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Short Trade on AR

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Short Trade on AR 19 Jan 2026 at 09:27:40

Take profit at 3.7462 (1.03 %) and Stop Loss at 3.8044 (0.51 %)

Short Trade on AR

The 19 Jan 2026 at 09:27:40

With 412.529 AR at 3.785$ per unit.

Position size of 1561.4224 $

Take profit at 3.7462 (1.03 %) and Stop Loss at 3.8044 (0.51 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 50
ML Pullback Score: 3.86
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.88
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.48
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.73
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.426162

15m : 0.025464

1H : -0.003985

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.09
  4. atr: 0.01292838262
Details
  1. score: 1.09
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 3.76789
  4. ema21 : 3.82648
  5. ema50 : 3.91641
  6. ema100 : 3.96087
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00453954
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0153104
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0229632
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.044403
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.237529
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.311695
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.206352
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.116297
  17. rsi : 0.430041
  18. adx : 0.364064
  19. kc_percentage : 0.363877
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0708613
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.564931
  22. volume_ema1 : 60760.185062006
  23. volume_ema2 : 139656.43737146
  24. chop : 68.4739
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 3.75083
  28. ema21 : 3.75484
  29. ema50 : 3.78182
  30. ema100 : 3.8483
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00910932
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0010689
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00713501
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0164497
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.0436602
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0328447
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.046874
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0591945
  41. rsi : 0.501368
  42. adx : 0.134039
  43. kc_percentage : 0.840235
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.023678
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.74027
  46. volume_ema1 : 7902.1301312209
  47. volume_ema2 : 30424.468191466
  48. chop : 64.4023
  49. regime : bear_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 3.76068
  52. ema21 : 3.75427
  53. ema50 : 3.7551
  54. ema100 : 3.75529
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00646544
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00170769
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.000221028
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00790925
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0103107
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.00389792
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.00336675
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.00210323
  65. rsi : 0.64367
  66. adx : 0.183447
  67. kc_percentage : 1.08926
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0136876
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.517055
  70. volume_ema1 : 2747.5868455669
  71. volume_ema2 : 5689.244713588
  72. chop : 47.8932
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    92892.1
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00107296
  78. 5m_price: 
    92792.5
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.426162
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    93548.6
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00715865
  83. 15m_price: 
    92879
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.025464
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    94791.7
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0210907
  88. 1H_price: 
    92792.5
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.003985
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-15 14:00:00
                    [1] => 3.815
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 03:00:00
                    [1] => 4.084
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-16 10:00:00
                    [1] => 3.878
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 10:00:00
                    [1] => 4.167
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 19:00:00
                    [1] => 4.12
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-17 20:00:00
                    [1] => 4.005
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 02:00:00
                    [1] => 3.987
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 15:00:00
                    [1] => 4.189
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 19:00:00
                    [1] => 3.452
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 03:00:00
                    [1] => 3.84
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.25
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 9.8493626882966
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 6
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 14
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 11.239860950174
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 14:45:00
                    [1] => 4.121
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 15:30:00
                    [1] => 4.189
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 19:00:00
                    [1] => 3.452
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 22:15:00
                    [1] => 3.66
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-18 22:45:00
                    [1] => 3.734
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 00:15:00
                    [1] => 3.665
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 00:45:00
                    [1] => 3.776
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 03:45:00
                    [1] => 3.84
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 07:00:00
                    [1] => 3.717
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 09:15:00
                    [1] => 3.795
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.079051383399212
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.0177562550444
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.0984665052462
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 04:05:00
                    [1] => 3.786
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 04:30:00
                    [1] => 3.814
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 04:40:00
                    [1] => 3.814
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 05:30:00
                    [1] => 3.75
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 05:55:00
                    [1] => 3.775
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 07:00:00
                    [1] => 3.717
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 07:10:00
                    [1] => 3.752
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 08:10:00
                    [1] => 3.786
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 09:05:00
                    [1] => 3.734
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-19 09:25:00
                    [1] => 3.795
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.079051383399212
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.5532940546331
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.6336368505624
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.08%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.55%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.63%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0096
0.25%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0292
0.78%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-19 04:05:00 3.786 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 04:30:00 3.814 ↑ High
2026-01-19 04:40:00 3.814 ↑ High
2026-01-19 05:30:00 3.75 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 05:55:00 3.775 ↑ High
2026-01-19 07:00:00 3.717 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 07:10:00 3.752 ↑ High
2026-01-19 08:10:00 3.786 ↑ High
2026-01-19 09:05:00 3.734 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 09:25:00 3.795 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.08%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.02%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
9 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.10%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.3846
10.11%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.2942
7.85%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-18 14:45:00 4.121 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 15:30:00 4.189 ↑ High
2026-01-18 19:00:00 3.452 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 22:15:00 3.66 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 22:45:00 3.734 ↑ High
2026-01-19 00:15:00 3.665 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 00:45:00 3.776 ↑ High
2026-01-19 03:45:00 3.84 ↑ High
2026-01-19 07:00:00 3.717 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 09:15:00 3.795 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.25%
Dist From Last Low Pct
9.85%
Bars Since Swing High
6 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
14 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
11.24%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.3846
10.11%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.2942
7.85%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-15 14:00:00 3.815 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 03:00:00 4.084 ↑ High
2026-01-16 10:00:00 3.878 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 10:00:00 4.167 ↑ High
2026-01-17 19:00:00 4.12 ↑ High
2026-01-17 20:00:00 4.005 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 02:00:00 3.987 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 15:00:00 4.189 ↑ High
2026-01-18 19:00:00 3.452 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 03:00:00 3.84 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
19 Jan 2026
09:27:40		 19 Jan 2026
10:20:00		 52 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
3.785 3.8044 3.7462 2 1.67
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 3.785
  • Stop Loss: 3.8044
  • Take Profit: 3.7462

