Short Trade on TAO 19 Jan 2026 at 03:59:28

Take profit at 249.6215 (0.99 %) and Stop Loss at 253.3692 (0.5 %)

Short Trade on TAO

The 19 Jan 2026 at 03:59:28

With 6.4039 TAO at 252.12$ per unit.

Position size of 1614.546 $

Take profit at 249.6215 (0.99 %) and Stop Loss at 253.3692 (0.5 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 70
ML Pullback Score: 7.98
Prediction Score: 4
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.88
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.45
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.64
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

5m_regime : bull_low_confirmed

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.563555

15m : 0.097433

1H : -0.022341

2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.21
  4. atr: 0.8328285627
Details
  1. score: 1.21
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 252.793
  4. ema21 : 259.509
  5. ema50 : 266.809
  6. ema100 : 272.069
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00266405
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0258793
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.02736
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0733245
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.607575
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.414192
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.23386
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.141301
  17. rsi : 0.324415
  18. adx : 0.541808
  19. kc_percentage : 0.138945
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0764635
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.108899
  22. volume_ema1 : 1183894.4251338
  23. volume_ema2 : 1067629.6967448
  24. chop : 2.69238
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 249.44
  29. ema21 : 250.096
  30. ema50 : 255.02
  31. ema100 : 260.804
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.0107412
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00262081
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.019308
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.0332974
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : -0.0262839
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.0844851
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.125368
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.10419
  42. rsi : 0.508742
  43. adx : 0.535602
  44. kc_percentage : 0.851386
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.024304
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.565966
  47. volume_ema1 : 144503.48311581
  48. volume_ema2 : 332931.57059749
  49. chop : 56.0674
  50. regime : bear_medium
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 250.608
  54. ema21 : 249.61
  55. ema50 : 249.383
  56. ema100 : 250
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.0060319
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00399907
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.000909926
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.00847978
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.0917861
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0521133
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.0146679
  66. ema_slope_100 : 3.47179E-5
  67. rsi : 0.771383
  68. adx : 0.276616
  69. kc_percentage : 1.21205
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0137235
  71. volume_ema_diff : 1.33624
  72. volume_ema1 : 210892.2626353
  73. volume_ema2 : 90269.623828985
  74. chop : 24.4429
  75. regime : bull_low_confirmed
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    92719.8
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00561443
  81. 5m_price:
    93240.4
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.563555
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    93839.3
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00699222
  86. 15m_price:
    93183.2
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.097433
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    95001.3
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0185359
  91. 1H_price:
    93240.4
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.022341
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 03:00:00
                        [1] => 277.93
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 08:00:00
                        [1] => 274.04
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 11:00:00
                        [1] => 278.56
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 21:00:00
                        [1] => 271.28
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 01:00:00
                        [1] => 273.87
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 09:00:00
                        [1] => 274.96
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 12:00:00
                        [1] => 269.35
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 17:00:00
                        [1] => 275.54
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 19:00:00
                        [1] => 223.75
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 01:00:00
                        [1] => 245.46
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -8.5468534514045
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.6603112523425
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 10
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 9.7027932960894
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 08:00:00
                        [1] => 270.82
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 09:15:00
                        [1] => 274.96
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 12:30:00
                        [1] => 269.35
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 13:45:00
                        [1] => 274.74
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 15:00:00
                        [1] => 271.47
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 17:45:00
                        [1] => 275.54
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 19:00:00
                        [1] => 223.75
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 23:00:00
                        [1] => 253.52
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 01:30:00
                        [1] => 245.46
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 03:45:00
                        [1] => 252.58
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.23358935782722
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.6603112523425
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.9006762812678
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 22:05:00
                        [1] => 250.62
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 22:15:00
                        [1] => 252.25
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 23:05:00
                        [1] => 253.52
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 00:00:00
                        [1] => 250.84
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 00:25:00
                        [1] => 248.54
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 00:45:00
                        [1] => 250.57
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 01:35:00
                        [1] => 245.46
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 02:25:00
                        [1] => 248.77
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 03:00:00
                        [1] => 247.18
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 03:55:00
                        [1] => 252.58
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.23358935782722
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.9459503196051
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 11
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.1846427704507
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 1
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.23%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.95%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
11 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.18%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.1508
0.06%
TP to Pivot Distance
4.1615
1.67%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-18 22:05:00 250.62 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 22:15:00 252.25 ↑ High
2026-01-18 23:05:00 253.52 ↑ High
2026-01-19 00:00:00 250.84 ↑ High
2026-01-19 00:25:00 248.54 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 00:45:00 250.57 ↑ High
2026-01-19 01:35:00 245.46 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 02:25:00 248.77 ↑ High
2026-01-19 03:00:00 247.18 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 03:55:00 252.58 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.23%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.66%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
9 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.90%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
22.1708
8.75%
TP to Pivot Distance
25.8715
10.36%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-18 08:00:00 270.82 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 09:15:00 274.96 ↑ High
2026-01-18 12:30:00 269.35 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 13:45:00 274.74 ↑ High
2026-01-18 15:00:00 271.47 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 17:45:00 275.54 ↑ High
2026-01-18 19:00:00 223.75 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 23:00:00 253.52 ↑ High
2026-01-19 01:30:00 245.46 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 03:45:00 252.58 ↑ High
1H - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-8.55%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.66%
Bars Since Swing High
10 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
9.70%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
25.1908
9.94%
TP to Pivot Distance
25.8715
10.36%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-17 03:00:00 277.93 ↑ High
2026-01-17 08:00:00 274.04 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 11:00:00 278.56 ↑ High
2026-01-17 21:00:00 271.28 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 01:00:00 273.87 ↑ High
2026-01-18 09:00:00 274.96 ↑ High
2026-01-18 12:00:00 269.35 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 17:00:00 275.54 ↑ High
2026-01-18 19:00:00 223.75 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 01:00:00 245.46 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
19 Jan 2026
03:59:28
19 Jan 2026
05:30:00
1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
252.12 253.3692 249.6215 2 181.41
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 252.12
  • Stop Loss: 253.3692
  • Take Profit: 249.6215

