Short Trade on AVAX 19 Jan 2026 at 14:23:21

Take profit at 12.7177 (0.74 %) and Stop Loss at 12.8591 (0.37 %)

Short Trade on AVAX

The 19 Jan 2026 at 14:23:21

With 169.6979 AVAX at 12.812$ per unit.

Position size of 2174.1692 $

Take profit at 12.7177 (0.74 %) and Stop Loss at 12.8591 (0.37 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 80
ML Pullback Score: 5.35
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.59
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.66
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.78
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_medium

5m_regime : bull_low_confirmed

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.667847

15m : 0.092027

1H : -0.045177

2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.07
  4. atr: 0.03142840283
Details
  1. score: 1.07
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 12.7431
  4. ema21 : 12.844
  5. ema50 : 13.1261
  6. ema100 : 13.3846
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00539897
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0078503
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0214915
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0427838
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.0221269
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.147085
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.150061
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.108206
  17. rsi : 0.434666
  18. adx : 0.463033
  19. kc_percentage : 0.45565
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0362712
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.512146
  22. volume_ema1 : 436531.20144417
  23. volume_ema2 : 894799.17528695
  24. chop : 70.1167
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 12.7421
  29. ema21 : 12.7249
  30. ema50 : 12.7503
  31. ema100 : 12.8989
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.00547987
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00135263
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00199109
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.00673704
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.016892
  39. ema_slope_21 : 0.00693864
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0103871
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0307505
  42. rsi : 0.644539
  43. adx : 0.12961
  44. kc_percentage : 0.907933
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0165358
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.499349
  47. volume_ema1 : 89329.82889291
  48. volume_ema2 : 178427.36164214
  49. chop : 42.1339
  50. regime : range_medium
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 12.7665
  54. ema21 : 12.7378
  55. ema50 : 12.7214
  56. ema100 : 12.7161
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00356255
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00224775
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00129436
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.00753929
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.0430673
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0260739
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.0113677
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.0055004
  67. rsi : 0.678492
  68. adx : 0.236659
  69. kc_percentage : 1.0735
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.00989843
  71. volume_ema_diff : 0.574966
  72. volume_ema1 : 71448.711580576
  73. volume_ema2 : 45365.215257204
  74. chop : 37.9558
  75. regime : bull_low_confirmed
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    93037.2
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00034079
  81. 5m_price:
    93069
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.667847
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    93408.2
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00363663
  86. 15m_price:
    93068.6
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.092027
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    94649.1
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0166944
  91. 1H_price:
    93069
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.045177
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 11:00:00
                        [1] => 13.182
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 16:00:00
                        [1] => 13.66
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 02:00:00
                        [1] => 13.522
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 09:00:00
                        [1] => 13.966
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 10:00:00
                        [1] => 13.463
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 17:00:00
                        [1] => 13.754
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 19:00:00
                        [1] => 12.064
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 03:00:00
                        [1] => 12.824
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 12:00:00
                        [1] => 12.613
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 14:00:00
                        [1] => 12.849
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.21013308428672
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.6570205343693
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.8710853880917
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 1
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 21:15:00
                        [1] => 12.751
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 23:00:00
                        [1] => 12.73
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 01:30:00
                        [1] => 12.543
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 03:45:00
                        [1] => 12.824
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 08:00:00
                        [1] => 12.65
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 10:00:00
                        [1] => 12.789
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 10:15:00
                        [1] => 12.66
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 11:45:00
                        [1] => 12.754
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 12:30:00
                        [1] => 12.613
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 14:15:00
                        [1] => 12.849
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.21013308428672
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.6570205343693
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.8710853880917
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 08:05:00
                        [1] => 12.65
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 08:45:00
                        [1] => 12.741
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 09:05:00
                        [1] => 12.692
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 10:00:00
                        [1] => 12.789
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 10:25:00
                        [1] => 12.66
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 11:50:00
                        [1] => 12.754
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 12:40:00
                        [1] => 12.613
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 13:15:00
                        [1] => 12.749
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 13:35:00
                        [1] => 12.691
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 14:15:00
                        [1] => 12.849
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.21013308428672
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.0322275628398
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.2449767551808
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 1
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.21%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.03%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
9 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.24%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0101
0.08%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.1047
0.82%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-19 08:05:00 12.65 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 08:45:00 12.741 ↑ High
2026-01-19 09:05:00 12.692 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 10:00:00 12.789 ↑ High
2026-01-19 10:25:00 12.66 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 11:50:00 12.754 ↑ High
2026-01-19 12:40:00 12.613 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 13:15:00 12.749 ↑ High
2026-01-19 13:35:00 12.691 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 14:15:00 12.849 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.21%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.66%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.87%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0101
0.08%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.1747
1.37%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-18 21:15:00 12.751 ↑ High
2026-01-18 23:00:00 12.73 ↑ High
2026-01-19 01:30:00 12.543 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 03:45:00 12.824 ↑ High
2026-01-19 08:00:00 12.65 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 10:00:00 12.789 ↑ High
2026-01-19 10:15:00 12.66 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 11:45:00 12.754 ↑ High
2026-01-19 12:30:00 12.613 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 14:15:00 12.849 ↑ High
1H - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.21%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.66%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.87%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
1.1069
8.61%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.6537
5.14%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-16 11:00:00 13.182 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 16:00:00 13.66 ↑ High
2026-01-17 02:00:00 13.522 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 09:00:00 13.966 ↑ High
2026-01-18 10:00:00 13.463 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 17:00:00 13.754 ↑ High
2026-01-18 19:00:00 12.064 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 03:00:00 12.824 ↑ High
2026-01-19 12:00:00 12.613 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 14:00:00 12.849 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
19 Jan 2026
14:23:21
19 Jan 2026
17:10:00
2 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
12.812 12.8591 12.7177 2 9.182
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 12.812
  • Stop Loss: 12.8591
  • Take Profit: 12.7177

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 12.8591 - 12.812 = 0.0471

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 12.812 - 12.7177 = 0.094299999999999

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.094299999999999 / 0.0471 = 2.0021

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
2174.1692 100 169.6979 21.74
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0471

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0471 = 169.85

Taille de position USD = 169.85 x 12.812 = 2176.12

Donc, tu peux acheter 169.85 avec un stoploss a 12.8591

Avec un position size USD de 2176.12$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 169.85 x 0.0471 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 169.85 x 0.094299999999999 = 16.02

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.02$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 169.85
  • Taille de position USD 2176.12
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16.02
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0021

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.74 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.37 % 7.99 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.74
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.1795 % 48.83 % 11

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.7178
            [stop_loss] => 12.8591
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 17:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.69425
            [stop_loss] => 12.8591
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 17:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.6707
            [stop_loss] => 12.8591
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 17:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.64715
            [stop_loss] => 12.8591
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 17:55:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.6236
            [stop_loss] => 12.8591
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 18:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.046999999999999
            [max_drawdown] => 0.023000000000001
            [rr_ratio] => 2.04
            [high] => 12.83500000
            [low] => 12.76500000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.37
            [mae_pct] => 0.18
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.04
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-19T14:23:21-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-19T16:23:21-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.197
            [max_drawdown] => 0.023000000000001
            [rr_ratio] => 8.57
            [high] => 12.83500000
            [low] => 12.61500000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.54
            [mae_pct] => 0.18
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 8.57
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-19T14:23:21-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-19T21:23:21-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 12.84900000
            [high_after] => 12.83500000
            [low_before] => 12.61300000
            [low_after] => 12.61500000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)