Short Trade on TAO 19 Jan 2026 at 03:38:23

Take profit at 248.725 (0.94 %) and Stop Loss at 252.2575 (0.47 %)

Short Trade on TAO

The 19 Jan 2026 at 03:38:23

With 6.7941 TAO at 251.08$ per unit.

Position size of 1705.8744 $

Take profit at 248.725 (0.94 %) and Stop Loss at 252.2575 (0.47 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -80
ML Pullback Score: 2.33
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.91
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.67
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.65
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.589463

15m : -0.042891

1H : -0.043006

2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.19
  4. atr: 0.7849894006
Details
  1. score: 1.19
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 252.585
  4. ema21 : 259.414
  5. ema50 : 266.768
  6. ema100 : 272.048
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00596018
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0263261
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0275657
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0770772
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.613932
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.417077
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.235098
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.141921
  17. rsi : 0.299642
  18. adx : 0.545714
  19. kc_percentage : 0.0785941
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0746773
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.0875738
  22. volume_ema1 : 948908.90103048
  23. volume_ema2 : 1039984.3409679
  24. chop : 2.62807
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 248.942
  29. ema21 : 249.959
  30. ema50 : 255.159
  31. ema100 : 260.953
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.00858486
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0040667
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0203791
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.0378371
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : -0.0485736
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.0991544
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.132735
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.107104
  42. rsi : 0.47502
  43. adx : 0.567262
  44. kc_percentage : 0.705463
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0246292
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.556643
  47. volume_ema1 : 150747.03836872
  48. volume_ema2 : 340013.47411461
  49. chop : 62.295
  50. regime : bear_medium
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 249.507
  54. ema21 : 248.84
  55. ema50 : 249.002
  56. ema100 : 249.476
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00630131
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00268107
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.000649319
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.00642649
  61. all_emas_in_trend : False
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.0554108
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0234022
  65. ema_slope_50 : -0.000978042
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.00540988
  67. rsi : 0.715658
  68. adx : 0.249639
  69. kc_percentage : 1.18894
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0128289
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.283993
  72. volume_ema1 : 58972.704718893
  73. volume_ema2 : 82363.407221497
  74. chop : 34.1441
  75. regime : range_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    92629.8
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00503559
  81. 5m_price:
    93096.3
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.589463
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    93850.7
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00826863
  86. 15m_price:
    93074.7
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.042891
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    94998.4
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0200232
  91. 1H_price:
    93096.3
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.043006
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 03:00:00
                        [1] => 277.93
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 08:00:00
                        [1] => 274.04
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 11:00:00
                        [1] => 278.56
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 21:00:00
                        [1] => 271.28
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 01:00:00
                        [1] => 273.87
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 09:00:00
                        [1] => 274.96
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 12:00:00
                        [1] => 269.35
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 17:00:00
                        [1] => 275.54
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 19:00:00
                        [1] => 223.75
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 01:00:00
                        [1] => 245.46
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -9.1093852072294
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.028843803471
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 10
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 9.7027932960894
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 08:00:00
                        [1] => 270.82
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 09:15:00
                        [1] => 274.96
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 12:30:00
                        [1] => 269.35
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 13:45:00
                        [1] => 274.74
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 15:00:00
                        [1] => 271.47
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 17:45:00
                        [1] => 275.54
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 19:00:00
                        [1] => 223.75
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 23:00:00
                        [1] => 253.52
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 01:30:00
                        [1] => 245.46
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 03:30:00
                        [1] => 251.26
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.32635516994348
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.028843803471
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.3629104538418
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 22:05:00
                        [1] => 250.62
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 22:15:00
                        [1] => 252.25
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 23:05:00
                        [1] => 253.52
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 00:00:00
                        [1] => 250.84
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 00:25:00
                        [1] => 248.54
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 00:45:00
                        [1] => 250.57
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 01:35:00
                        [1] => 245.46
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 02:25:00
                        [1] => 248.77
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 03:00:00
                        [1] => 247.18
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 03:35:00
                        [1] => 251.26
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.32635516994348
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.3188769317906
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.6506189821183
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 1
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.33%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.32%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.65%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
1.2625
0.50%
TP to Pivot Distance
3.2650
1.31%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-18 22:05:00 250.62 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 22:15:00 252.25 ↑ High
2026-01-18 23:05:00 253.52 ↑ High
2026-01-19 00:00:00 250.84 ↑ High
2026-01-19 00:25:00 248.54 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 00:45:00 250.57 ↑ High
2026-01-19 01:35:00 245.46 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 02:25:00 248.77 ↑ High
2026-01-19 03:00:00 247.18 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 03:35:00 251.26 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.33%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.03%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
8 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.36%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
23.2825
9.23%
TP to Pivot Distance
24.9750
10.04%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-18 08:00:00 270.82 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 09:15:00 274.96 ↑ High
2026-01-18 12:30:00 269.35 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 13:45:00 274.74 ↑ High
2026-01-18 15:00:00 271.47 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 17:45:00 275.54 ↑ High
2026-01-18 19:00:00 223.75 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 23:00:00 253.52 ↑ High
2026-01-19 01:30:00 245.46 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 03:30:00 251.26 ↑ High
1H - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-9.11%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.03%
Bars Since Swing High
10 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
9.70%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
26.3025
10.43%
TP to Pivot Distance
24.9750
10.04%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-17 03:00:00 277.93 ↑ High
2026-01-17 08:00:00 274.04 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 11:00:00 278.56 ↑ High
2026-01-17 21:00:00 271.28 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 01:00:00 273.87 ↑ High
2026-01-18 09:00:00 274.96 ↑ High
2026-01-18 12:00:00 269.35 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 17:00:00 275.54 ↑ High
2026-01-18 19:00:00 223.75 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 01:00:00 245.46 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
19 Jan 2026
03:38:23
19 Jan 2026
03:55:00
16 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
251.08 252.2575 248.725 2 181.3
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 251.08
  • Stop Loss: 252.2575
  • Take Profit: 248.725

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 252.2575 - 251.08 = 1.1775

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 251.08 - 248.725 = 2.355

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.355 / 1.1775 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1705.8744 100 6.7941 17.06
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 1.1775

Taille de position = 8 / 1.1775 = 6.79

Taille de position USD = 6.79 x 251.08 = 1704.83

Donc, tu peux acheter 6.79 avec un stoploss a 252.2575

Avec un position size USD de 1704.83$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 6.79 x 1.1775 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 6.79 x 2.355 = 15.99

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 6.79
  • Taille de position USD 1704.83
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 15.99
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.94 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.47 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.47
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.5974 % 127.38 % 3

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 248.725
            [entry_price] => 251.08
            [stop_loss] => 252.37525
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 03:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 248.725
            [entry_price] => 251.08
            [stop_loss] => 252.493
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 03:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 248.725
            [entry_price] => 251.08
            [stop_loss] => 252.61075
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 08:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 248.725
            [entry_price] => 251.08
            [stop_loss] => 252.84625
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 08:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.73
            [max_drawdown] => 1.5
            [rr_ratio] => 1.15
            [high] => 252.58000000
            [low] => 249.35000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.69
            [mae_pct] => 0.6
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.15
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-19T03:38:23-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-19T05:38:23-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 3.52
            [max_drawdown] => 1.5
            [rr_ratio] => 2.35
            [high] => 252.58000000
            [low] => 247.56000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.4
            [mae_pct] => 0.6
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.35
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-19T03:38:23-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-19T10:38:23-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 251.26000000
            [high_after] => 252.58000000
            [low_before] => 245.46000000
            [low_after] => 247.56000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)