Short Trade on TAO 19 Jan 2026 at 03:51:07
Take profit at 249.0296 (0.92 %) and Stop Loss at 252.4802 (0.46 %)
Short Trade on TAO 19 Jan 2026 at 03:51:07
Take profit at 249.0296 (0.92 %) and Stop Loss at 252.4802 (0.46 %)
Position size of 1748.083 $
Take profit at 249.0296 (0.92 %) and Stop Loss at 252.4802 (0.46 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.91 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.61 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.61 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.575173 15m : 0.012809 1H : -0.009712 |
2 |
Indicators:
92689.8
0.00532238
93183.2
0.575173
93839.3
-0.00699222
93183.2
0.012809
95000.2
-0.0191263
93183.2
-0.009712
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 03:00:00
[1] => 277.93
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 08:00:00
[1] => 274.04
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 11:00:00
[1] => 278.56
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 21:00:00
[1] => 271.28
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 01:00:00
[1] => 273.87
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 09:00:00
[1] => 274.96
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 12:00:00
[1] => 269.35
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 17:00:00
[1] => 275.54
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 19:00:00
[1] => 223.75
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 01:00:00
[1] => 245.46
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -8.797270813675
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.3792063880062
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 10
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 9.7027932960894
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 08:00:00
[1] => 270.82
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 09:15:00
[1] => 274.96
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 12:30:00
[1] => 269.35
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 13:45:00
[1] => 274.74
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 15:00:00
[1] => 271.47
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 17:45:00
[1] => 275.54
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 19:00:00
[1] => 223.75
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 23:00:00
[1] => 253.52
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 01:30:00
[1] => 245.46
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 03:45:00
[1] => 251.52
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.087468193384223
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.3792063880062
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.4688340259105
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 22:05:00
[1] => 250.62
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 22:15:00
[1] => 252.25
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 23:05:00
[1] => 253.52
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 00:00:00
[1] => 250.84
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 00:25:00
[1] => 248.54
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 00:45:00
[1] => 250.57
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 01:35:00
[1] => 245.46
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 02:25:00
[1] => 248.77
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 03:00:00
[1] => 247.18
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 03:50:00
[1] => 251.52
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.087468193384223
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.6668015211587
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.7558054858807
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-18 22:05:00 | 250.62 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 22:15:00 | 252.25 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-18 23:05:00 | 253.52 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-19 00:00:00 | 250.84 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-19 00:25:00 | 248.54 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-19 00:45:00 | 250.57 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-19 01:35:00 | 245.46 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-19 02:25:00 | 248.77 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-19 03:00:00 | 247.18 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-19 03:50:00 | 251.52 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-18 08:00:00 | 270.82 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 09:15:00 | 274.96 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-18 12:30:00 | 269.35 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 13:45:00 | 274.74 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-18 15:00:00 | 271.47 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 17:45:00 | 275.54 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-18 19:00:00 | 223.75 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 23:00:00 | 253.52 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-19 01:30:00 | 245.46 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-19 03:45:00 | 251.52 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 03:00:00 | 277.93 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-17 08:00:00 | 274.04 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-17 11:00:00 | 278.56 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-17 21:00:00 | 271.28 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 01:00:00 | 273.87 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-18 09:00:00 | 274.96 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-18 12:00:00 | 269.35 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 17:00:00 | 275.54 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-18 19:00:00 | 223.75 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-19 01:00:00 | 245.46 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan 2026 03:51:07 |
19 Jan 2026 03:55:00 |
3 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 251.33 | 252.4802 | 249.0296 | 2 | 180.97 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 252.4802 - 251.33 = 1.1502
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 251.33 - 249.0296 = 2.3004
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.3004 / 1.1502 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1748.083 | 100 | 6.9553 | 17.48 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 1.1502 = 6.96
Taille de position USD = 6.96 x 251.33 = 1749.26
Donc, tu peux acheter 6.96 avec un stoploss a 252.4802
Avec un position size USD de 1749.26$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 6.96 x 1.1502 = 8.01
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.01$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 6.96 x 2.3004 = 16.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.92 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.46 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.46 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4974 % | 108.7 % | 1 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 249.0296
[entry_price] => 251.33
[stop_loss] => 252.59522
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-01-19 07:25:00
[result] => win
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 249.0296
[entry_price] => 251.33
[stop_loss] => 252.71024
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-01-19 07:25:00
[result] => win
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 249.0296
[entry_price] => 251.33
[stop_loss] => 252.82526
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-01-19 07:25:00
[result] => win
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 249.0296
[entry_price] => 251.33
[stop_loss] => 253.0553
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-19 07:25:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 1.98
[max_drawdown] => 1.25
[rr_ratio] => 1.58
[high] => 252.58000000
[low] => 249.35000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.79
[mae_pct] => 0.5
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.58
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-01-19T03:51:07-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-19T05:51:07-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 3.77
[max_drawdown] => 1.25
[rr_ratio] => 3.02
[high] => 252.58000000
[low] => 247.56000000
[mfe_pct] => 1.5
[mae_pct] => 0.5
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.02
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-01-19T03:51:07-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-19T10:51:07-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 251.52000000
[high_after] => 252.58000000
[low_before] => 245.46000000
[low_after] => 247.56000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)