Short Trade on JUP 19 Jan 2026 at 03:49:58
Take profit at 0.2013 (1.03 %) and Stop Loss at 0.2045 (0.54 %)
Short Trade on JUP 19 Jan 2026 at 03:49:58
Take profit at 0.2013 (1.03 %) and Stop Loss at 0.2045 (0.54 %)
Position size of 1540.3468 $
Take profit at 0.2013 (1.03 %) and Stop Loss at 0.2045 (0.54 %)
That's a 1.91 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.94 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.84 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.73 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_medium 5m_regime : bull_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.521389 15m : -0.033496 1H : 0.057418 |
2 |
Indicators:
92641.3
0.00616253
93212.3
0.521389
93839.9
-0.00668821
93212.3
-0.033496
95000.7
-0.0188259
93212.3
0.057418
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 03:00:00
[1] => 0.2264
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 10:00:00
[1] => 0.2272
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 19:00:00
[1] => 0.2258
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 20:00:00
[1] => 0.2197
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 04:00:00
[1] => 0.2181
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 05:00:00
[1] => 0.2225
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 10:00:00
[1] => 0.2178
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 13:00:00
[1] => 0.2233
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 19:00:00
[1] => 0.1861
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 03:00:00
[1] => 0.2035
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.049140049140044
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 9.2960773777539
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 9.3498119290704
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 10:00:00
[1] => 0.2178
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 11:15:00
[1] => 0.221
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 12:30:00
[1] => 0.2187
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 13:30:00
[1] => 0.2233
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 15:00:00
[1] => 0.2189
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 19:00:00
[1] => 0.1861
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 20:30:00
[1] => 0.2004
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 20:45:00
[1] => 0.1976
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 00:15:00
[1] => 0.1976
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 03:45:00
[1] => 0.2035
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.049140049140044
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.9352226720648
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 14
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.9858299595142
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 23:55:00
[1] => 0.1993
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 00:15:00
[1] => 0.1976
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 00:30:00
[1] => 0.1993
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 00:40:00
[1] => 0.1993
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 01:15:00
[1] => 0.198
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 01:30:00
[1] => 0.1991
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 01:45:00
[1] => 0.1981
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 02:00:00
[1] => 0.1992
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 02:40:00
[1] => 0.2002
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 03:45:00
[1] => 0.2035
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.049140049140044
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.6754164563352
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 24
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.6483516483516
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-18 23:55:00 | 0.1993 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-19 00:15:00 | 0.1976 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-19 00:30:00 | 0.1993 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-19 00:40:00 | 0.1993 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-19 01:15:00 | 0.198 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-19 01:30:00 | 0.1991 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-19 01:45:00 | 0.1981 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-19 02:00:00 | 0.1992 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-19 02:40:00 | 0.2002 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-19 03:45:00 | 0.2035 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-18 10:00:00 | 0.2178 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 11:15:00 | 0.221 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-18 12:30:00 | 0.2187 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 13:30:00 | 0.2233 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-18 15:00:00 | 0.2189 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 19:00:00 | 0.1861 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 20:30:00 | 0.2004 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-18 20:45:00 | 0.1976 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-19 00:15:00 | 0.1976 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-19 03:45:00 | 0.2035 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 03:00:00 | 0.2264 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-17 10:00:00 | 0.2272 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-17 19:00:00 | 0.2258 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-17 20:00:00 | 0.2197 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 04:00:00 | 0.2181 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 05:00:00 | 0.2225 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-18 10:00:00 | 0.2178 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 13:00:00 | 0.2233 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-18 19:00:00 | 0.1861 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-19 03:00:00 | 0.2035 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan 2026 03:49:58 |
19 Jan 2026 05:00:00 |
1 hour |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2034 | 0.2045 | 0.2013 | 1.91 | 0.1549 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2045 - 0.2034 = 0.0011
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2034 - 0.2013 = 0.0021
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0021 / 0.0011 = 1.9091
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1540.3468 | 100 | 7572.9933 | 15.40 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0011 = 7272.73
Taille de position USD = 7272.73 x 0.2034 = 1479.27
Donc, tu peux acheter 7272.73 avec un stoploss a 0.2045
Avec un position size USD de 1479.27$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 7272.73 x 0.0011 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 7272.73 x 0.0021 = 15.27
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.27$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.03 % | 15.9 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.54 % | 8.33 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 15.9 $ | 1.03 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0492 % | 9.1 % | 2 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.2012
[stop_loss] => 0.2045
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-01-19 05:00:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.20065
[stop_loss] => 0.2045
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-19 05:00:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.2001
[stop_loss] => 0.2045
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2026-01-19 05:30:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.19955
[stop_loss] => 0.2045
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-19 05:30:00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.199
[stop_loss] => 0.2045
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2026-01-19 07:00:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0039
[max_drawdown] => 9.9999999999989E-5
[rr_ratio] => 39
[high] => 0.20350000
[low] => 0.19950000
[mfe_pct] => 1.92
[mae_pct] => 0.05
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 39
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-01-19T03:49:58-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-19T05:49:58-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0047
[max_drawdown] => 9.9999999999989E-5
[rr_ratio] => 47
[high] => 0.20350000
[low] => 0.19870000
[mfe_pct] => 2.31
[mae_pct] => 0.05
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 47
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-01-19T03:49:58-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-19T10:49:58-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 0.20350000
[high_after] => 0.20350000
[low_before] => 0.19760000
[low_after] => 0.19870000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)