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Short Trade on AR

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Short Trade on AR 19 Jan 2026 at 03:56:49

Take profit at 3.7782 (1.35 %) and Stop Loss at 3.8559 (0.68 %)

Short Trade on AR

The 19 Jan 2026 at 03:56:49

With 308.8471 AR at 3.83$ per unit.

Position size of 1182.8842 $

Take profit at 3.7782 (1.35 %) and Stop Loss at 3.8559 (0.68 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 80
ML Pullback Score: 6
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.94
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.92
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.7
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_medium
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.312417

15m : 0.09335

1H : -0.079876

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.03
  4. atr: 0.01726852573
Details
  1. score: 1.03
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 3.79353
  4. ema21 : 3.87919
  5. ema50 : 3.95936
  6. ema100 : 3.98618
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00961287
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0220835
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0202474
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0391816
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.64735
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.422234
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.209236
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.104805
  17. rsi : 0.436096
  18. adx : 0.385271
  19. kc_percentage : 0.373923
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.090379
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.155578
  22. volume_ema1 : 133866.92762087
  23. volume_ema2 : 158530.93857232
  24. chop : 12.0513
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 3.7841
  28. ema21 : 3.76385
  29. ema50 : 3.81629
  30. ema100 : 3.89379
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.012127
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00538132
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0137412
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0163832
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.16854
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.059507
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0615127
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0723592
  41. rsi : 0.622088
  42. adx : 0.277042
  43. kc_percentage : 0.997783
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0347662
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.497252
  46. volume_ema1 : 23842.614285612
  47. volume_ema2 : 47424.656737822
  48. chop : 43.2819
  49. regime : bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 3.81559
  52. ema21 : 3.79177
  53. ema50 : 3.75972
  54. ema100 : 3.73523
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00377631
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00627997
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00852502
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.0253697
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.109693
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.091516
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0644592
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.0423368
  65. rsi : 0.695114
  66. adx : 0.342472
  67. kc_percentage : 1.03365
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0179026
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.317757
  70. volume_ema1 : 6981.5051101647
  71. volume_ema2 : 10233.179450914
  72. chop : 37.4324
  73. regime : bull_medium
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    92720.6
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00604147
  78. 5m_price: 
    93280.8
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.312417
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    93839.3
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00699222
  83. 15m_price: 
    93183.2
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.09335
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    95002.1
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0181189
  88. 1H_price: 
    93280.8
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.079876
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 14:00:00
                    [1] => 3.815
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 03:00:00
                    [1] => 4.084
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 10:00:00
                    [1] => 3.878
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 10:00:00
                    [1] => 4.167
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 19:00:00
                    [1] => 4.12
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 20:00:00
                    [1] => 4.005
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 02:00:00
                    [1] => 3.987
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 15:00:00
                    [1] => 4.189
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 19:00:00
                    [1] => 3.452
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 03:00:00
                    [1] => 3.84
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.70312499999999
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 10.457705677868
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 11.239860950174
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 12:30:00
                    [1] => 4.088
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 13:45:00
                    [1] => 4.171
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 14:45:00
                    [1] => 4.121
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 15:30:00
                    [1] => 4.189
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 19:00:00
                    [1] => 3.452
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 22:15:00
                    [1] => 3.66
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 22:45:00
                    [1] => 3.734
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 00:15:00
                    [1] => 3.665
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 00:45:00
                    [1] => 3.776
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 03:45:00
                    [1] => 3.84
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.70312499999999
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.0381991814461
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 14
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.6949152542373
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 21:30:00
                    [1] => 3.698
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 22:15:00
                    [1] => 3.66
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 22:55:00
                    [1] => 3.734
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 00:15:00
                    [1] => 3.665
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 00:50:00
                    [1] => 3.776
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 01:15:00
                    [1] => 3.713
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 01:30:00
                    [1] => 3.763
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 01:50:00
                    [1] => 3.712
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 03:00:00
                    [1] => 3.747
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 03:50:00
                    [1] => 3.84
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.70312499999999
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.7614091273018
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 11
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.4819855884708
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 1
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.70%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.76%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
11 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.48%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0159
0.41%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.1182
3.13%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-18 21:30:00 3.698 ↑ High
2026-01-18 22:15:00 3.66 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 22:55:00 3.734 ↑ High
2026-01-19 00:15:00 3.665 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 00:50:00 3.776 ↑ High
2026-01-19 01:15:00 3.713 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 01:30:00 3.763 ↑ High
2026-01-19 01:50:00 3.712 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 03:00:00 3.747 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 03:50:00 3.84 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.70%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.04%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
14 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.69%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.3331
8.64%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.3262
8.63%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-18 12:30:00 4.088 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 13:45:00 4.171 ↑ High
2026-01-18 14:45:00 4.121 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 15:30:00 4.189 ↑ High
2026-01-18 19:00:00 3.452 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 22:15:00 3.66 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 22:45:00 3.734 ↑ High
2026-01-19 00:15:00 3.665 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 00:45:00 3.776 ↑ High
2026-01-19 03:45:00 3.84 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.70%
Dist From Last Low Pct
10.46%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
8 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
11.24%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.3331
8.64%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.3262
8.63%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-15 14:00:00 3.815 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 03:00:00 4.084 ↑ High
2026-01-16 10:00:00 3.878 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 10:00:00 4.167 ↑ High
2026-01-17 19:00:00 4.12 ↑ High
2026-01-17 20:00:00 4.005 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 02:00:00 3.987 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 15:00:00 4.189 ↑ High
2026-01-18 19:00:00 3.452 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 03:00:00 3.84 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
19 Jan 2026
03:56:49		 19 Jan 2026
05:10:00		 1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
3.83 3.8559 3.7782 2 1.676
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 3.83
  • Stop Loss: 3.8559
  • Take Profit: 3.7782

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 3.8559 - 3.83 = 0.0259

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 3.83 - 3.7782 = 0.0518

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0518 / 0.0259 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1182.8842 100 308.8471 11.83
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0259

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0259 = 308.88

Taille de position USD = 308.88 x 3.83 = 1183.01

Donc, tu peux acheter 308.88 avec un stoploss a 3.8559

Avec un position size USD de 1183.01$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 308.88 x 0.0259 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 308.88 x 0.0518 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 308.88
  • Taille de position USD 1183.01
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.35 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.68 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 1.35
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.7782
            [stop_loss] => 3.8559
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 05:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.76525
            [stop_loss] => 3.8559
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 05:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.7523
            [stop_loss] => 3.8559
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 05:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.73935
            [stop_loss] => 3.8559
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 06:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.7264
            [stop_loss] => 3.8559
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 06:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.08
            [max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
            [rr_ratio] => 100
            [high] => 3.81400000
            [low] => 3.75000000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.09
            [mae_pct] => -0.42
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-19T03:56:49-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-19T05:56:49-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.113
            [max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
            [rr_ratio] => 100
            [high] => 3.81400000
            [low] => 3.71700000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.95
            [mae_pct] => -0.42
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-19T03:56:49-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-19T10:56:49-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 3.84000000
            [high_after] => 3.81400000
            [low_before] => 3.66500000
            [low_after] => 3.71700000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)