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Short Trade on AR

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Short Trade on AR 19 Jan 2026 at 03:26:47

Take profit at 3.7572 (1.39 %) and Stop Loss at 3.8364 (0.69 %)

Short Trade on AR

The 19 Jan 2026 at 03:26:47

With 302.9099 AR at 3.81$ per unit.

Position size of 1154.0869 $

Take profit at 3.7572 (1.39 %) and Stop Loss at 3.8364 (0.69 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -70
ML Pullback Score: 2.98
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.77
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.48
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.54
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_medium
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.370978

15m : -0.004141

1H : 0.130812

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.1
  4. atr: 0.01760699346
Details
  1. score: 1.1
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 3.78953
  4. ema21 : 3.87738
  5. ema50 : 3.95858
  6. ema100 : 3.98578
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00540086
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0226565
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0205126
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0441039
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.655454
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.425942
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.210846
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.105623
  17. rsi : 0.418124
  18. adx : 0.389246
  19. kc_percentage : 0.316342
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0882287
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.304894
  22. volume_ema1 : 108087.58998754
  23. volume_ema2 : 155498.07532134
  24. chop : 11.9845
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 3.75874
  28. ema21 : 3.7501
  29. ema50 : 3.81511
  30. ema100 : 3.89583
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0136358
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00230545
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0170415
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0220319
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.151467
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.0296553
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0827744
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.082731
  41. rsi : 0.564582
  42. adx : 0.274575
  43. kc_percentage : 0.963545
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0344405
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.69892
  46. volume_ema1 : 14380.851775961
  47. volume_ema2 : 47764.305802929
  48. chop : 49.5617
  49. regime : bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 3.78311
  52. ema21 : 3.76554
  53. ema50 : 3.74086
  54. ema100 : 3.71643
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00710665
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00466623
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00659642
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.0251754
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0944025
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0745079
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0528683
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.0379025
  65. rsi : 0.675446
  66. adx : 0.25569
  67. kc_percentage : 1.10316
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0188329
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.229003
  70. volume_ema1 : 6104.155691824
  71. volume_ema2 : 7917.2265922938
  72. chop : 44.2556
  73. regime : bull_medium
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    92594.2
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00521981
  78. 5m_price: 
    93077.6
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.370978
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    93865.2
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0105743
  83. 15m_price: 
    92872.7
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.004141
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    94998.1
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0202163
  88. 1H_price: 
    93077.6
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.130812
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 14:00:00
                    [1] => 3.815
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 03:00:00
                    [1] => 4.084
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 10:00:00
                    [1] => 3.878
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 10:00:00
                    [1] => 4.167
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 19:00:00
                    [1] => 4.12
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 20:00:00
                    [1] => 4.005
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 02:00:00
                    [1] => 3.987
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 15:00:00
                    [1] => 4.189
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 19:00:00
                    [1] => 3.452
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 03:00:00
                    [1] => 3.815
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.49803407601573
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 9.9652375434531
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 10.515643105446
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 12:30:00
                    [1] => 4.088
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 13:45:00
                    [1] => 4.171
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 14:45:00
                    [1] => 4.121
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 15:30:00
                    [1] => 4.189
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 19:00:00
                    [1] => 3.452
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 22:15:00
                    [1] => 3.66
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 22:45:00
                    [1] => 3.734
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 00:15:00
                    [1] => 3.665
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 00:45:00
                    [1] => 3.776
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 03:15:00
                    [1] => 3.815
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.49803407601573
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.5743519781719
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 12
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.0328389830509
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 21:30:00
                    [1] => 3.698
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 22:15:00
                    [1] => 3.66
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 22:55:00
                    [1] => 3.734
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 00:15:00
                    [1] => 3.665
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 00:50:00
                    [1] => 3.776
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 01:15:00
                    [1] => 3.713
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 01:30:00
                    [1] => 3.763
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 01:50:00
                    [1] => 3.712
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 03:00:00
                    [1] => 3.747
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 03:25:00
                    [1] => 3.815
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.49803407601573
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.3077128369362
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.8147851614625
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 1
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.50%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.31%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.81%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0214
0.56%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0972
2.59%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-18 21:30:00 3.698 ↑ High
2026-01-18 22:15:00 3.66 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 22:55:00 3.734 ↑ High
2026-01-19 00:15:00 3.665 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 00:50:00 3.776 ↑ High
2026-01-19 01:15:00 3.713 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 01:30:00 3.763 ↑ High
2026-01-19 01:50:00 3.712 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 03:00:00 3.747 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 03:25:00 3.815 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.50%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.57%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
12 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.03%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.3526
9.19%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.3052
8.12%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-18 12:30:00 4.088 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 13:45:00 4.171 ↑ High
2026-01-18 14:45:00 4.121 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 15:30:00 4.189 ↑ High
2026-01-18 19:00:00 3.452 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 22:15:00 3.66 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 22:45:00 3.734 ↑ High
2026-01-19 00:15:00 3.665 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 00:45:00 3.776 ↑ High
2026-01-19 03:15:00 3.815 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.50%
Dist From Last Low Pct
9.97%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
8 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
10.52%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.3526
9.19%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.3052
8.12%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-15 14:00:00 3.815 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 03:00:00 4.084 ↑ High
2026-01-16 10:00:00 3.878 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 10:00:00 4.167 ↑ High
2026-01-17 19:00:00 4.12 ↑ High
2026-01-17 20:00:00 4.005 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 02:00:00 3.987 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 15:00:00 4.189 ↑ High
2026-01-18 19:00:00 3.452 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 03:00:00 3.815 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
19 Jan 2026
03:26:47		 19 Jan 2026
03:50:00		 23 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
3.81 3.8364 3.7572 2 1.651
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 3.81
  • Stop Loss: 3.8364
  • Take Profit: 3.7572

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 3.8364 - 3.81 = 0.0264

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 3.81 - 3.7572 = 0.0528

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0528 / 0.0264 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1154.0869 100 302.9099 11.54
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0264

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0264 = 303.03

Taille de position USD = 303.03 x 3.81 = 1154.54

Donc, tu peux acheter 303.03 avec un stoploss a 3.8364

Avec un position size USD de 1154.54$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 303.03 x 0.0264 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 303.03 x 0.0528 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 303.03
  • Taille de position USD 1154.54
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.39 % 15.99 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.69 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.69
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.7874 % 113.64 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.7572
            [entry_price] => 3.81
            [stop_loss] => 3.83904
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 03:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.7572
            [entry_price] => 3.81
            [stop_loss] => 3.84168
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 05:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.7572
            [entry_price] => 3.81
            [stop_loss] => 3.84432
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 05:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.7572
            [entry_price] => 3.81
            [stop_loss] => 3.8496
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 05:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.042
            [max_drawdown] => 0.03
            [rr_ratio] => 1.4
            [high] => 3.84000000
            [low] => 3.76800000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.1
            [mae_pct] => 0.79
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.4
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-19T03:26:47-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-19T05:26:47-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.093
            [max_drawdown] => 0.03
            [rr_ratio] => 3.1
            [high] => 3.84000000
            [low] => 3.71700000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.44
            [mae_pct] => 0.79
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.1
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-19T03:26:47-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-19T10:26:47-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 3.81500000
            [high_after] => 3.84000000
            [low_before] => 3.66500000
            [low_after] => 3.71700000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)