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 3.8044 - 3.785 = 0.0194

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 3.785 - 3.7462 = 0.0388

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0388 / 0.0194 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1561.4224 100 412.529 15.61
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0194

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0194 = 412.37

Taille de position USD = 412.37 x 3.785 = 1560.82

Donc, tu peux acheter 412.37 avec un stoploss a 3.8044

Avec un position size USD de 1560.82$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 412.37 x 0.0194 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 412.37 x 0.0388 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 412.37
  • Taille de position USD 1560.82
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.03 % 16.01 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.51 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16.01 $ 1.03
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.2378 % 46.4 % 4

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.7462
            [stop_loss] => 3.8044
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 10:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.7365
            [stop_loss] => 3.8044
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 10:25:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.7268
            [stop_loss] => 3.8044
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 11:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.7171
            [stop_loss] => 3.8044
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 11:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.7074
            [stop_loss] => 3.8044
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 11:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.6977
            [stop_loss] => 3.8044
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 11:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.688
            [stop_loss] => 3.8044
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 11:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.6783
            [stop_loss] => 3.8044
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 11:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.6686
            [stop_loss] => 3.8044
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 11:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.6589
            [stop_loss] => 3.8044
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 11:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.6492
            [stop_loss] => 3.8044
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 11:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.049
            [max_drawdown] => 0.011
            [rr_ratio] => 4.45
            [high] => 3.79600000
            [low] => 3.73600000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.29
            [mae_pct] => 0.29
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 4.45
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-19T09:27:40-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-19T11:27:40-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.049
            [max_drawdown] => 0.098
            [rr_ratio] => 0.5
            [high] => 3.88300000
            [low] => 3.73600000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.29
            [mae_pct] => 2.59
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.5
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-19T09:27:40-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-19T16:27:40-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 3.79500000
            [high_after] => 3.88300000
            [low_before] => 3.71700000
            [low_after] => 3.73600000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)