Short Trade on AVAX 19 Jan 2026 at 14:37:04

Take profit at 12.7319 (0.69 %) and Stop Loss at 12.864 (0.34 %)

Short Trade on AVAX

The 19 Jan 2026 at 14:37:04

With 181.6129 AVAX at 12.82$ per unit.

Position size of 2328.2778 $

Take profit at 12.7319 (0.69 %) and Stop Loss at 12.864 (0.34 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 90
ML Pullback Score: 8
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.69
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.65
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.74
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_medium

5m_regime : bull_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.663956

15m : -0.015232

1H : 0.022844

1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.03
  4. atr: 0.02936648394
Details
  1. score: 1.03
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 12.7447
  4. ema21 : 12.8447
  5. ema50 : 13.1264
  6. ema100 : 13.3848
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00590046
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00778191
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0214595
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0421975
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.0210833
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.146622
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.149866
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.108109
  17. rsi : 0.440061
  18. adx : 0.463033
  19. kc_percentage : 0.471226
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0362486
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.466177
  22. volume_ema1 : 480420.4336775
  23. volume_ema2 : 899962.61437322
  24. chop : 70.1167
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 12.7534
  29. ema21 : 12.7314
  30. ema50 : 12.7522
  31. ema100 : 12.8977
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.00522059
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00172401
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00162985
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.0060318
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.0233934
  39. ema_slope_21 : 0.0106886
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0081721
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0293923
  42. rsi : 0.63616
  43. adx : 0.143186
  44. kc_percentage : 0.939451
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0155592
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.316579
  47. volume_ema1 : 119800.5156175
  48. volume_ema2 : 175295.39294259
  49. chop : 42.1548
  50. regime : range_medium
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 12.7903
  54. ema21 : 12.7571
  55. ema50 : 12.7322
  56. ema100 : 12.7232
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00232101
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00260134
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00195557
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.00760075
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.0582074
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0379458
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.0183414
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.009223
  67. rsi : 0.676558
  68. adx : 0.296227
  69. kc_percentage : 1.03048
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.00897276
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.0181776
  72. volume_ema1 : 44417.452215232
  73. volume_ema2 : 45239.805841114
  74. chop : 37.7494
  75. regime : bull_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    93050.1
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.000166074
  81. 5m_price:
    93065.6
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.663956
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    93414.8
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00381374
  86. 15m_price:
    93058.6
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.015232
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    94649
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0167296
  91. 1H_price:
    93065.6
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.022844
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 11:00:00
                        [1] => 13.182
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-16 16:00:00
                        [1] => 13.66
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 02:00:00
                        [1] => 13.522
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 09:00:00
                        [1] => 13.966
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 10:00:00
                        [1] => 13.463
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 17:00:00
                        [1] => 13.754
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 19:00:00
                        [1] => 12.064
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 03:00:00
                        [1] => 12.824
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 12:00:00
                        [1] => 12.613
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 14:00:00
                        [1] => 12.849
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.37356992762083
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.4905256481408
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.8710853880917
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 1
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 21:15:00
                        [1] => 12.751
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 23:00:00
                        [1] => 12.73
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 01:30:00
                        [1] => 12.543
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 03:45:00
                        [1] => 12.824
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 08:00:00
                        [1] => 12.65
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 10:00:00
                        [1] => 12.789
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 10:15:00
                        [1] => 12.66
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 11:45:00
                        [1] => 12.754
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 12:30:00
                        [1] => 12.613
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 14:15:00
                        [1] => 12.849
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.37356992762083
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.4905256481408
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.8710853880917
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 08:05:00
                        [1] => 12.65
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 08:45:00
                        [1] => 12.741
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 09:05:00
                        [1] => 12.692
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 10:00:00
                        [1] => 12.789
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 10:25:00
                        [1] => 12.66
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 11:50:00
                        [1] => 12.754
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 12:40:00
                        [1] => 12.613
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 13:15:00
                        [1] => 12.749
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 13:35:00
                        [1] => 12.691
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 14:15:00
                        [1] => 12.849
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.37356992762083
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.86675596879678
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 12
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.2449767551808
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 1
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.37%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.87%
Bars Since Swing High
4 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
12 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.24%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0150
0.12%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.1189
0.93%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-19 08:05:00 12.65 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 08:45:00 12.741 ↑ High
2026-01-19 09:05:00 12.692 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 10:00:00 12.789 ↑ High
2026-01-19 10:25:00 12.66 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 11:50:00 12.754 ↑ High
2026-01-19 12:40:00 12.613 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 13:15:00 12.749 ↑ High
2026-01-19 13:35:00 12.691 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 14:15:00 12.849 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.37%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.49%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
8 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.87%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0150
0.12%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.1889
1.48%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-18 21:15:00 12.751 ↑ High
2026-01-18 23:00:00 12.73 ↑ High
2026-01-19 01:30:00 12.543 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 03:45:00 12.824 ↑ High
2026-01-19 08:00:00 12.65 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 10:00:00 12.789 ↑ High
2026-01-19 10:15:00 12.66 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 11:45:00 12.754 ↑ High
2026-01-19 12:30:00 12.613 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 14:15:00 12.849 ↑ High
1H - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.37%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.49%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.87%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
1.1020
8.57%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.6679
5.25%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-16 11:00:00 13.182 ↓ Low
2026-01-16 16:00:00 13.66 ↑ High
2026-01-17 02:00:00 13.522 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 09:00:00 13.966 ↑ High
2026-01-18 10:00:00 13.463 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 17:00:00 13.754 ↑ High
2026-01-18 19:00:00 12.064 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 03:00:00 12.824 ↑ High
2026-01-19 12:00:00 12.613 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 14:00:00 12.849 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
19 Jan 2026
14:37:04
19 Jan 2026
17:10:00
2 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
12.82 12.864 12.7319 2 9.29
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 12.82
  • Stop Loss: 12.864
  • Take Profit: 12.7319

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 12.864 - 12.82 = 0.044

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 12.82 - 12.7319 = 0.088100000000001

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.088100000000001 / 0.044 = 2.0023

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
2328.2778 100 181.6129 23.28
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.044

Taille de position = 8 / 0.044 = 181.82

Taille de position USD = 181.82 x 12.82 = 2330.93

Donc, tu peux acheter 181.82 avec un stoploss a 12.864

Avec un position size USD de 2330.93$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 181.82 x 0.044 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 181.82 x 0.088100000000001 = 16.02

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.02$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 181.82
  • Taille de position USD 2330.93
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16.02
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0023

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.69 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.34 % 7.99 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.69
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.039 % 11.36 % 6

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.732
            [stop_loss] => 12.864
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 17:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.71
            [stop_loss] => 12.864
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 17:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.688
            [stop_loss] => 12.864
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 17:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.666
            [stop_loss] => 12.864
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 17:55:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.644
            [stop_loss] => 12.864
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 17:55:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.622
            [stop_loss] => 12.864
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-19 18:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.055
            [max_drawdown] => 0.004999999999999
            [rr_ratio] => 11
            [high] => 12.82500000
            [low] => 12.76500000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.43
            [mae_pct] => 0.04
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 11
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-19T14:37:04-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-19T16:37:04-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.205
            [max_drawdown] => 0.004999999999999
            [rr_ratio] => 41
            [high] => 12.82500000
            [low] => 12.61500000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.6
            [mae_pct] => 0.04
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 41
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-19T14:37:04-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-19T21:37:04-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 12.84900000
            [high_after] => 12.82500000
            [low_before] => 12.61300000
            [low_after] => 12.61500000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)