Short Trade on AVAX 20 Jan 2026 at 09:40:48

Take profit at 12.4054 (0.93 %) and Stop Loss at 12.5803 (0.47 %)

Short Trade on AVAX

The 20 Jan 2026 at 09:40:48

With 137.2344 AVAX at 12.522$ per unit.

Position size of 1718.4495 $

Take profit at 12.4054 (0.93 %) and Stop Loss at 12.5803 (0.47 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 140
ML Pullback Score: 8
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.8
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.55
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.71
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.700968

15m : -0.106024

1H : -0.203227

2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.14
  4. atr: 0.03886293901
Details
  1. score: 1.14
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 12.4972
  4. ema21 : 12.595
  5. ema50 : 12.8322
  6. ema100 : 13.1125
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00197654
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0077642
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0184821
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0450343
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.136529
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.117013
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.12015
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0985631
  17. rsi : 0.430164
  18. adx : 0.497045
  19. kc_percentage : 0.369665
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0398448
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.124205
  22. volume_ema1 : 668967.93983211
  23. volume_ema2 : 763841.1263109
  24. chop : 49.2475
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 12.3987
  29. ema21 : 12.4445
  30. ema50 : 12.5263
  31. ema100 : 12.5951
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.0099421
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.003683
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00653293
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.00580649
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : -0.0727098
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.0644009
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0496674
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0337012
  42. rsi : 0.42147
  43. adx : 0.293884
  44. kc_percentage : 0.849399
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0185324
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.0326273
  47. volume_ema1 : 167556.50555594
  48. volume_ema2 : 173207.818607
  49. chop : 53.6692
  50. regime : bear_medium
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 12.4295
  54. ema21 : 12.4125
  55. ema50 : 12.4375
  56. ema100 : 12.4838
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00743616
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00137231
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00201404
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.00305549
  61. all_emas_in_trend : False
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.0256921
  64. ema_slope_21 : -0.00438011
  65. ema_slope_50 : -0.0156733
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.015866
  67. rsi : 0.678871
  68. adx : 0.303346
  69. kc_percentage : 1.1445
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0135814
  71. volume_ema_diff : 0.227364
  72. volume_ema1 : 73920.241067003
  73. volume_ema2 : 60226.786604562
  74. chop : 24.8484
  75. regime : range_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    91096.2
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00148065
  81. 5m_price:
    91231.1
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.700968
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    91887.5
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0121217
  86. 15m_price:
    90773.7
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.106024
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    93609.6
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0254088
  91. 1H_price:
    91231.1
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.203227
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 09:00:00
                        [1] => 13.966
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 10:00:00
                        [1] => 13.463
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 17:00:00
                        [1] => 13.754
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 19:00:00
                        [1] => 12.064
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 03:00:00
                        [1] => 12.824
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 12:00:00
                        [1] => 12.613
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 14:00:00
                        [1] => 12.849
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 18:00:00
                        [1] => 12.615
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 00:00:00
                        [1] => 12.757
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 08:00:00
                        [1] => 12.317
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.865642392412
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.6400097426321
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 9
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.5722984492977
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 1
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 18:00:00
                        [1] => 12.615
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 18:30:00
                        [1] => 12.773
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 20:15:00
                        [1] => 12.736
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 21:00:00
                        [1] => 12.615
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 00:45:00
                        [1] => 12.757
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 01:15:00
                        [1] => 12.514
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 03:30:00
                        [1] => 12.393
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 05:15:00
                        [1] => 12.637
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 08:30:00
                        [1] => 12.317
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 09:30:00
                        [1] => 12.543
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.19134178426213
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.6400097426321
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.8348623853211
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 03:35:00
                        [1] => 12.393
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 04:30:00
                        [1] => 12.575
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 05:15:00
                        [1] => 12.637
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 06:25:00
                        [1] => 12.52
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 07:00:00
                        [1] => 12.437
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 07:25:00
                        [1] => 12.481
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 08:30:00
                        [1] => 12.317
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 08:40:00
                        [1] => 12.397
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 09:00:00
                        [1] => 12.321
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 09:35:00
                        [1] => 12.543
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.19134178426213
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.6070124178232
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.8018018018018
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 1
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.19%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.61%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
8 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.80%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0567
0.45%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0884
0.71%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-20 03:35:00 12.393 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 04:30:00 12.575 ↑ High
2026-01-20 05:15:00 12.637 ↑ High
2026-01-20 06:25:00 12.52 ↑ High
2026-01-20 07:00:00 12.437 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 07:25:00 12.481 ↑ High
2026-01-20 08:30:00 12.317 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 08:40:00 12.397 ↑ High
2026-01-20 09:00:00 12.321 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 09:35:00 12.543 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.19%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.64%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.83%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.1927
1.53%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0884
0.71%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-19 18:00:00 12.615 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 18:30:00 12.773 ↑ High
2026-01-19 20:15:00 12.736 ↑ High
2026-01-19 21:00:00 12.615 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 00:45:00 12.757 ↑ High
2026-01-20 01:15:00 12.514 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 03:30:00 12.393 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 05:15:00 12.637 ↑ High
2026-01-20 08:30:00 12.317 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 09:30:00 12.543 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.87%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.64%
Bars Since Swing High
9 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.57%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
1

