Short Trade on ALCH 20 Jan 2026 at 15:09:49

Take profit at 0.09026 (4.8 %) and Stop Loss at 0.09709 (2.4 %)

Short Trade on ALCH

The 20 Jan 2026 at 15:09:49

With 3513.4671 ALCH at 0.09481$ per unit.

Position size of 333.1118 $

Take profit at 0.09026 (4.8 %) and Stop Loss at 0.09709 (2.4 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 50
ML Pullback Score: 8
Prediction Score: 4
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.69
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.52
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.87
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_high

BTC Correlation Score

5m : -0.040714

15m : -0.026834

1H : -0.020579

3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0
  4. atr: 0.001517968789
Details
  1. score: 1
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 0.0954111
  4. ema21 : 0.108665
  5. ema50 : 0.125597
  6. ema100 : 0.135209
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00630035
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.121971
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.134812
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.298789
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -2.43035
  14. ema_slope_21 : -1.95768
  15. ema_slope_50 : -1.13344
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.640588
  17. rsi : 0.286487
  18. adx : 0.535652
  19. kc_percentage : -0.0319579
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.255034
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.205547
  22. volume_ema1 : 209094.4855586
  23. volume_ema2 : 173443.62630659
  24. chop : 20.7098
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 0.092009
  29. ema21 : 0.0923963
  30. ema50 : 0.100577
  31. ema100 : 0.11442
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.0304421
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00419165
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.081338
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.171387
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : -0.042499
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.231925
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.469192
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.443079
  42. rsi : 0.535117
  43. adx : 0.321501
  44. kc_percentage : 0.741957
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.111618
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.253875
  47. volume_ema1 : 57964.216286745
  48. volume_ema2 : 77687.097220728
  49. chop : 55.0206
  50. regime : bear_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 0.0932467
  54. ema21 : 0.0916425
  55. ema50 : 0.0911729
  56. ema100 : 0.0914085
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.0167645
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0175054
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00515046
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.0372114
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.512352
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.257897
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.0779242
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.024498
  67. rsi : 0.675606
  68. adx : 0.348687
  69. kc_percentage : 1.00115
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0651785
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.0660116
  72. volume_ema1 : 21563.078121093
  73. volume_ema2 : 23087.095369421
  74. chop : 30.5364
  75. regime : bull_high
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    90215.8
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00798284
  81. 5m_price:
    89495.7
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.040714
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    91207
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0187631
  86. 15m_price:
    89495.7
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.026834
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    93128.3
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0390067
  91. 1H_price:
    89495.7
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.020579
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 06:00:00
                        [1] => 0.14491
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 12:00:00
                        [1] => 0.13573
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 19:00:00
                        [1] => 0.15092
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 02:00:00
                        [1] => 0.13968
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 10:00:00
                        [1] => 0.14417
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 01:00:00
                        [1] => 0.15564
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 08:00:00
                        [1] => 0.1593
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 12:00:00
                        [1] => 0.15064
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 18:00:00
                        [1] => 0.15589
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 13:00:00
                        [1] => 0.0857
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -39.168644557059
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 10.653442240373
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 21
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 81.901983663944
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 1
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 18:45:00
                        [1] => 0.15589
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 19:45:00
                        [1] => 0.1505
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 23:30:00
                        [1] => 0.12036
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 01:15:00
                        [1] => 0.12665
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 04:15:00
                        [1] => 0.13358
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 06:45:00
                        [1] => 0.0901
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 10:30:00
                        [1] => 0.09979
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 10:45:00
                        [1] => 0.0869
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 13:45:00
                        [1] => 0.0857
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 15:00:00
                        [1] => 0.09569
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.89873550005225
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 10.653442240373
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 11.656942823804
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 08:05:00
                        [1] => 0.09054
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 08:35:00
                        [1] => 0.0906
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 09:15:00
                        [1] => 0.09573
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 10:00:00
                        [1] => 0.0911
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 10:30:00
                        [1] => 0.09979
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 10:55:00
                        [1] => 0.0869
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 11:40:00
                        [1] => 0.09092
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 13:00:00
                        [1] => 0.08772
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 13:45:00
                        [1] => 0.0857
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 15:05:00
                        [1] => 0.09569
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.89873550005225
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 10.653442240373
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 16
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 11.656942823804
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 3

