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Short Trade on AR

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Short Trade on AR 19 Jan 2026 at 03:48:08

Take profit at 3.7687 (1.39 %) and Stop Loss at 3.8487 (0.7 %)

Short Trade on AR

The 19 Jan 2026 at 03:48:08

With 299.9298 AR at 3.822$ per unit.

Position size of 1146.3315 $

Take profit at 3.7687 (1.39 %) and Stop Loss at 3.8487 (0.7 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 70
ML Pullback Score: 6.37
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.92
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.86
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.73
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_medium
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.378484

15m : -0.260656

1H : 0.249458

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.02
  4. atr: 0.01778194148
Details
  1. score: 1.02
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 3.79193
  4. ema21 : 3.87847
  5. ema50 : 3.95905
  6. ema100 : 3.98602
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00792913
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0223126
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0203535
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0411504
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.650592
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.423717
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.20988
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.105132
  17. rsi : 0.429043
  18. adx : 0.385885
  19. kc_percentage : 0.35233
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0901495
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.174352
  22. volume_ema1 : 130570.40048754
  23. volume_ema2 : 158143.11185075
  24. chop : 12.0407
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 3.7825
  28. ema21 : 3.76312
  29. ema50 : 3.81598
  30. ema100 : 3.89363
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0104402
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00515044
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0138507
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0183978
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.164945
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.0578853
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0621927
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0726953
  41. rsi : 0.607961
  42. adx : 0.277042
  43. kc_percentage : 0.954343
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0340017
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.499413
  46. volume_ema1 : 23733.708952279
  47. volume_ema2 : 47411.844345666
  48. chop : 43.2382
  49. regime : bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 3.80563
  52. ema21 : 3.78291
  53. ema50 : 3.7522
  54. ema100 : 3.72182
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.0042999
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00600506
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00818465
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.0269163
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.106692
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0864998
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0619848
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.0451406
  65. rsi : 0.673807
  66. adx : 0.317321
  67. kc_percentage : 1.02455
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0187397
  69. volume_ema_diff : 0.123911
  70. volume_ema1 : 10308.483639537
  71. volume_ema2 : 9171.9732137963
  72. chop : 38.4698
  73. regime : bull_medium
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    92639.8
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.0053331
  78. 5m_price: 
    93133.9
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.378484
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    93838.3
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00750726
  83. 15m_price: 
    93133.9
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.260656
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    94999.2
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0196351
  88. 1H_price: 
    93133.9
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.249458
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 14:00:00
                    [1] => 3.815
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 03:00:00
                    [1] => 4.084
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 10:00:00
                    [1] => 3.878
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 10:00:00
                    [1] => 4.167
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 19:00:00
                    [1] => 4.12
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 20:00:00
                    [1] => 4.005
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 02:00:00
                    [1] => 3.987
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 15:00:00
                    [1] => 4.189
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 19:00:00
                    [1] => 3.452
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 03:00:00
                    [1] => 3.836
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.15641293013555
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 10.950173812283
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 11.123986095017
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 12:30:00
                    [1] => 4.088
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 13:45:00
                    [1] => 4.171
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 14:45:00
                    [1] => 4.121
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 15:30:00
                    [1] => 4.189
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 19:00:00
                    [1] => 3.452
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 22:15:00
                    [1] => 3.66
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 22:45:00
                    [1] => 3.734
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 00:15:00
                    [1] => 3.665
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 00:45:00
                    [1] => 3.776
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 03:30:00
                    [1] => 3.836
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.15641293013555
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.5020463847203
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 14
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.5889830508475
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 21:30:00
                    [1] => 3.698
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 22:15:00
                    [1] => 3.66
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 22:55:00
                    [1] => 3.734
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 00:15:00
                    [1] => 3.665
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 00:50:00
                    [1] => 3.776
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 01:15:00
                    [1] => 3.713
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 01:30:00
                    [1] => 3.763
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 01:50:00
                    [1] => 3.712
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 03:00:00
                    [1] => 3.747
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 03:35:00
                    [1] => 3.836
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.15641293013555
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.2151054176675
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.3752335201495
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 1
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.16%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.22%
Bars Since Swing High
2 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
9 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.38%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0127
0.33%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.1087
2.88%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-18 21:30:00 3.698 ↑ High
2026-01-18 22:15:00 3.66 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 22:55:00 3.734 ↑ High
2026-01-19 00:15:00 3.665 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 00:50:00 3.776 ↑ High
2026-01-19 01:15:00 3.713 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 01:30:00 3.763 ↑ High
2026-01-19 01:50:00 3.712 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 03:00:00 3.747 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 03:35:00 3.836 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.16%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.50%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
14 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.59%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.3403
8.84%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.3167
8.40%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-18 12:30:00 4.088 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 13:45:00 4.171 ↑ High
2026-01-18 14:45:00 4.121 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 15:30:00 4.189 ↑ High
2026-01-18 19:00:00 3.452 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 22:15:00 3.66 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 22:45:00 3.734 ↑ High
2026-01-19 00:15:00 3.665 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 00:45:00 3.776 ↑ High
2026-01-19 03:30:00 3.836 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.16%
Dist From Last Low Pct
10.95%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
8 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
11.12%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.3403
8.84%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.3167
8.40%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-15 14:00:00 3.815 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 03:00:00 4.084 ↑ High
2026-01-16 10:00:00 3.878 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 10:00:00 4.167 ↑ High
2026-01-17 19:00:00 4.12 ↑ High
2026-01-17 20:00:00 4.005 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 02:00:00 3.987 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 15:00:00 4.189 ↑ High
2026-01-18 19:00:00 3.452 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 03:00:00 3.836 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
19 Jan 2026
03:48:08		 19 Jan 2026
05:25:00		 1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
3.822 3.8487 3.7687 2 1.664
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 3.822
  • Stop Loss: 3.8487
  • Take Profit: 3.7687

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 3.8487 - 3.822 = 0.0267

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 3.822 - 3.7687 = 0.0533

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0533 / 0.0267 = 1.9963

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1146.3315 100 299.9298 11.46
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0267

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0267 = 299.63

Taille de position USD = 299.63 x 3.822 = 1145.19

Donc, tu peux acheter 299.63 avec un stoploss a 3.8487

Avec un position size USD de 1145.19$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 299.63 x 0.0267 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 299.63 x 0.0533 = 15.97

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.97$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 299.63
  • Taille de position USD 1145.19
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 15.97
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9963

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.39 % 15.99 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.7 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
15.99 $ 1.39
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.471 % 67.42 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.7686
            [stop_loss] => 3.8487
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 05:25:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.75525
            [stop_loss] => 3.8487
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 05:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.7419
            [stop_loss] => 3.8487
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 06:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.72855
            [stop_loss] => 3.8487
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 06:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.072
            [max_drawdown] => 0.018
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [high] => 3.84000000
            [low] => 3.75000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.88
            [mae_pct] => 0.47
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 4
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-19T03:48:08-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-19T05:48:08-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.105
            [max_drawdown] => 0.018
            [rr_ratio] => 5.83
            [high] => 3.84000000
            [low] => 3.71700000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.75
            [mae_pct] => 0.47
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 5.83
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-19T03:48:08-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-19T10:48:08-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 3.83600000
            [high_after] => 3.84000000
            [low_before] => 3.66500000
            [low_after] => 3.71700000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)