Short Trade on AAVE 19 Jan 2026 at 12:01:13

Take profit at 163.5527 (0.62 %) and Stop Loss at 165.0787 (0.31 %)

Short Trade on AAVE

The 19 Jan 2026 at 12:01:13

With 15.7273 AAVE at 164.57$ per unit.

Position size of 2588.2495 $

Take profit at 163.5527 (0.62 %) and Stop Loss at 165.0787 (0.31 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 40
ML Pullback Score: 4.27
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.53
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.47
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.56
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_medium

5m_regime : bull_low_confirmed

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.691222

15m : -0.164837

1H : -0.031522

1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.16
  4. atr: 0.3391120756
Details
  1. score: 1.16
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 163.656
  4. ema21 : 165.152
  5. ema50 : 168.385
  6. ema100 : 170.583
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00558389
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00906229
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0191976
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0352525
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.108144
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.199056
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.156427
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0977489
  17. rsi : 0.428516
  18. adx : 0.458053
  19. kc_percentage : 0.427548
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0361245
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.641178
  22. volume_ema1 : 165116.52720638
  23. volume_ema2 : 460163.01408581
  24. chop : 76.3235
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 163.735
  29. ema21 : 163.364
  30. ema50 : 163.848
  31. ema100 : 165.996
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.00509617
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0022741
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00295654
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.00859235
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.036025
  39. ema_slope_21 : 0.0143882
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0150337
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.036242
  42. rsi : 0.641227
  43. adx : 0.170531
  44. kc_percentage : 0.978444
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0151493
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.257066
  47. volume_ema1 : 58804.639073522
  48. volume_ema2 : 79151.935086274
  49. chop : 48.7732
  50. regime : range_medium
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 164.175
  54. ema21 : 163.67
  55. ema50 : 163.33
  56. ema100 : 163.223
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00240188
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00308831
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00207843
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.0082483
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.0792722
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0471828
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.0211523
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.0102675
  67. rsi : 0.701262
  68. adx : 0.368576
  69. kc_percentage : 1.15748
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.00806597
  71. volume_ema_diff : 0.48584
  72. volume_ema1 : 28775.096026026
  73. volume_ema2 : 19366.206958494
  74. chop : 25.781
  75. regime : bull_low_confirmed
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    93034.5
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00231627
  81. 5m_price:
    93250
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.691222
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    93436.3
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00199444
  86. 15m_price:
    93250
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.164837
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    94624.8
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0145296
  91. 1H_price:
    93250
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.031522
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 10:00:00
                        [1] => 168.21
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 21:00:00
                        [1] => 177.21
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 03:00:00
                        [1] => 173.63
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 11:00:00
                        [1] => 176.51
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 20:00:00
                        [1] => 171.8
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 10:00:00
                        [1] => 172.07
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 13:00:00
                        [1] => 177.18
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 19:00:00
                        [1] => 156.47
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 01:00:00
                        [1] => 161.29
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 11:00:00
                        [1] => 164.76
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.33988832240835
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.8042036084072
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 11
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.1514043028086
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 19:00:00
                        [1] => 156.47
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 00:30:00
                        [1] => 163.47
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 01:45:00
                        [1] => 161.29
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 04:00:00
                        [1] => 163.75
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 05:30:00
                        [1] => 162.05
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 06:15:00
                        [1] => 164.38
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 09:00:00
                        [1] => 162.26
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 09:30:00
                        [1] => 163.36
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 10:30:00
                        [1] => 162.24
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 11:45:00
                        [1] => 164.76
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.33988832240835
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.2080867850098
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.5532544378698
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 07:00:00
                        [1] => 163.01
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 07:25:00
                        [1] => 163.01
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 07:35:00
                        [1] => 164.01
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 08:40:00
                        [1] => 163.34
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 09:05:00
                        [1] => 162.26
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 09:30:00
                        [1] => 163.36
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 09:50:00
                        [1] => 163.36
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 10:30:00
                        [1] => 162.24
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 11:00:00
                        [1] => 162.28
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 11:55:00
                        [1] => 164.76
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.33988832240835
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.1831402514173
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 12
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.5282228247473
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.34%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.18%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
12 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.53%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.3187
0.19%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.3127
0.80%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-19 07:00:00 163.01 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 07:25:00 163.01 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 07:35:00 164.01 ↑ High
2026-01-19 08:40:00 163.34 ↑ High
2026-01-19 09:05:00 162.26 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 09:30:00 163.36 ↑ High
2026-01-19 09:50:00 163.36 ↑ High
2026-01-19 10:30:00 162.24 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 11:00:00 162.28 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 11:55:00 164.76 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.34%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.21%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.55%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.3187
0.19%
TP to Pivot Distance
7.0827
4.33%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-18 19:00:00 156.47 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 00:30:00 163.47 ↑ High
2026-01-19 01:45:00 161.29 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 04:00:00 163.75 ↑ High
2026-01-19 05:30:00 162.05 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 06:15:00 164.38 ↑ High
2026-01-19 09:00:00 162.26 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 09:30:00 163.36 ↑ High
2026-01-19 10:30:00 162.24 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 11:45:00 164.76 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.34%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.80%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
11 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.15%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
12.1313
7.35%
TP to Pivot Distance
7.0827
4.33%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-16 10:00:00 168.21 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 21:00:00 177.21 ↑ High
2026-01-17 03:00:00 173.63 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 11:00:00 176.51 ↑ High
2026-01-17 20:00:00 171.8 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 10:00:00 172.07 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 13:00:00 177.18 ↑ High
2026-01-18 19:00:00 156.47 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 01:00:00 161.29 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 11:00:00 164.76 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
19 Jan 2026
12:01:13
19 Jan 2026
13:25:00
1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
164.57 165.0787 163.5527 2 110.76
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 164.57
  • Stop Loss: 165.0787
  • Take Profit: 163.5527