5M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.90%
Dist From Last Low Pct
10.65%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
16 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
11.66%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0027
2.78%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0046
5.05%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-20 08:05:00 0.09054 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 08:35:00 0.0906 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 09:15:00 0.09573 ↑ High
2026-01-20 10:00:00 0.0911 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 10:30:00 0.09979 ↑ High
2026-01-20 10:55:00 0.0869 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 11:40:00 0.09092 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 13:00:00 0.08772 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 13:45:00 0.0857 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 15:05:00 0.09569 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.90%
Dist From Last Low Pct
10.65%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
11.66%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0588
60.56%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0046
5.05%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-19 18:45:00 0.15589 ↑ High
2026-01-19 19:45:00 0.1505 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 23:30:00 0.12036 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 01:15:00 0.12665 ↑ High
2026-01-20 04:15:00 0.13358 ↑ High
2026-01-20 06:45:00 0.0901 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 10:30:00 0.09979 ↑ High
2026-01-20 10:45:00 0.0869 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 13:45:00 0.0857 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 15:00:00 0.09569 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-39.17%
Dist From Last Low Pct
10.65%
Bars Since Swing High
21 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
81.90%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
1

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0622
64.07%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0046
5.05%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-17 06:00:00 0.14491 ↑ High
2026-01-17 12:00:00 0.13573 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 19:00:00 0.15092 ↑ High
2026-01-18 02:00:00 0.13968 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 10:00:00 0.14417 ↑ High
2026-01-19 01:00:00 0.15564 ↑ High
2026-01-19 08:00:00 0.1593 ↑ High
2026-01-19 12:00:00 0.15064 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 18:00:00 0.15589 ↑ High
2026-01-20 13:00:00 0.0857 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
20 Jan 2026
15:09:49
20 Jan 2026
17:10:00
2 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.09481 0.09709 0.09026 2 0.08029
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.09481
  • Stop Loss: 0.09709
  • Take Profit: 0.09026

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.09709 - 0.09481 = 0.00228

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.09481 - 0.09026 = 0.00455

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00455 / 0.00228 = 1.9956

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
333.1118 100 3513.4671 3.33
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00228

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00228 = 3508.77

Taille de position USD = 3508.77 x 0.09481 = 332.67

Donc, tu peux acheter 3508.77 avec un stoploss a 0.09709

Avec un position size USD de 332.67$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 3508.77 x 0.00228 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 3508.77 x 0.00455 = 15.96

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.96$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 3508.77
  • Taille de position USD 332.67
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 15.96
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9956

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
4.8 % 15.99 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
2.4 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
15.99 $ 4.80
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.0211 % 0.88 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.09025
            [stop_loss] => 0.09709
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 17:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.08911
            [stop_loss] => 0.09709
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 20:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.00394
            [max_drawdown] => 1.9999999999992E-5
            [rr_ratio] => 100
            [high] => 0.09483000
            [low] => 0.09087000
            [mfe_pct] => 4.16
            [mae_pct] => 0.02
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 197
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-20T15:09:49-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-20T17:09:49-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.00593
            [max_drawdown] => 1.9999999999992E-5
            [rr_ratio] => 100
            [high] => 0.09483000
            [low] => 0.08888000
            [mfe_pct] => 6.25
            [mae_pct] => 0.02
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 296.5
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-20T15:09:49-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-20T22:09:49-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.09569000
            [high_after] => 0.09483000
            [low_before] => 0.08570000
            [low_after] => 0.08888000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)