Short Trade on AR 19 Jan 2026 at 11:34:17

Take profit at 3.7635 (0.99 %) and Stop Loss at 3.8197 (0.49 %)

Short Trade on AR

The 19 Jan 2026 at 11:34:17

With 427.0462 AR at 3.801$ per unit.

Position size of 1623.2028 $

Take profit at 3.7635 (0.99 %) and Stop Loss at 3.8197 (0.49 %)

That's a 2.01 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.43
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.69
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.51
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.55
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_medium

5m_regime : bull_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.410347

15m : 0.007119

1H : 0.038139

2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.12
  4. atr: 0.01248888933
Details
  1. score: 1.12
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 3.77082
  4. ema21 : 3.81724
  5. ema50 : 3.9058
  6. ema100 : 3.95723
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00800326
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0121613
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0226729
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0394805
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.0961675
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.234957
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.181319
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.108599
  17. rsi : 0.454035
  18. adx : 0.344511
  19. kc_percentage : 0.454074
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.067459
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.636671
  22. volume_ema1 : 48377.159975706
  23. volume_ema2 : 133149.94288379
  24. chop : 67.15
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 3.77373
  29. ema21 : 3.76613
  30. ema50 : 3.78022
  31. ema100 : 3.84251
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.0072252
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00201671
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00372638
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.0108028
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.0500855
  39. ema_slope_21 : 0.0212021
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0156266
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0435765
  42. rsi : 0.601175
  43. adx : 0.166635
  44. kc_percentage : 0.871795
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0244866
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.690506
  47. volume_ema1 : 7633.7970097894
  48. volume_ema2 : 24665.421265808
  49. chop : 64.0147
  50. regime : range_medium
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 3.77876
  54. ema21 : 3.76986
  55. ema50 : 3.76481
  56. ema100 : 3.76785
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00588443
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00236185
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00133889
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.00879787
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.0414483
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.019735
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.00880854
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.00146526
  67. rsi : 0.659727
  68. adx : 0.15538
  69. kc_percentage : 1.12378
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0129538
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.496938
  72. volume_ema1 : 2211.060216687
  73. volume_ema2 : 4395.2066629409
  74. chop : 39.1056
  75. regime : bull_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    92966.2
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00223124
  81. 5m_price:
    93173.7
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.410347
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    93446.6
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00292046
  86. 15m_price:
    93173.7
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.007119
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    94759.9
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0167397
  91. 1H_price:
    93173.7
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.038139
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 03:00:00
                        [1] => 4.084
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 10:00:00
                        [1] => 3.878
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 10:00:00
                        [1] => 4.167
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 19:00:00
                        [1] => 4.12
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 20:00:00
                        [1] => 4.005
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 02:00:00
                        [1] => 3.987
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 15:00:00
                        [1] => 4.189
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 19:00:00
                        [1] => 3.452
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 03:00:00
                        [1] => 3.84
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 11:00:00
                        [1] => 3.801
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.02630886608788
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 10.081112398609
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 16
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.026045777427
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 15:30:00
                        [1] => 4.189
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 19:00:00
                        [1] => 3.452
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 22:15:00
                        [1] => 3.66
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 22:45:00
                        [1] => 3.734
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 00:15:00
                        [1] => 3.665
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 00:45:00
                        [1] => 3.776
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 03:45:00
                        [1] => 3.84
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 07:00:00
                        [1] => 3.717
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 09:15:00
                        [1] => 3.795
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 11:30:00
                        [1] => 3.801
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.02630886608788
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.2329835889158
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 18
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.15810276679842
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 05:55:00
                        [1] => 3.775
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 07:00:00
                        [1] => 3.717
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 07:10:00
                        [1] => 3.752
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 08:10:00
                        [1] => 3.786
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 09:05:00
                        [1] => 3.734
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 09:25:00
                        [1] => 3.795
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 10:25:00
                        [1] => 3.736
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 10:35:00
                        [1] => 3.769
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 11:00:00
                        [1] => 3.749
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 11:30:00
                        [1] => 3.801
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.02630886608788
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.3603627634036
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.3870365430782
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.03%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.36%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.39%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0187
0.49%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0465
1.24%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-19 05:55:00 3.775 ↑ High
2026-01-19 07:00:00 3.717 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 07:10:00 3.752 ↑ High
2026-01-19 08:10:00 3.786 ↑ High
2026-01-19 09:05:00 3.734 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 09:25:00 3.795 ↑ High
2026-01-19 10:25:00 3.736 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 10:35:00 3.769 ↑ High
2026-01-19 11:00:00 3.749 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 11:30:00 3.801 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.03%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.23%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
18 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.16%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.3693
9.67%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.3115
8.28%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-18 15:30:00 4.189 ↑ High
2026-01-18 19:00:00 3.452 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 22:15:00 3.66 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 22:45:00 3.734 ↑ High
2026-01-19 00:15:00 3.665 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 00:45:00 3.776 ↑ High
2026-01-19 03:45:00 3.84 ↑ High
2026-01-19 07:00:00 3.717 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 09:15:00 3.795 ↑ High
2026-01-19 11:30:00 3.801 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.03%
Dist From Last Low Pct
10.08%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
16 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.03%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.3693
9.67%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.3115
8.28%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-16 03:00:00 4.084 ↑ High
2026-01-16 10:00:00 3.878 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 10:00:00 4.167 ↑ High
2026-01-17 19:00:00 4.12 ↑ High
2026-01-17 20:00:00 4.005 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 02:00:00 3.987 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 15:00:00 4.189 ↑ High
2026-01-18 19:00:00 3.452 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 03:00:00 3.84 ↑ High
2026-01-19 11:00:00 3.801 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
19 Jan 2026
11:34:17
19 Jan 2026
11:50:00
15 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
3.801 3.8197 3.7635 2.01 1.673
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 3.801
  • Stop Loss: 3.8197
  • Take Profit: 3.7635

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 3.8197 - 3.801 = 0.0187

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 3.801 - 3.7635 = 0.0375

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0375 / 0.0187 = 2.0053

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1623.2028 100 427.0462 16.23
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0187

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0187 = 427.81

Taille de position USD = 427.81 x 3.801 = 1626.11

Donc, tu peux acheter 427.81 avec un stoploss a 3.8197

Avec un position size USD de 1626.11$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 427.81 x 0.0187 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 427.81 x 0.0375 = 16.04

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.04$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 427.81
  • Taille de position USD 1626.11
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16.04
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0053

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.99 % 16.01 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.49 % 7.99 $
PNL PNL %
-7.99 $ -0.49
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.5262 % 106.95 % 2

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.7635
            [entry_price] => 3.801
            [stop_loss] => 3.82157
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 11:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.7635
            [entry_price] => 3.801
            [stop_loss] => 3.82344
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 12:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.7635
            [entry_price] => 3.801
            [stop_loss] => 3.82531
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 12:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.7635
            [entry_price] => 3.801
            [stop_loss] => 3.82905
            [rr_ratio] => 1.34
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 12:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.011
            [max_drawdown] => 0.039
            [rr_ratio] => 0.28
            [high] => 3.84000000
            [low] => 3.79000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.29
            [mae_pct] => 1.03
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.28
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-19T11:34:17-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-19T13:34:17-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.029
            [max_drawdown] => 0.082
            [rr_ratio] => 0.35
            [high] => 3.88300000
            [low] => 3.77200000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.76
            [mae_pct] => 2.16
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.35
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-19T11:34:17-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-19T18:34:17-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 3.80100000
            [high_after] => 3.88300000
            [low_before] => 3.73300000
            [low_after] => 3.77200000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)