Short Trade on ALCH 20 Jan 2026 at 14:56:20

Take profit at 0.0899 (4.91 %) and Stop Loss at 0.09686 (2.45 %)

Short Trade on ALCH

The 20 Jan 2026 at 14:56:20

With 3449.5358 ALCH at 0.09454$ per unit.

Position size of 326.1191 $

Take profit at 0.0899 (4.91 %) and Stop Loss at 0.09686 (2.45 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 40
ML Pullback Score: 5.5
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.74
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.51
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.88
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_high

BTC Correlation Score

5m : -0.034035

15m : -0.091101

1H : -0.140725

3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.04
  4. atr: 0.001546101736
Details
  1. score: 1.04
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 0.0956674
  4. ema21 : 0.110099
  5. ema50 : 0.126915
  6. ema100 : 0.136332
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.0117846
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.131078
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.132501
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.306548
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -2.46669
  14. ema_slope_21 : -1.92828
  15. ema_slope_50 : -1.09261
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.614195
  17. rsi : 0.281882
  18. adx : 0.536214
  19. kc_percentage : -0.0590213
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.275066
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.629837
  22. volume_ema1 : 290382.86799456
  23. volume_ema2 : 178166.71586018
  24. chop : 20.0016
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 0.0911308
  29. ema21 : 0.092074
  30. ema50 : 0.100785
  31. ema100 : 0.114856
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.0374098
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0102449
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0864357
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.176887
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : -0.122095
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.282057
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.496214
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.455166
  42. rsi : 0.491635
  43. adx : 0.342723
  44. kc_percentage : 0.747811
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.11289
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.334862
  47. volume_ema1 : 51394.511820118
  48. volume_ema2 : 77269.031209209
  49. chop : 60.1875
  50. regime : bear_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 0.0924434
  54. ema21 : 0.0910136
  55. ema50 : 0.0909236
  56. ema100 : 0.0915507
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.0226794
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0157091
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.000990251
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.0326517
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.402632
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.166424
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.0258244
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.00854471
  67. rsi : 0.679055
  68. adx : 0.326558
  69. kc_percentage : 1.04492
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0674595
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.171813
  72. volume_ema1 : 19504.888129125
  73. volume_ema2 : 23551.33409868
  74. chop : 32.9364
  75. regime : bull_high
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    90258.2
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00571306
  81. 5m_price:
    89742.6
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.034035
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    91238.4
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0196782
  86. 15m_price:
    89443
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.091101
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    93173
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0368179
  91. 1H_price:
    89742.6
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.140725
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 06:00:00
                        [1] => 0.14491
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 12:00:00
                        [1] => 0.13573
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 19:00:00
                        [1] => 0.15092
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 02:00:00
                        [1] => 0.13968
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 10:00:00
                        [1] => 0.14417
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 01:00:00
                        [1] => 0.15564
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 08:00:00
                        [1] => 0.1593
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 12:00:00
                        [1] => 0.15064
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 18:00:00
                        [1] => 0.15589
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 13:00:00
                        [1] => 0.0857
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -39.69465648855
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 9.6966161026838
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 20
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 81.901983663944
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 1
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 18:45:00
                        [1] => 0.15589
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 19:45:00
                        [1] => 0.1505
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 23:30:00
                        [1] => 0.12036
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 01:15:00
                        [1] => 0.12665
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 04:15:00
                        [1] => 0.13358
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 06:45:00
                        [1] => 0.0901
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 10:30:00
                        [1] => 0.09979
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 10:45:00
                        [1] => 0.0869
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 13:45:00
                        [1] => 0.0857
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 14:45:00
                        [1] => 0.09495
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.98999473407057
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 9.6966161026838
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 10.793465577596
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 08:05:00
                        [1] => 0.09054
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 08:35:00
                        [1] => 0.0906
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 09:15:00
                        [1] => 0.09573
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 10:00:00
                        [1] => 0.0911
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 10:30:00
                        [1] => 0.09979
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 10:55:00
                        [1] => 0.0869
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 11:40:00
                        [1] => 0.09092
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 13:00:00
                        [1] => 0.08772
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 13:45:00
                        [1] => 0.0857
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 14:55:00
                        [1] => 0.09495
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.98999473407057
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 9.6966161026838
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 14
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 10.793465577596
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 3

5M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.99%
Dist From Last Low Pct
9.70%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
14 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
10.79%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0029
3.02%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0042
4.67%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-20 08:05:00 0.09054 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 08:35:00 0.0906 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 09:15:00 0.09573 ↑ High
2026-01-20 10:00:00 0.0911 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 10:30:00 0.09979 ↑ High
2026-01-20 10:55:00 0.0869 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 11:40:00 0.09092 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 13:00:00 0.08772 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 13:45:00 0.0857 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 14:55:00 0.09495 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.99%
Dist From Last Low Pct
9.70%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
10.79%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0590
60.94%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0042
4.67%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-19 18:45:00 0.15589 ↑ High
2026-01-19 19:45:00 0.1505 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 23:30:00 0.12036 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 01:15:00 0.12665 ↑ High
2026-01-20 04:15:00 0.13358 ↑ High
2026-01-20 06:45:00 0.0901 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 10:30:00 0.09979 ↑ High
2026-01-20 10:45:00 0.0869 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 13:45:00 0.0857 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 14:45:00 0.09495 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-39.69%
Dist From Last Low Pct
9.70%
Bars Since Swing High
20 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
81.90%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
1

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0624
64.46%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0042
4.67%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-17 06:00:00 0.14491 ↑ High
2026-01-17 12:00:00 0.13573 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 19:00:00 0.15092 ↑ High
2026-01-18 02:00:00 0.13968 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 10:00:00 0.14417 ↑ High
2026-01-19 01:00:00 0.15564 ↑ High
2026-01-19 08:00:00 0.1593 ↑ High
2026-01-19 12:00:00 0.15064 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 18:00:00 0.15589 ↑ High
2026-01-20 13:00:00 0.0857 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
20 Jan 2026
14:56:20
20 Jan 2026
17:10:00
2 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.09454 0.09686 0.0899 2 0.078
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.09454
  • Stop Loss: 0.09686
  • Take Profit: 0.0899

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.09686 - 0.09454 = 0.00232

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.09454 - 0.0899 = 0.00464

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00464 / 0.00232 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
326.1191 100 3449.5358 3.26
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00232

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00232 = 3448.28

Taille de position USD = 3448.28 x 0.09454 = 326

Donc, tu peux acheter 3448.28 avec un stoploss a 0.09686

Avec un position size USD de 326$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 3448.28 x 0.00232 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 3448.28 x 0.00464 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 3448.28
  • Taille de position USD 326
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
4.91 % 16.01 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
2.45 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16.01 $ 4.91
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.2164 % 49.57 % 3

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.0899
            [stop_loss] => 0.09686
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 17:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.00367
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00115
            [rr_ratio] => 3.19
            [high] => 0.09569000
            [low] => 0.09087000
            [mfe_pct] => 3.88
            [mae_pct] => 1.22
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.19
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-20T14:56:20-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-20T16:56:20-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.00566
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00115
            [rr_ratio] => 4.92
            [high] => 0.09569000
            [low] => 0.08888000
            [mfe_pct] => 5.99
            [mae_pct] => 1.22
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 4.92
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-20T14:56:20-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-20T21:56:20-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.09495000
            [high_after] => 0.09569000
            [low_before] => 0.08570000
            [low_after] => 0.08888000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)