Short Trade on AVAX 19 Jan 2026 at 03:56:05

Take profit at 12.7093 (0.81 %) and Stop Loss at 12.8648 (0.4 %)

Short Trade on AVAX

The 19 Jan 2026 at 03:56:05

With 154.361 AVAX at 12.813$ per unit.

Position size of 1977.8273 $

Take profit at 12.7093 (0.81 %) and Stop Loss at 12.8648 (0.4 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 60
ML Pullback Score: 6
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.81
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.64
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.82
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

5m_regime : bull_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.684458

15m : 0.083972

1H : -0.038499

2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.19
  4. atr: 0.03455104559
Details
  1. score: 1.19
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 12.7843
  4. ema21 : 13.051
  5. ema50 : 13.3522
  6. ema100 : 13.5873
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00224488
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0204393
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0225581
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0569939
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.515871
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.356105
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.200424
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.123345
  17. rsi : 0.356752
  18. adx : 0.445862
  19. kc_percentage : 0.177266
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0533047
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.0678283
  22. volume_ema1 : 1200268.0825996
  23. volume_ema2 : 1124027.1479423
  24. chop : 7.36308
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 12.6916
  29. ema21 : 12.6874
  30. ema50 : 12.8678
  31. ema100 : 13.1058
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.00956361
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000331766
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0140218
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.0223479
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.0391494
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.0259471
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.083397
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0774825
  42. rsi : 0.576395
  43. adx : 0.389088
  44. kc_percentage : 1.00221
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0200508
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.188634
  47. volume_ema1 : 311008.83871593
  48. volume_ema2 : 383315.32098257
  49. chop : 47.3767
  50. regime : bear_medium
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 12.7619
  54. ema21 : 12.71
  55. ema50 : 12.6662
  56. ema100 : 12.6429
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00399838
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00408436
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00346025
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.0134488
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.0939983
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0639101
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.0324357
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.0177995
  67. rsi : 0.722673
  68. adx : 0.304086
  69. kc_percentage : 1.19111
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0112772
  71. volume_ema_diff : 0.0474195
  72. volume_ema1 : 87842.961768186
  73. volume_ema2 : 83866.072481333
  74. chop : 25.5189
  75. regime : bull_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    92720.6
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00604147
  81. 5m_price:
    93280.8
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.684458
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    93839.3
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00699222
  86. 15m_price:
    93183.2
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.083972
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    95002.1
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0181189
  91. 1H_price:
    93280.8
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.038499
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 23:00:00
                        [1] => 13.674
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 03:00:00
                        [1] => 13.859
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 11:00:00
                        [1] => 13.182
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 16:00:00
                        [1] => 13.66
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 02:00:00
                        [1] => 13.522
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 09:00:00
                        [1] => 13.966
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 10:00:00
                        [1] => 13.463
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 17:00:00
                        [1] => 13.754
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 19:00:00
                        [1] => 12.064
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 03:00:00
                        [1] => 12.824
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.27292576419214
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 6.0096153846154
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 6.2997347480106
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 11:30:00
                        [1] => 13.615
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 12:30:00
                        [1] => 13.54
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 13:45:00
                        [1] => 13.729
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 14:45:00
                        [1] => 13.612
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 17:00:00
                        [1] => 13.754
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 19:00:00
                        [1] => 12.064
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 21:15:00
                        [1] => 12.751
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 23:00:00
                        [1] => 12.73
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 01:30:00
                        [1] => 12.543
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 03:45:00
                        [1] => 12.824
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.27292576419214
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.9612532886869
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.2402933907359
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 1
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 21:20:00
                        [1] => 12.751
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 22:20:00
                        [1] => 12.625
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 23:00:00
                        [1] => 12.73
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 00:15:00
                        [1] => 12.58
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 00:30:00
                        [1] => 12.676
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 01:30:00
                        [1] => 12.623
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 01:35:00
                        [1] => 12.543
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 03:00:00
                        [1] => 12.598
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 03:20:00
                        [1] => 12.815
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 03:55:00
                        [1] => 12.824
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.27292576419214
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.5161136688363
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 11
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.070230198985566
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.27%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.52%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
11 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.07%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0408
0.32%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.1663
1.31%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-18 21:20:00 12.751 ↑ High
2026-01-18 22:20:00 12.625 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 23:00:00 12.73 ↑ High
2026-01-19 00:15:00 12.58 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 00:30:00 12.676 ↑ High
2026-01-19 01:30:00 12.623 ↑ High
2026-01-19 01:35:00 12.543 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 03:00:00 12.598 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 03:20:00 12.815 ↑ High
2026-01-19 03:55:00 12.824 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.27%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.96%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
9 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.24%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.8892
6.91%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.6453
5.08%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-18 11:30:00 13.615 ↑ High
2026-01-18 12:30:00 13.54 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 13:45:00 13.729 ↑ High
2026-01-18 14:45:00 13.612 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 17:00:00 13.754 ↑ High
2026-01-18 19:00:00 12.064 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 21:15:00 12.751 ↑ High
2026-01-18 23:00:00 12.73 ↑ High
2026-01-19 01:30:00 12.543 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 03:45:00 12.824 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.27%
Dist From Last Low Pct
6.01%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
8 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
6.30%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
1.1012
8.56%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.6453
5.08%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-15 23:00:00 13.674 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 03:00:00 13.859 ↑ High
2026-01-16 11:00:00 13.182 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 16:00:00 13.66 ↑ High
2026-01-17 02:00:00 13.522 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 09:00:00 13.966 ↑ High
2026-01-18 10:00:00 13.463 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 17:00:00 13.754 ↑ High
2026-01-18 19:00:00 12.064 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 03:00:00 12.824 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
19 Jan 2026
03:56:05
19 Jan 2026
06:05:00
2 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
12.813 12.8648 12.7093 2 9.29
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 12.813
  • Stop Loss: 12.8648
  • Take Profit: 12.7093

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 12.8648 - 12.813 = 0.0518

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 12.813 - 12.7093 = 0.1037

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1037 / 0.0518 = 2.0019

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1977.8273 100 154.361 19.78
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0518

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0518 = 154.44

Taille de position USD = 154.44 x 12.813 = 1978.84

Donc, tu peux acheter 154.44 avec un stoploss a 12.8648

Avec un position size USD de 1978.84$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 154.44 x 0.0518 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 154.44 x 0.1037 = 16.02

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.02$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 154.44
  • Taille de position USD 1978.84
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16.02
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0019

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.81 % 16.01 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.4 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16.01 $ 0.81
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.7094
            [stop_loss] => 12.8648
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 06:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.6835
            [stop_loss] => 12.8648
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 06:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.6576
            [stop_loss] => 12.8648
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 07:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.092000000000001
            [max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
            [rr_ratio] => 100
            [high] => 12.80600000
            [low] => 12.72100000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.72
            [mae_pct] => -0.05
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-19T03:56:05-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-19T05:56:05-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.163
            [max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
            [rr_ratio] => 100
            [high] => 12.80600000
            [low] => 12.65000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.27
            [mae_pct] => -0.05
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-19T03:56:05-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-19T10:56:05-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 12.82400000
            [high_after] => 12.80600000
            [low_before] => 12.54300000
            [low_after] => 12.65000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)