19 01:30:00 12.543 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 03:15:00 12.815 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.34%
Dist From Last Low Pct
5.86%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
8 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
6.23%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
1.1155
8.68%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.6409
5.04%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-15 23:00:00 13.674 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 03:00:00 13.859 ↑ High
2026-01-16 11:00:00 13.182 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 16:00:00 13.66 ↑ High
2026-01-17 02:00:00 13.522 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 09:00:00 13.966 ↑ High
2026-01-18 10:00:00 13.463 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 17:00:00 13.754 ↑ High
2026-01-18 19:00:00 12.064 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 03:00:00 12.815 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
19 Jan 2026
03:25:53		 19 Jan 2026
06:05:00		 2 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
12.802 12.8505 12.7049 2 9.289
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 12.802
  • Stop Loss: 12.8505
  • Take Profit: 12.7049

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 12.8505 - 12.802 = 0.048500000000001

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 12.802 - 12.7049 = 0.097099999999999

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.097099999999999 / 0.048500000000001 = 2.0021

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
2110.1529 100 164.8299 21.10
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.048500000000001

Taille de position = 8 / 0.048500000000001 = 164.95

Taille de position USD = 164.95 x 12.802 = 2111.69

Donc, tu peux acheter 164.95 avec un stoploss a 12.8505

Avec un position size USD de 2111.69$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 164.95 x 0.048500000000001 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 164.95 x 0.097099999999999 = 16.02

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.02$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 164.95
  • Taille de position USD 2111.69
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16.02
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0021

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.76 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.38 % 7.99 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.76
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.1718 % 45.35 % 5

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.705
            [stop_loss] => 12.8505
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 06:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.68075
            [stop_loss] => 12.8505
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 06:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.6565
            [stop_loss] => 12.8505
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 07:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.07
            [max_drawdown] => 0.022
            [rr_ratio] => 3.18
            [high] => 12.82400000
            [low] => 12.73200000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.55
            [mae_pct] => 0.17
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.18
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-19T03:25:53-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-19T05:25:53-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.152
            [max_drawdown] => 0.022
            [rr_ratio] => 6.91
            [high] => 12.82400000
            [low] => 12.65000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.19
            [mae_pct] => 0.17
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 6.91
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-19T03:25:53-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-19T10:25:53-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 12.81500000
            [high_after] => 12.82400000
            [low_before] => 12.54300000
            [low_after] => 12.65000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)