Long Trade on XAU 19 Jan 2026 at 14:26:44
Take profit at 4674.4351 (0.11 %) and Stop Loss at 4666.4174 (0.057 %)
Long Trade on XAU 19 Jan 2026 at 14:26:44
Take profit at 4674.4351 (0.11 %) and Stop Loss at 4666.4174 (0.057 %)
Position size of 13976.317 $
Take profit at 4674.4351 (0.11 %) and Stop Loss at 4666.4174 (0.057 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.84 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.53 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.61 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bull_low 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.158288 15m : 0.072841 1H : -0.101845 |
0 |
Indicators:
93034.3
0.000324706
93064.6
0.158288
93408.2
-0.00363663
93068.6
0.072841
94649
-0.0167399
93064.6
-0.101845
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 07:00:00
[1] => 4599.88
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 13:00:00
[1] => 4592.39
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 20:00:00
[1] => 4600
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 04:00:00
[1] => 4598.37
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 07:00:00
[1] => 4610.96
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 17:00:00
[1] => 4607.92
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 18:00:00
[1] => 4690.09
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 02:00:00
[1] => 4678.18
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 06:00:00
[1] => 4662.5
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 13:00:00
[1] => 4678.67
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.21245353914682
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.13361930294905
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.34680965147453
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 21:00:00
[1] => 4656.21
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 22:15:00
[1] => 4669.4
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 02:00:00
[1] => 4678.18
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 03:45:00
[1] => 4662.75
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 06:30:00
[1] => 4662.5
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 07:30:00
[1] => 4673.47
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 09:00:00
[1] => 4664
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 10:45:00
[1] => 4675.68
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 13:30:00
[1] => 4678.67
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 14:15:00
[1] => 4668.63
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.21245353914682
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.0021419559913605
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.21505238153377
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 09:25:00
[1] => 4672.96
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 10:05:00
[1] => 4673.19
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 10:25:00
[1] => 4667.2
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 10:55:00
[1] => 4675.68
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 11:30:00
[1] => 4668.1
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 11:40:00
[1] => 4675.65
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 12:25:00
[1] => 4669.43
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 12:50:00
[1] => 4678.39
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 13:40:00
[1] => 4678.67
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 14:25:00
[1] => 4668.63
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.21245353914682
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.0021419559913605
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 9
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.21505238153377
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 09:25:00 | 4672.96 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-19 10:05:00 | 4673.19 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-19 10:25:00 | 4667.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-19 10:55:00 | 4675.68 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-19 11:30:00 | 4668.1 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-19 11:40:00 | 4675.65 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-19 12:25:00 | 4669.43 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-19 12:50:00 | 4678.39 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-19 13:40:00 | 4678.67 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-19 14:25:00 | 4668.63 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-18 21:00:00 | 4656.21 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 22:15:00 | 4669.4 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-19 02:00:00 | 4678.18 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-19 03:45:00 | 4662.75 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-19 06:30:00 | 4662.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-19 07:30:00 | 4673.47 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-19 09:00:00 | 4664 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-19 10:45:00 | 4675.68 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-19 13:30:00 | 4678.67 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-19 14:15:00 | 4668.63 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 07:00:00 | 4599.88 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-17 13:00:00 | 4592.39 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-17 20:00:00 | 4600 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-18 04:00:00 | 4598.37 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 07:00:00 | 4610.96 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-18 17:00:00 | 4607.92 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 18:00:00 | 4690.09 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-19 02:00:00 | 4678.18 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-19 06:00:00 | 4662.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-19 13:00:00 | 4678.67 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan 2026 14:26:44 |
19 Jan 2026 17:20:00 |
2 hours |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4669.09 | 4666.4174 | 4674.4351 | 2 | 5192.61 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 4666.4174 - 4669.09 = -2.6725999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 4669.09 - 4674.4351 = -5.3450999999995
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -5.3450999999995 / -2.6725999999999 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13976.317 | 100 | 2.9934 | 139.76 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -2.6725999999999 = -2.99
Taille de position USD = -2.99 x 4669.09 = -13960.58
Donc, tu peux acheter -2.99 avec un stoploss a 4666.4174
Avec un position size USD de -13960.58$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -2.99 x -2.6725999999999 = 7.99
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.99$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -2.99 x -5.3450999999995 = 15.98
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.98$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.11 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.057 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.11 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0154 % | 26.92 % | 4 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4674.4352
[stop_loss] => 4666.4174
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-01-19 17:20:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4675.7715
[stop_loss] => 4666.4174
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-19 17:50:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4677.1078
[stop_loss] => 4666.4174
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2026-01-19 18:25:00
[result] => loss
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4678.4441
[stop_loss] => 4666.4174
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-19 18:25:00
[result] => loss
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4679.7804
[stop_loss] => 4666.4174
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2026-01-19 18:25:00
[result] => loss
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4681.1167
[stop_loss] => 4666.4174
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-19 18:25:00
[result] => loss
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4682.453
[stop_loss] => 4666.4174
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-19 18:25:00
[result] => loss
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4683.7893
[stop_loss] => 4666.4174
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-19 18:25:00
[result] => loss
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4685.1256
[stop_loss] => 4666.4174
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2026-01-19 18:25:00
[result] => loss
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4686.4619
[stop_loss] => 4666.4174
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-19 18:25:00
[result] => loss
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4687.7982
[stop_loss] => 4666.4174
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2026-01-19 18:25:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 4.2299999999996
[max_drawdown] => 0.72000000000025
[rr_ratio] => 5.87
[high] => 4673.32000000
[low] => 4668.37000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.09
[mae_pct] => 0.02
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 5.87
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-01-19T14:26:44-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-19T16:26:44-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 7.8499999999995
[max_drawdown] => 9.6300000000001
[rr_ratio] => 0.82
[high] => 4676.94000000
[low] => 4659.46000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.17
[mae_pct] => 0.21
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.82
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-01-19T14:26:44-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-19T21:26:44-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 4678.67000000
[high_after] => 4676.15000000
[low_before] => 4668.10000000
[low_after] => 4659.46000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)