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 165.0787 - 164.57 = 0.5087

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 164.57 - 163.5527 = 1.0173

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.0173 / 0.5087 = 1.9998

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
2588.2495 100 15.7273 25.88
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.5087

Taille de position = 8 / 0.5087 = 15.73

Taille de position USD = 15.73 x 164.57 = 2588.69

Donc, tu peux acheter 15.73 avec un stoploss a 165.0787

Avec un position size USD de 2588.69$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 15.73 x 0.5087 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 15.73 x 1.0173 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 15.73
  • Taille de position USD 2588.69
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9998

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.62 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.31 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.62
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.1519 % 49.14 % 3

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 163.5526
            [stop_loss] => 165.0787
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 13:25:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 163.29825
            [stop_loss] => 165.0787
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 14:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 163.0439
            [stop_loss] => 165.0787
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 14:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 162.78955
            [stop_loss] => 165.0787
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 14:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 162.5352
            [stop_loss] => 165.0787
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 14:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 162.28085
            [stop_loss] => 165.0787
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 14:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 162.0265
            [stop_loss] => 165.0787
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 14:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 161.77215
            [stop_loss] => 165.0787
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 14:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 161.5178
            [stop_loss] => 165.0787
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 14:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 161.26345
            [stop_loss] => 165.0787
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 14:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 161.0091
            [stop_loss] => 165.0787
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 14:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.1
            [max_drawdown] => 0.25
            [rr_ratio] => 4.4
            [high] => 164.82000000
            [low] => 163.47000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.67
            [mae_pct] => 0.15
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 4.4
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-19T12:01:13-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-19T14:01:13-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.89
            [max_drawdown] => 1.51
            [rr_ratio] => 1.25
            [high] => 166.08000000
            [low] => 162.68000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.15
            [mae_pct] => 0.92
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.25
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-19T12:01:13-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-19T19:01:13-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 164.76000000
            [high_after] => 166.08000000
            [low_before] => 162.24000000
            [low_after] => 162.85000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)