Short Trade on AVAX 19 Jan 2026 at 03:47:29

Take profit at 12.68 (0.86 %) and Stop Loss at 12.845 (0.43 %)

Short Trade on AVAX

The 19 Jan 2026 at 03:47:29

With 145.4735 AVAX at 12.79$ per unit.

Position size of 1860.6063 $

Take profit at 12.68 (0.86 %) and Stop Loss at 12.845 (0.43 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 50
ML Pullback Score: 4.1
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.55
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.5
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.71
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

5m_regime : bull_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.716906

15m : 0.067949

1H : 0.143199

2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.11
  4. atr: 0.03666188525
Details
  1. score: 1.11
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 12.7797
  4. ema21 : 13.0489
  5. ema50 : 13.3513
  6. ema100 : 13.5869
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.000805908
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0206349
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0226487
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0586551
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.518684
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.357383
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.200973
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.123621
  17. rsi : 0.344545
  18. adx : 0.445862
  19. kc_percentage : 0.146798
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0534005
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.0268812
  22. volume_ema1 : 1147917.9555329
  23. volume_ema2 : 1117868.3094638
  24. chop : 7.36308
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 12.6934
  29. ema21 : 12.6882
  30. ema50 : 12.8681
  31. ema100 : 13.106
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.00760848
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000409125
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0139853
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.0241161
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.0403369
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.0254114
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0831707
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0773703
  42. rsi : 0.584612
  43. adx : 0.389088
  44. kc_percentage : 0.909353
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0200868
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.273795
  47. volume_ema1 : 275315.65991593
  48. volume_ema2 : 379116.12347669
  49. chop : 47.3767
  50. regime : bear_medium
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 12.7385
  54. ema21 : 12.6906
  55. ema50 : 12.6523
  56. ema100 : 12.6182
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00403735
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00377598
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00302325
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.0136092
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.0844796
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0542021
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.0270244
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.0173418
  67. rsi : 0.698504
  68. adx : 0.281998
  69. kc_percentage : 1.1105
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0123801
  71. volume_ema_diff : 0.491279
  72. volume_ema1 : 135382.55025342
  73. volume_ema2 : 90782.812257236
  74. chop : 23.2205
  75. regime : bull_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    92639.9
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00539764
  81. 5m_price:
    93140
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.716906
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    93838.4
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00744353
  86. 15m_price:
    93140
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.067949
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    94999.3
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0195722
  91. 1H_price:
    93140
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.143199
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 23:00:00
                        [1] => 13.674
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 03:00:00
                        [1] => 13.859
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 11:00:00
                        [1] => 13.182
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 16:00:00
                        [1] => 13.66
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 02:00:00
                        [1] => 13.522
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 09:00:00
                        [1] => 13.966
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 10:00:00
                        [1] => 13.463
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 17:00:00
                        [1] => 13.754
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 19:00:00
                        [1] => 12.064
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 03:00:00
                        [1] => 12.815
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.26531408505657
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 5.9433023872679
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 6.2251326259947
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 11:30:00
                        [1] => 13.615
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 12:30:00
                        [1] => 13.54
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 13:45:00
                        [1] => 13.729
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 14:45:00
                        [1] => 13.612
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 17:00:00
                        [1] => 13.754
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 19:00:00
                        [1] => 12.064
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 21:15:00
                        [1] => 12.751
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 23:00:00
                        [1] => 12.73
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 01:30:00
                        [1] => 12.543
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 03:15:00
                        [1] => 12.815
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.26531408505657
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.8974726939329
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.1685402216376
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 1
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 20:45:00
                        [1] => 12.531
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 21:20:00
                        [1] => 12.751
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 22:20:00
                        [1] => 12.625
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 23:00:00
                        [1] => 12.73
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 00:15:00
                        [1] => 12.58
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 00:30:00
                        [1] => 12.676
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 01:30:00
                        [1] => 12.623
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 01:35:00
                        [1] => 12.543
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 03:00:00
                        [1] => 12.598
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 03:20:00
                        [1] => 12.815
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.26531408505657
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.452611525639
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 5
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.7224956342276
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 1
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.27%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.45%
Bars Since Swing High
5 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
9 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.72%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0300
0.23%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.1490
1.18%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-18 20:45:00 12.531 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 21:20:00 12.751 ↑ High
2026-01-18 22:20:00 12.625 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 23:00:00 12.73 ↑ High
2026-01-19 00:15:00 12.58 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 00:30:00 12.676 ↑ High
2026-01-19 01:30:00 12.623 ↑ High
2026-01-19 01:35:00 12.543 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 03:00:00 12.598 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 03:20:00 12.815 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.27%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.90%
Bars Since Swing High
2 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
9 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.17%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.9090
7.08%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.6160
4.86%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-18 11:30:00 13.615 ↑ High
2026-01-18 12:30:00 13.54 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 13:45:00 13.729 ↑ High
2026-01-18 14:45:00 13.612 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 17:00:00 13.754 ↑ High
2026-01-18 19:00:00 12.064 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 21:15:00 12.751 ↑ High
2026-01-18 23:00:00 12.73 ↑ High
2026-01-19 01:30:00 12.543 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 03:15:00 12.815 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.27%
Dist From Last Low Pct
5.94%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
8 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
6.23%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
1.1210
8.73%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.6160
4.86%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-15 23:00:00 13.674 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 03:00:00 13.859 ↑ High
2026-01-16 11:00:00 13.182 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 16:00:00 13.66 ↑ High
2026-01-17 02:00:00 13.522 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 09:00:00 13.966 ↑ High
2026-01-18 10:00:00 13.463 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 17:00:00 13.754 ↑ High
2026-01-18 19:00:00 12.064 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 03:00:00 12.815 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
19 Jan 2026
03:47:29
19 Jan 2026
06:50:00
3 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
12.79 12.845 12.68 2 9.3
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 12.79
  • Stop Loss: 12.845
  • Take Profit: 12.68

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 12.845 - 12.79 = 0.055000000000001

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 12.79 - 12.68 = 0.11

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.11 / 0.055000000000001 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1860.6063 100 145.4735 18.61
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.055000000000001

Taille de position = 8 / 0.055000000000001 = 145.45

Taille de position USD = 145.45 x 12.79 = 1860.31

Donc, tu peux acheter 145.45 avec un stoploss a 12.845

Avec un position size USD de 1860.31$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 145.45 x 0.055000000000001 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 145.45 x 0.11 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 145.45
  • Taille de position USD 1860.31
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.86 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.43 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.86
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.2658 % 61.81 % 14

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.68
            [stop_loss] => 12.845
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 06:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.6525
            [stop_loss] => 12.845
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 08:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.068999999999999
            [max_drawdown] => 0.034000000000001
            [rr_ratio] => 2.03
            [high] => 12.82400000
            [low] => 12.72100000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.54
            [mae_pct] => 0.27
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.03
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-19T03:47:29-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-19T05:47:29-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.14
            [max_drawdown] => 0.034000000000001
            [rr_ratio] => 4.12
            [high] => 12.82400000
            [low] => 12.65000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.09
            [mae_pct] => 0.27
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 4.12
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-19T03:47:29-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-19T10:47:29-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 12.81500000
            [high_after] => 12.82400000
            [low_before] => 12.54300000
            [low_after] => 12.65000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)