Short Trade on TAO 20 Jan 2026 at 05:21:47

Take profit at 241.9724 (0.86 %) and Stop Loss at 245.1038 (0.43 %)

Short Trade on TAO

The 20 Jan 2026 at 05:21:47

With 7.6645 TAO at 244.06$ per unit.

Position size of 1870.5938 $

Take profit at 241.9724 (0.86 %) and Stop Loss at 245.1038 (0.43 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 120
ML Pullback Score: 8
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Strong Trade
0.54
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.65
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.7
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.610892

15m : 0.103839

1H : -0.059739

2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.03
  4. atr: 0.695850343
Details
  1. score: 1.03
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 245.413
  4. ema21 : 248.625
  5. ema50 : 255.08
  6. ema100 : 261.975
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.0055172
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0129157
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0253066
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0683866
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.225933
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.174131
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.163589
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.126953
  17. rsi : 0.355036
  18. adx : 0.462407
  19. kc_percentage : 0.129816
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0478495
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.110821
  22. volume_ema1 : 674833.31786462
  23. volume_ema2 : 758940.61403514
  24. chop : 39.942
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 242.902
  29. ema21 : 244.138
  30. ema50 : 246.826
  31. ema100 : 248.717
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.00476576
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00506209
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0108914
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.0187262
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : -0.112571
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.122703
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0916813
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0574201
  42. rsi : 0.440706
  43. adx : 0.568564
  44. kc_percentage : 0.508187
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0217323
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.0767037
  47. volume_ema1 : 161239.0065408
  48. volume_ema2 : 174634.10061534
  49. chop : 44.4997
  50. regime : bear_medium
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 243.129
  54. ema21 : 242.643
  55. ema50 : 243.483
  56. ema100 : 245.119
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00382731
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0020034
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00345142
  60. price_ema100_diff : -0.00432433
  61. all_emas_in_trend : False
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.0670884
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0251766
  65. ema_slope_50 : -0.0133293
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.0213204
  67. rsi : 0.633679
  68. adx : 0.306159
  69. kc_percentage : 1.02769
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0109646
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.327369
  72. volume_ema1 : 48071.280651155
  73. volume_ema2 : 71467.620699587
  74. chop : 40.9252
  75. regime : range_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    91452.7
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00298084
  81. 5m_price:
    91180.1
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.610892
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    92201.9
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0110837
  86. 15m_price:
    91180
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.103839
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    93845.8
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0284055
  91. 1H_price:
    91180.1
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.059739
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 11:00:00
                        [1] => 278.56
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 21:00:00
                        [1] => 271.28
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 01:00:00
                        [1] => 273.87
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 09:00:00
                        [1] => 274.96
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 12:00:00
                        [1] => 269.35
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 17:00:00
                        [1] => 275.54
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 19:00:00
                        [1] => 223.75
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 01:00:00
                        [1] => 245.46
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 14:00:00
                        [1] => 256.78
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 03:00:00
                        [1] => 239.39
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -5.4871874756601
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.3785036968963
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 15
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 7.2642967542504
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 1
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 08:30:00
                        [1] => 247.56
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 14:30:00
                        [1] => 256.78
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 17:45:00
                        [1] => 250.11
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 18:30:00
                        [1] => 254.29
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 21:00:00
                        [1] => 248.87
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 22:30:00
                        [1] => 248.14
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 00:00:00
                        [1] => 250.56
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 01:15:00
                        [1] => 243.46
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 03:30:00
                        [1] => 239.39
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 05:15:00
                        [1] => 244.08
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.56948541461816
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.3785036968963
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.9591461631647
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 22:30:00
                        [1] => 248.14
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 23:30:00
                        [1] => 250.2
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 00:00:00
                        [1] => 247.64
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 00:05:00
                        [1] => 250.56
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 00:40:00
                        [1] => 246.55
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 01:15:00
                        [1] => 243.46
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 01:50:00
                        [1] => 244.2
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 02:10:00
                        [1] => 245.6
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 03:35:00
                        [1] => 239.39
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 05:20:00
                        [1] => 244.08
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.56948541461816
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.3785036968963
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 21
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.9591461631647
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 3

5M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.57%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.38%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
21 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.96%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
5.4562
2.23%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.5824
1.07%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-19 22:30:00 248.14 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 23:30:00 250.2 ↑ High
2026-01-20 00:00:00 247.64 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 00:05:00 250.56 ↑ High
2026-01-20 00:40:00 246.55 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 01:15:00 243.46 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 01:50:00 244.2 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 02:10:00 245.6 ↑ High
2026-01-20 03:35:00 239.39 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 05:20:00 244.08 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.57%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.38%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.96%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
11.6762
4.76%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.5824
1.07%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-19 08:30:00 247.56 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 14:30:00 256.78 ↑ High
2026-01-19 17:45:00 250.11 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 18:30:00 254.29 ↑ High
2026-01-19 21:00:00 248.87 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 22:30:00 248.14 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 00:00:00 250.56 ↑ High
2026-01-20 01:15:00 243.46 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 03:30:00 239.39 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 05:15:00 244.08 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-5.49%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.38%
Bars Since Swing High
15 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
7.26%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
1

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
33.4562
13.65%
TP to Pivot Distance
18.2224
7.53%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-17 11:00:00 278.56 ↑ High
2026-01-17 21:00:00 271.28 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 01:00:00 273.87 ↑ High
2026-01-18 09:00:00 274.96 ↑ High
2026-01-18 12:00:00 269.35 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 17:00:00 275.54 ↑ High
2026-01-18 19:00:00 223.75 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 01:00:00 245.46 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 14:00:00 256.78 ↑ High
2026-01-20 03:00:00 239.39 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
20 Jan 2026
05:21:47
20 Jan 2026
05:35:00
13 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
244.06 245.1038 241.9724 2 179.86
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 244.06
  • Stop Loss: 245.1038
  • Take Profit: 241.9724

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 245.1038 - 244.06 = 1.0438

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 244.06 - 241.9724 = 2.0876

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.0876 / 1.0438 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1870.5938 100 7.6645 18.71
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 1.0438

Taille de position = 8 / 1.0438 = 7.66

Taille de position USD = 7.66 x 244.06 = 1869.5

Donc, tu peux acheter 7.66 avec un stoploss a 245.1038

Avec un position size USD de 1869.5$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 7.66 x 1.0438 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 7.66 x 2.0876 = 15.99

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 7.66
  • Taille de position USD 1869.5
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 15.99
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.86 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.43 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.86
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 241.9724
            [stop_loss] => 245.1038
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 05:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 241.4505
            [stop_loss] => 245.1038
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 06:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 240.9286
            [stop_loss] => 245.1038
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 06:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 240.4067
            [stop_loss] => 245.1038
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 07:55:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 239.8848
            [stop_loss] => 245.1038
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 08:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 239.3629
            [stop_loss] => 245.1038
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 08:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 238.841
            [stop_loss] => 245.1038
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 08:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 238.3191
            [stop_loss] => 245.1038
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 08:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 237.7972
            [stop_loss] => 245.1038
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 08:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 3.56
            [max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
            [rr_ratio] => 100
            [high] => 243.54000000
            [low] => 240.50000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.46
            [mae_pct] => -0.21
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-20T05:21:47-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-20T07:21:47-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 9.95
            [max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
            [rr_ratio] => 100
            [high] => 243.54000000
            [low] => 234.11000000
            [mfe_pct] => 4.08
            [mae_pct] => -0.21
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-20T05:21:47-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-20T12:21:47-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 246.60000000
            [high_after] => 243.54000000
            [low_before] => 239.39000000
            [low_after] => 237.33000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)