Short Trade on ETH 19 Jan 2026 at 06:38:05
Take profit at 3212.5235 (0.44 %) and Stop Loss at 3233.9233 (0.22 %)
Short Trade on ETH 19 Jan 2026 at 06:38:05
Take profit at 3212.5235 (0.44 %) and Stop Loss at 3233.9233 (0.22 %)
Position size of 3618.862 $
Take profit at 3212.5235 (0.44 %) and Stop Loss at 3233.9233 (0.22 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Strong Trade
|
0.52 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.53 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.58 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.856257 15m : 0.076715 1H : 0.017445 |
2 |
Indicators:
92815.4
0.00367953
93157
0.856257
93686.1
-0.00661353
93066.6
0.076715
94916.9
-0.018542
93157
0.017445
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 10:00:00
[1] => 3252
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 18:00:00
[1] => 3298.47
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 10:00:00
[1] => 3328.85
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 20:00:00
[1] => 3293.72
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 22:00:00
[1] => 3318.1
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 03:00:00
[1] => 3301.46
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 13:00:00
[1] => 3368.22
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 19:00:00
[1] => 3176
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 01:00:00
[1] => 3186.12
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 06:00:00
[1] => 3228.5
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.043054049868356
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.286517770831
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.3301445017765
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 10:00:00
[1] => 3317.1
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 13:30:00
[1] => 3368.22
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 16:00:00
[1] => 3335.01
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 17:00:00
[1] => 3354.9
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 19:15:00
[1] => 3176
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 21:00:00
[1] => 3192.25
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 23:45:00
[1] => 3216.45
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 01:15:00
[1] => 3186.12
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 03:15:00
[1] => 3220.83
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 06:15:00
[1] => 3228.5
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.043054049868356
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.286517770831
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 21
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.23813737452769
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 23:00:00
[1] => 3214.45
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 23:20:00
[1] => 3204.62
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 23:50:00
[1] => 3216.45
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 00:25:00
[1] => 3195.17
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 01:15:00
[1] => 3186.12
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 02:50:00
[1] => 3207.99
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 03:10:00
[1] => 3195.47
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 03:20:00
[1] => 3220.83
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 04:40:00
[1] => 3203.6
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 06:25:00
[1] => 3228.5
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.043054049868356
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.73386190535648
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 23
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.77725059308278
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-18 23:00:00 | 3214.45 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-18 23:20:00 | 3204.62 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 23:50:00 | 3216.45 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-19 00:25:00 | 3195.17 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-19 01:15:00 | 3186.12 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-19 02:50:00 | 3207.99 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-19 03:10:00 | 3195.47 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-19 03:20:00 | 3220.83 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-19 04:40:00 | 3203.6 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-19 06:25:00 | 3228.5 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-18 10:00:00 | 3317.1 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 13:30:00 | 3368.22 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-18 16:00:00 | 3335.01 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 17:00:00 | 3354.9 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-18 19:15:00 | 3176 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 21:00:00 | 3192.25 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 23:45:00 | 3216.45 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-19 01:15:00 | 3186.12 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-19 03:15:00 | 3220.83 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-19 06:15:00 | 3228.5 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-16 10:00:00 | 3252 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-16 18:00:00 | 3298.47 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-17 10:00:00 | 3328.85 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-17 20:00:00 | 3293.72 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-17 22:00:00 | 3318.1 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-18 03:00:00 | 3301.46 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 13:00:00 | 3368.22 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-18 19:00:00 | 3176 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-19 01:00:00 | 3186.12 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-19 06:00:00 | 3228.5 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan 2026 06:38:05 |
19 Jan 2026 07:35:00 |
56 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3226.79 | 3233.9233 | 3212.5235 | 2 | 1922.23 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 3233.9233 - 3226.79 = 7.1333
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 3226.79 - 3212.5235 = 14.2665
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 14.2665 / 7.1333 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3618.862 | 100 | 1.1215 | 36.19 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 7.1333 = 1.12
Taille de position USD = 1.12 x 3226.79 = 3614
Donc, tu peux acheter 1.12 avec un stoploss a 3233.9233
Avec un position size USD de 3614$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1.12 x 7.1333 = 7.99
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.99$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1.12 x 14.2665 = 15.98
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.98$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.44 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.22 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.22 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2399 % | 108.5 % | 3 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 3212.5235
[entry_price] => 3226.79
[stop_loss] => 3234.63663
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-01-19 08:20:00
[result] => win
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 3212.5235
[entry_price] => 3226.79
[stop_loss] => 3235.34996
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-01-19 08:20:00
[result] => win
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 3212.5235
[entry_price] => 3226.79
[stop_loss] => 3236.06329
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-01-19 08:20:00
[result] => win
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 3212.5235
[entry_price] => 3226.79
[stop_loss] => 3237.48995
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-19 08:20:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 16.3
[max_drawdown] => 7.7400000000002
[rr_ratio] => 2.11
[high] => 3234.53000000
[low] => 3210.49000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.51
[mae_pct] => 0.24
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.11
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-01-19T06:38:05-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-19T08:38:05-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 26.29
[max_drawdown] => 7.7400000000002
[rr_ratio] => 3.4
[high] => 3234.53000000
[low] => 3200.50000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.81
[mae_pct] => 0.24
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.4
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-01-19T06:38:05-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-19T13:38:05-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 3228.50000000
[high_after] => 3234.53000000
[low_before] => 3195.47000000
[low_after] => 3200.50000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)