Short Trade on AR 19 Jan 2026 at 08:09:50

Take profit at 3.7387 (1.14 %) and Stop Loss at 3.8037 (0.57 %)

Short Trade on AR

The 19 Jan 2026 at 08:09:50

With 369.4687 AR at 3.782$ per unit.

Position size of 1397.3308 $

Take profit at 3.7387 (1.14 %) and Stop Loss at 3.8037 (0.57 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 40
ML Pullback Score: 3.24
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.57
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.52
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.83
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.386441

15m : -0.04433

1H : -0.045566

2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.06
  4. atr: 0.01443514065
Details
  1. score: 1.06
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 3.77241
  4. ema21 : 3.83462
  5. ema50 : 3.9238
  6. ema100 : 3.9675
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00253965
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0162233
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0227274
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0467568
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.332219
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.354665
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.220029
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.122355
  17. rsi : 0.420766
  18. adx : 0.369719
  19. kc_percentage : 0.325299
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0719576
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.545566
  22. volume_ema1 : 64324.746793009
  23. volume_ema2 : 141549.26298316
  24. chop : 38.6275
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 3.75549
  29. ema21 : 3.7593
  30. ema50 : 3.78956
  31. ema100 : 3.85949
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.00705783
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00101431
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00798483
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.0200784
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : -0.0739646
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.0328206
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0496142
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0619287
  42. rsi : 0.557047
  43. adx : 0.159029
  44. kc_percentage : 0.716139
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0281255
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.528678
  47. volume_ema1 : 16329.587677709
  48. volume_ema2 : 34646.405271452
  49. chop : 56.7503
  50. regime : bear_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 3.75054
  54. ema21 : 3.74862
  55. ema50 : 3.75502
  56. ema100 : 3.75124
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00838768
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000511833
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00170411
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.0081996
  61. all_emas_in_trend : False
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.0258105
  64. ema_slope_21 : -0.00582699
  65. ema_slope_50 : -0.0126412
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.00363614
  67. rsi : 0.634168
  68. adx : 0.266179
  69. kc_percentage : 1.06092
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0158377
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.0438741
  72. volume_ema1 : 6740.319843612
  73. volume_ema2 : 7049.6155863823
  74. chop : 39.5606
  75. regime : range_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    92909.8
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.000548452
  81. 5m_price:
    92960.8
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.386441
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    93610.9
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00694556
  86. 15m_price:
    92960.8
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.04433
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    94863.8
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0200607
  91. 1H_price:
    92960.8
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.045566
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-15 14:00:00
                        [1] => 3.815
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 03:00:00
                        [1] => 4.084
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 10:00:00
                        [1] => 3.878
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 10:00:00
                        [1] => 4.167
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 19:00:00
                        [1] => 4.12
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 20:00:00
                        [1] => 4.005
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 02:00:00
                        [1] => 3.987
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 15:00:00
                        [1] => 4.189
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 19:00:00
                        [1] => 3.452
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 03:00:00
                        [1] => 3.84
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.484375
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 9.5886442641947
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 5
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 13
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 11.239860950174
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 14:45:00
                        [1] => 4.121
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 15:30:00
                        [1] => 4.189
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 19:00:00
                        [1] => 3.452
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 22:15:00
                        [1] => 3.66
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 22:45:00
                        [1] => 3.734
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 00:15:00
                        [1] => 3.665
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 00:45:00
                        [1] => 3.776
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 03:45:00
                        [1] => 3.84
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 07:00:00
                        [1] => 3.717
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 08:00:00
                        [1] => 3.783
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.7756255044391
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.7756255044391
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 03:00:00
                        [1] => 3.747
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 03:50:00
                        [1] => 3.84
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 04:05:00
                        [1] => 3.786
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 04:30:00
                        [1] => 3.814
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 04:40:00
                        [1] => 3.814
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 05:30:00
                        [1] => 3.75
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 05:55:00
                        [1] => 3.775
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 07:00:00
                        [1] => 3.717
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 07:10:00
                        [1] => 3.752
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 08:05:00
                        [1] => 3.783
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.7756255044391
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 13
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.82622601279318
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.78%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
13 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.83%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0363
0.95%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0217
0.58%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-19 03:00:00 3.747 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 03:50:00 3.84 ↑ High
2026-01-19 04:05:00 3.786 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 04:30:00 3.814 ↑ High
2026-01-19 04:40:00 3.814 ↑ High
2026-01-19 05:30:00 3.75 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 05:55:00 3.775 ↑ High
2026-01-19 07:00:00 3.717 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 07:10:00 3.752 ↑ High
2026-01-19 08:05:00 3.783 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.78%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.78%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.3853
10.13%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.2867
7.67%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-18 14:45:00 4.121 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 15:30:00 4.189 ↑ High
2026-01-18 19:00:00 3.452 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 22:15:00 3.66 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 22:45:00 3.734 ↑ High
2026-01-19 00:15:00 3.665 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 00:45:00 3.776 ↑ High
2026-01-19 03:45:00 3.84 ↑ High
2026-01-19 07:00:00 3.717 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 08:00:00 3.783 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.48%
Dist From Last Low Pct
9.59%
Bars Since Swing High
5 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
13 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
11.24%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.3853
10.13%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.2867
7.67%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-15 14:00:00 3.815 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 03:00:00 4.084 ↑ High
2026-01-16 10:00:00 3.878 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 10:00:00 4.167 ↑ High
2026-01-17 19:00:00 4.12 ↑ High
2026-01-17 20:00:00 4.005 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 02:00:00 3.987 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 15:00:00 4.189 ↑ High
2026-01-18 19:00:00 3.452 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 03:00:00 3.84 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
19 Jan 2026
08:09:50
19 Jan 2026
08:30:00
20 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
3.782 3.8037 3.7387 2 1.646
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 3.782
  • Stop Loss: 3.8037
  • Take Profit: 3.7387

