Short Trade on FOGO 20 Jan 2026 at 06:32:35
Take profit at 0.0277 (1.95 %) and Stop Loss at 0.02853 (0.99 %)
Short Trade on FOGO 20 Jan 2026 at 06:32:35
Take profit at 0.0277 (1.95 %) and Stop Loss at 0.02853 (0.99 %)
Position size of 817.5889 $
Take profit at 0.0277 (1.95 %) and Stop Loss at 0.02853 (0.99 %)
That's a 1.96 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Strong Trade
|
0.52 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.65 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.79 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : range_medium |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.382076 15m : -0.071639 1H : 0.116445 |
2 |
Indicators:
91406.5
-0.000447841
91365.6
0.382076
92129.8
-0.00829514
91365.6
-0.071639
93800.4
-0.0259581
91365.6
0.116445
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 22:00:00
[1] => 0.04099
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 07:00:00
[1] => 0.03614
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 17:00:00
[1] => 0.03278
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 04:00:00
[1] => 0.03639
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 11:00:00
[1] => 0.03271
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 14:00:00
[1] => 0.03527
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 19:00:00
[1] => 0.02587
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 03:00:00
[1] => 0.02702
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 14:00:00
[1] => 0.03423
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 03:00:00
[1] => 0.0268
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -17.937481741163
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.8134328358209
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 16
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 27.723880597015
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 08:45:00
[1] => 0.02764
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 14:15:00
[1] => 0.03423
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 17:00:00
[1] => 0.03034
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 17:30:00
[1] => 0.03034
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 19:00:00
[1] => 0.03167
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 20:15:00
[1] => 0.02882
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 03:30:00
[1] => 0.0268
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 04:00:00
[1] => 0.02827
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 05:45:00
[1] => 0.02754
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 06:30:00
[1] => 0.02836
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.95204513399154
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.99709513435
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.9774872912128
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 00:15:00
[1] => 0.0295
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 00:40:00
[1] => 0.0289
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 01:00:00
[1] => 0.02929
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 01:15:00
[1] => 0.02834
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 01:55:00
[1] => 0.02875
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 03:30:00
[1] => 0.0268
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 04:10:00
[1] => 0.02827
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 05:20:00
[1] => 0.02827
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 05:55:00
[1] => 0.02754
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 06:30:00
[1] => 0.02836
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.95204513399154
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.99709513435
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.9774872912128
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-20 00:15:00 | 0.0295 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 00:40:00 | 0.0289 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 01:00:00 | 0.02929 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 01:15:00 | 0.02834 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 01:55:00 | 0.02875 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 03:30:00 | 0.0268 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 04:10:00 | 0.02827 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 05:20:00 | 0.02827 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 05:55:00 | 0.02754 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 06:30:00 | 0.02836 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 08:45:00 | 0.02764 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-19 14:15:00 | 0.03423 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-19 17:00:00 | 0.03034 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-19 17:30:00 | 0.03034 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-19 19:00:00 | 0.03167 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-19 20:15:00 | 0.02882 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 03:30:00 | 0.0268 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 04:00:00 | 0.02827 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 05:45:00 | 0.02754 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 06:30:00 | 0.02836 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-16 22:00:00 | 0.04099 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-17 07:00:00 | 0.03614 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-17 17:00:00 | 0.03278 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 04:00:00 | 0.03639 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-18 11:00:00 | 0.03271 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 14:00:00 | 0.03527 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-18 19:00:00 | 0.02587 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-19 03:00:00 | 0.02702 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-19 14:00:00 | 0.03423 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 03:00:00 | 0.0268 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan 2026 06:32:35 |
20 Jan 2026 08:05:00 |
1 hour |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.02825 | 0.02853 | 0.0277 | 1.96 | 0.02991 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.02853 - 0.02825 = 0.00028
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.02825 - 0.0277 = 0.00055
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00055 / 0.00028 = 1.9643
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 817.5889 | 100 | 28941.1985 | 8.18 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00028 = 28571.43
Taille de position USD = 28571.43 x 0.02825 = 807.14
Donc, tu peux acheter 28571.43 avec un stoploss a 0.02853
Avec un position size USD de 807.14$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 28571.43 x 0.00028 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 28571.43 x 0.00055 = 15.71
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.71$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.95 % | 15.92 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.99 % | 8.1 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 15.92 $ | 1.95 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.177 % | 17.86 % | 2 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.02769
[stop_loss] => 0.02853
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-01-20 08:05:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.02755
[stop_loss] => 0.02853
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-20 09:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.02741
[stop_loss] => 0.02853
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2026-01-20 09:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.02727
[stop_loss] => 0.02853
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-20 09:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.02713
[stop_loss] => 0.02853
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2026-01-20 09:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.02699
[stop_loss] => 0.02853
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-20 09:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.02685
[stop_loss] => 0.02853
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-20 09:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.02671
[stop_loss] => 0.02853
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-20 09:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.02657
[stop_loss] => 0.02853
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2026-01-20 09:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.02643
[stop_loss] => 0.02853
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-20 09:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.02629
[stop_loss] => 0.02853
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2026-01-20 09:00:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0006
[max_drawdown] => 4.9999999999998E-5
[rr_ratio] => 12
[high] => 0.02830000
[low] => 0.02765000
[mfe_pct] => 2.12
[mae_pct] => 0.18
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 12
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-01-20T06:32:35-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-20T08:32:35-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0006
[max_drawdown] => 0.00262
[rr_ratio] => 0.23
[high] => 0.03087000
[low] => 0.02765000
[mfe_pct] => 2.12
[mae_pct] => 9.27
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.23
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-01-20T06:32:35-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-20T13:32:35-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 0.02836000
[high_after] => 0.03087000
[low_before] => 0.02680000
[low_after] => 0.02765000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)