Short Trade on FIL 19 Jan 2026 at 18:37:41
Take profit at 1.3774 (1.05 %) and Stop Loss at 1.3993 (0.52 %)
Short Trade on FIL 19 Jan 2026 at 18:37:41
Take profit at 1.3774 (1.05 %) and Stop Loss at 1.3993 (0.52 %)
Position size of 1524.0939 $
Take profit at 1.3774 (1.05 %) and Stop Loss at 1.3993 (0.52 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.82 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.56 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.64 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear rules_regime : bear_low_confirmed rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : bull_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.536107 15m : -0.046495 1H : -0.141112 |
2 |
Indicators:
92921.8
-0.00315626
92628.6
0.536107
93272.4
-0.00680326
92637.9
-0.046495
94315.8
-0.0178896
92628.6
-0.141112
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 19:00:00
[1] => 1.57
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 02:00:00
[1] => 1.515
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 07:00:00
[1] => 1.558
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 09:00:00
[1] => 1.505
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 11:00:00
[1] => 1.558
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 19:00:00
[1] => 1.256
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 03:00:00
[1] => 1.401
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 07:00:00
[1] => 1.358
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 14:00:00
[1] => 1.404
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 17:00:00
[1] => 1.365
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.0683760683761
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.7582417582418
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.8571428571429
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 00:15:00
[1] => 1.366
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 01:30:00
[1] => 1.395
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 03:45:00
[1] => 1.401
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 07:45:00
[1] => 1.358
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 09:15:00
[1] => 1.382
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 11:45:00
[1] => 1.385
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 13:15:00
[1] => 1.372
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 14:15:00
[1] => 1.404
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 17:00:00
[1] => 1.365
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 18:30:00
[1] => 1.396
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.50143266475644
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.7582417582418
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.2710622710623
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 1
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 13:25:00
[1] => 1.372
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 14:15:00
[1] => 1.404
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 15:15:00
[1] => 1.381
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 15:45:00
[1] => 1.38
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 16:00:00
[1] => 1.386
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 16:15:00
[1] => 1.377
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 17:10:00
[1] => 1.365
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 17:25:00
[1] => 1.382
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 17:55:00
[1] => 1.368
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 18:30:00
[1] => 1.396
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.50143266475644
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.5350877192982
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.046783625731
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 13:25:00 | 1.372 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-19 14:15:00 | 1.404 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-19 15:15:00 | 1.381 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-19 15:45:00 | 1.38 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-19 16:00:00 | 1.386 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-19 16:15:00 | 1.377 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-19 17:10:00 | 1.365 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-19 17:25:00 | 1.382 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-19 17:55:00 | 1.368 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-19 18:30:00 | 1.396 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 00:15:00 | 1.366 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-19 01:30:00 | 1.395 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-19 03:45:00 | 1.401 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-19 07:45:00 | 1.358 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-19 09:15:00 | 1.382 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-19 11:45:00 | 1.385 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-19 13:15:00 | 1.372 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-19 14:15:00 | 1.404 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-19 17:00:00 | 1.365 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-19 18:30:00 | 1.396 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 19:00:00 | 1.57 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-18 02:00:00 | 1.515 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 07:00:00 | 1.558 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-18 09:00:00 | 1.505 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 11:00:00 | 1.558 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-18 19:00:00 | 1.256 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-19 03:00:00 | 1.401 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-19 07:00:00 | 1.358 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-19 14:00:00 | 1.404 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-19 17:00:00 | 1.365 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan 2026 18:37:41 |
19 Jan 2026 19:45:00 |
1 hour |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.392 | 1.3993 | 1.3774 | 2 | 0.9866 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.3993 - 1.392 = 0.0073000000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.392 - 1.3774 = 0.0146
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0146 / 0.0073000000000001 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1524.0939 | 100 | 1094.8951 | 15.24 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0073000000000001 = 1095.89
Taille de position USD = 1095.89 x 1.392 = 1525.48
Donc, tu peux acheter 1095.89 avec un stoploss a 1.3993
Avec un position size USD de 1525.48$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1095.89 x 0.0073000000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1095.89 x 0.0146 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.05 % | 15.99 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.52 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 15.99 $ | 1.05 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.3774
[stop_loss] => 1.3993
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-01-19 19:45:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.37375
[stop_loss] => 1.3993
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-19 20:00:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.3701
[stop_loss] => 1.3993
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2026-01-19 20:00:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.36645
[stop_loss] => 1.3993
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-19 21:20:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.022
[max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
[rr_ratio] => 100
[high] => 1.39000000
[low] => 1.37000000
[mfe_pct] => 1.58
[mae_pct] => -0.14
[mfe_mae_ratio] =>
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-01-19T18:37:41-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-19T20:37:41-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.048
[max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
[rr_ratio] => 100
[high] => 1.39000000
[low] => 1.34400000
[mfe_pct] => 3.45
[mae_pct] => -0.14
[mfe_mae_ratio] =>
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-01-19T18:37:41-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-20T01:37:41-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 1.39800000
[high_after] => 1.39000000
[low_before] => 1.36500000
[low_after] => 1.36400000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] => 1
)
)