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 253.3692 - 252.12 = 1.2492

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 252.12 - 249.6215 = 2.4985

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.4985 / 1.2492 = 2.0001

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1614.546 100 6.4039 16.15
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 1.2492

Taille de position = 8 / 1.2492 = 6.4

Taille de position USD = 6.4 x 252.12 = 1613.57

Donc, tu peux acheter 6.4 avec un stoploss a 253.3692

Avec un position size USD de 1613.57$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 6.4 x 1.2492 = 7.99

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.99$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 6.4 x 2.4985 = 15.99

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 6.4
  • Taille de position USD 1613.57
  • Perte potentielle 7.99
  • Gain potentiel 15.99
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0001

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.99 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.5 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.99
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.1825 % 36.83 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 249.6216
            [stop_loss] => 253.3692
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 05:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 248.997
            [stop_loss] => 253.3692
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 07:25:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 248.3724
            [stop_loss] => 253.3692
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 08:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 247.7478
            [stop_loss] => 253.3692
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 08:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 2.77
            [max_drawdown] => 0.46000000000001
            [rr_ratio] => 6.02
            [high] => 252.58000000
            [low] => 249.35000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.1
            [mae_pct] => 0.18
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 6.02
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-19T03:59:28-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-19T05:59:28-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 4.56
            [max_drawdown] => 0.46000000000001
            [rr_ratio] => 9.91
            [high] => 252.58000000
            [low] => 247.56000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.81
            [mae_pct] => 0.18
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 9.91
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-19T03:59:28-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-19T10:59:28-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 252.58000000
            [high_after] => 252.58000000
            [low_before] => 245.46000000
            [low_after] => 247.56000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)