Short Trade on AAVE 19 Jan 2026 at 11:24:45
Take profit at 162.5757 (0.64 %) and Stop Loss at 164.1421 (0.32 %)
Short Trade on AAVE 19 Jan 2026 at 11:24:45
Take profit at 162.5757 (0.64 %) and Stop Loss at 164.1421 (0.32 %)
Position size of 2506.9223 $
Take profit at 162.5757 (0.64 %) and Stop Loss at 164.1421 (0.32 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.73 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.75 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.66 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.709825 15m : -0.045796 1H : 0.039303 |
2 |
Indicators:
92940.3
0.00161135
93090.1
0.709825
93440.9
-0.00438511
93031.2
-0.045796
94758.2
-0.0176047
93090.1
0.039303
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 10:00:00
[1] => 168.21
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 21:00:00
[1] => 177.21
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 03:00:00
[1] => 173.63
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 11:00:00
[1] => 176.51
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 20:00:00
[1] => 171.8
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 10:00:00
[1] => 172.07
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 13:00:00
[1] => 177.18
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 19:00:00
[1] => 156.47
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 01:00:00
[1] => 161.29
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 06:00:00
[1] => 164.38
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.46234335077259
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.4446028892058
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 5
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.9158038316077
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 19:00:00
[1] => 156.47
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 00:30:00
[1] => 163.47
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 01:45:00
[1] => 161.29
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 04:00:00
[1] => 163.75
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 05:30:00
[1] => 162.05
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 06:15:00
[1] => 164.38
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 09:00:00
[1] => 162.26
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 09:30:00
[1] => 163.36
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 10:30:00
[1] => 162.24
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 11:15:00
[1] => 163.64
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.012221950623308
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.85059171597633
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.86291913214989
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 07:00:00
[1] => 163.01
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 07:25:00
[1] => 163.01
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 07:35:00
[1] => 164.01
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 08:40:00
[1] => 163.34
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 09:05:00
[1] => 162.26
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 09:30:00
[1] => 163.36
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 09:50:00
[1] => 163.36
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 10:30:00
[1] => 162.24
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 11:00:00
[1] => 162.28
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 11:20:00
[1] => 163.64
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.012221950623308
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.82573330046833
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.83805767808725
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 07:00:00 | 163.01 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-19 07:25:00 | 163.01 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-19 07:35:00 | 164.01 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-19 08:40:00 | 163.34 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-19 09:05:00 | 162.26 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-19 09:30:00 | 163.36 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-19 09:50:00 | 163.36 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-19 10:30:00 | 162.24 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-19 11:00:00 | 162.28 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-19 11:20:00 | 163.64 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-18 19:00:00 | 156.47 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-19 00:30:00 | 163.47 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-19 01:45:00 | 161.29 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-19 04:00:00 | 163.75 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-19 05:30:00 | 162.05 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-19 06:15:00 | 164.38 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-19 09:00:00 | 162.26 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-19 09:30:00 | 163.36 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-19 10:30:00 | 162.24 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-19 11:15:00 | 163.64 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-16 10:00:00 | 168.21 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-16 21:00:00 | 177.21 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-17 03:00:00 | 173.63 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-17 11:00:00 | 176.51 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-17 20:00:00 | 171.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 10:00:00 | 172.07 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 13:00:00 | 177.18 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-18 19:00:00 | 156.47 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-19 01:00:00 | 161.29 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-19 06:00:00 | 164.38 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan 2026 11:24:45 |
19 Jan 2026 11:45:00 |
20 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 163.62 | 164.1421 | 162.5757 | 2 | 114.49 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 164.1421 - 163.62 = 0.52209999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 163.62 - 162.5757 = 1.0443
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.0443 / 0.52209999999999 = 2.0002
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2506.9223 | 100 | 15.3216 | 25.07 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.52209999999999 = 15.32
Taille de position USD = 15.32 x 163.62 = 2506.66
Donc, tu peux acheter 15.32 avec un stoploss a 164.1421
Avec un position size USD de 2506.66$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 15.32 x 0.52209999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 15.32 x 1.0443 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.64 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.32 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.32 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4584 % | 143.65 % | 1 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 162.5757
[entry_price] => 163.62
[stop_loss] => 164.19431
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-01-19 11:45:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 162.5757
[entry_price] => 163.62
[stop_loss] => 164.24652
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-01-19 11:45:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 162.5757
[entry_price] => 163.62
[stop_loss] => 164.29873
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-01-19 11:45:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 162.5757
[entry_price] => 163.62
[stop_loss] => 164.40315
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-19 11:50:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.039999999999992
[max_drawdown] => 1.2
[rr_ratio] => 0.03
[high] => 164.82000000
[low] => 163.58000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.02
[mae_pct] => 0.73
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.03
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-01-19T11:24:45-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-19T13:24:45-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.94
[max_drawdown] => 2.46
[rr_ratio] => 0.38
[high] => 166.08000000
[low] => 162.68000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.57
[mae_pct] => 1.5
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.38
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-01-19T11:24:45-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-19T18:24:45-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 164.01000000
[high_after] => 166.08000000
[low_before] => 162.24000000
[low_after] => 163.47000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)