Short Trade on AAVE 19 Jan 2026 at 12:01:13
Take profit at 163.5527 (0.62 %) and Stop Loss at 165.0787 (0.31 %)
Short Trade on AAVE 19 Jan 2026 at 12:01:13
Take profit at 163.5527 (0.62 %) and Stop Loss at 165.0787 (0.31 %)
Position size of 2588.2495 $
Take profit at 163.5527 (0.62 %) and Stop Loss at 165.0787 (0.31 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.53 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.47 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.56 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : bull_low_confirmed |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.691222 15m : -0.164837 1H : -0.031522 |
1 |
Indicators:
93034.5
0.00231627
93250
0.691222
93436.3
-0.00199444
93250
-0.164837
94624.8
-0.0145296
93250
-0.031522
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 10:00:00
[1] => 168.21
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 21:00:00
[1] => 177.21
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 03:00:00
[1] => 173.63
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 11:00:00
[1] => 176.51
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 20:00:00
[1] => 171.8
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 10:00:00
[1] => 172.07
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 13:00:00
[1] => 177.18
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 19:00:00
[1] => 156.47
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 01:00:00
[1] => 161.29
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 11:00:00
[1] => 164.76
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.33988832240835
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.8042036084072
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 11
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.1514043028086
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 19:00:00
[1] => 156.47
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 00:30:00
[1] => 163.47
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 01:45:00
[1] => 161.29
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 04:00:00
[1] => 163.75
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 05:30:00
[1] => 162.05
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 06:15:00
[1] => 164.38
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 09:00:00
[1] => 162.26
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 09:30:00
[1] => 163.36
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 10:30:00
[1] => 162.24
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 11:45:00
[1] => 164.76
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.33988832240835
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.2080867850098
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.5532544378698
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 07:00:00
[1] => 163.01
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 07:25:00
[1] => 163.01
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 07:35:00
[1] => 164.01
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 08:40:00
[1] => 163.34
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 09:05:00
[1] => 162.26
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 09:30:00
[1] => 163.36
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 09:50:00
[1] => 163.36
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 10:30:00
[1] => 162.24
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 11:00:00
[1] => 162.28
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 11:55:00
[1] => 164.76
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.33988832240835
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.1831402514173
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 12
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.5282228247473
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 07:00:00 | 163.01 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-19 07:25:00 | 163.01 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-19 07:35:00 | 164.01 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-19 08:40:00 | 163.34 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-19 09:05:00 | 162.26 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-19 09:30:00 | 163.36 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-19 09:50:00 | 163.36 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-19 10:30:00 | 162.24 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-19 11:00:00 | 162.28 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-19 11:55:00 | 164.76 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-18 19:00:00 | 156.47 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-19 00:30:00 | 163.47 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-19 01:45:00 | 161.29 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-19 04:00:00 | 163.75 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-19 05:30:00 | 162.05 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-19 06:15:00 | 164.38 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-19 09:00:00 | 162.26 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-19 09:30:00 | 163.36 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-19 10:30:00 | 162.24 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-19 11:45:00 | 164.76 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-16 10:00:00 | 168.21 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-16 21:00:00 | 177.21 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-17 03:00:00 | 173.63 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-17 11:00:00 | 176.51 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-17 20:00:00 | 171.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 10:00:00 | 172.07 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 13:00:00 | 177.18 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-18 19:00:00 | 156.47 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-19 01:00:00 | 161.29 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-19 11:00:00 | 164.76 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan 2026 12:01:13 |
19 Jan 2026 13:25:00 |
1 hour |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 164.57 | 165.0787 | 163.5527 | 2 | 110.76 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 165.0787 - 164.57 = 0.5087
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 164.57 - 163.5527 = 1.0173
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.0173 / 0.5087 = 1.9998
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2588.2495 | 100 | 15.7273 | 25.88 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.5087 = 15.73
Taille de position USD = 15.73 x 164.57 = 2588.69
Donc, tu peux acheter 15.73 avec un stoploss a 165.0787
Avec un position size USD de 2588.69$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 15.73 x 0.5087 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 15.73 x 1.0173 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.62 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.31 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.62 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1519 % | 49.14 % | 3 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 163.5526
[stop_loss] => 165.0787
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-01-19 13:25:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 163.29825
[stop_loss] => 165.0787
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-19 14:15:00
[result] => loss
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 163.0439
[stop_loss] => 165.0787
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2026-01-19 14:15:00
[result] => loss
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 162.78955
[stop_loss] => 165.0787
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-19 14:15:00
[result] => loss
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 162.5352
[stop_loss] => 165.0787
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2026-01-19 14:15:00
[result] => loss
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 162.28085
[stop_loss] => 165.0787
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-19 14:15:00
[result] => loss
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 162.0265
[stop_loss] => 165.0787
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-19 14:15:00
[result] => loss
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 161.77215
[stop_loss] => 165.0787
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-19 14:15:00
[result] => loss
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 161.5178
[stop_loss] => 165.0787
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2026-01-19 14:15:00
[result] => loss
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 161.26345
[stop_loss] => 165.0787
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-19 14:15:00
[result] => loss
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 161.0091
[stop_loss] => 165.0787
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2026-01-19 14:15:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 1.1
[max_drawdown] => 0.25
[rr_ratio] => 4.4
[high] => 164.82000000
[low] => 163.47000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.67
[mae_pct] => 0.15
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 4.4
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-01-19T12:01:13-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-19T14:01:13-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 1.89
[max_drawdown] => 1.51
[rr_ratio] => 1.25
[high] => 166.08000000
[low] => 162.68000000
[mfe_pct] => 1.15
[mae_pct] => 0.92
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.25
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-01-19T12:01:13-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-19T19:01:13-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 164.76000000
[high_after] => 166.08000000
[low_before] => 162.24000000
[low_after] => 162.85000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)