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 3.8037 - 3.782 = 0.0217

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 3.782 - 3.7387 = 0.0433

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0433 / 0.0217 = 1.9954

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1397.3308 100 369.4687 13.97
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0217

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0217 = 368.66

Taille de position USD = 368.66 x 3.782 = 1394.27

Donc, tu peux acheter 368.66 avec un stoploss a 3.8037

Avec un position size USD de 1394.27$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 368.66 x 0.0217 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 368.66 x 0.0433 = 15.96

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.96$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 368.66
  • Taille de position USD 1394.27
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 15.96
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9954

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.14 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.57 % 8.02 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 1.14
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.1058 % 18.44 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.7386
            [stop_loss] => 3.8037
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 08:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.72775
            [stop_loss] => 3.8037
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 11:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.7169
            [stop_loss] => 3.8037
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 11:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.70605
            [stop_loss] => 3.8037
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 11:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.6952
            [stop_loss] => 3.8037
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 11:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.68435
            [stop_loss] => 3.8037
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 11:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.6735
            [stop_loss] => 3.8037
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 11:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.66265
            [stop_loss] => 3.8037
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 11:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.6518
            [stop_loss] => 3.8037
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 11:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.64095
            [stop_loss] => 3.8037
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 11:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.6301
            [stop_loss] => 3.8037
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 11:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.048
            [max_drawdown] => 0.013
            [rr_ratio] => 3.69
            [high] => 3.79500000
            [low] => 3.73400000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.27
            [mae_pct] => 0.34
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.69
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-19T08:09:50-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-19T10:09:50-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.048
            [max_drawdown] => 0.101
            [rr_ratio] => 0.48
            [high] => 3.88300000
            [low] => 3.73400000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.27
            [mae_pct] => 2.67
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.48
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-19T08:09:50-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-19T15:09:50-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 3.81400000
            [high_after] => 3.85900000
            [low_before] => 3.71700000
            [low_after] => 3.73400000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)