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
1.3857
11.01%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.3414
2.75%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-17 09:00:00 13.966 ↑ High
2026-01-18 10:00:00 13.463 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 17:00:00 13.754 ↑ High
2026-01-18 19:00:00 12.064 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 03:00:00 12.824 ↑ High
2026-01-19 12:00:00 12.613 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 14:00:00 12.849 ↑ High
2026-01-19 18:00:00 12.615 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 00:00:00 12.757 ↑ High
2026-01-20 08:00:00 12.317 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
20 Jan 2026
09:40:48
20 Jan 2026
09:45:00
4 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
12.522 12.5803 12.4054 2 9.242
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 12.522
  • Stop Loss: 12.5803
  • Take Profit: 12.4054

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 12.5803 - 12.522 = 0.058299999999999

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 12.522 - 12.4054 = 0.1166

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1166 / 0.058299999999999 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1718.4495 100 137.2344 17.18
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.058299999999999

Taille de position = 8 / 0.058299999999999 = 137.22

Taille de position USD = 137.22 x 12.522 = 1718.27

Donc, tu peux acheter 137.22 avec un stoploss a 12.5803

Avec un position size USD de 1718.27$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 137.22 x 0.058299999999999 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 137.22 x 0.1166 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 137.22
  • Taille de position USD 1718.27
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.93 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.47 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.93
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.4054
            [stop_loss] => 12.5803
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 09:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.37625
            [stop_loss] => 12.5803
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 10:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.3471
            [stop_loss] => 12.5803
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 10:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.31795
            [stop_loss] => 12.5803
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 10:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.2888
            [stop_loss] => 12.5803
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 11:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.25965
            [stop_loss] => 12.5803
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 11:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.2305
            [stop_loss] => 12.5803
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 11:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.20135
            [stop_loss] => 12.5803
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 11:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.1722
            [stop_loss] => 12.5803
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 11:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.14305
            [stop_loss] => 12.5803
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 11:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.1139
            [stop_loss] => 12.5803
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 12:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.346
            [max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
            [rr_ratio] => 100
            [high] => 12.51900000
            [low] => 12.17600000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.76
            [mae_pct] => -0.02
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-20T09:40:48-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-20T11:40:48-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.469
            [max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
            [rr_ratio] => 100
            [high] => 12.51900000
            [low] => 12.05300000
            [mfe_pct] => 3.75
            [mae_pct] => -0.02
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-20T09:40:48-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-20T16:40:48-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 12.54300000
            [high_after] => 12.51900000
            [low_before] => 12.31700000
            [low_after] => 12.05300000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)