Short Trade on TAO 20 Jan 2026 at 15:19:21

Take profit at 235.5186 (1.15 %) and Stop Loss at 239.6157 (0.57 %)

Short Trade on TAO

The 20 Jan 2026 at 15:19:21

With 5.8577 TAO at 238.25$ per unit.

Position size of 1395.6089 $

Take profit at 235.5186 (1.15 %) and Stop Loss at 239.6157 (0.57 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 90
ML Pullback Score: 5.72
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.97
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.53
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.96
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.746915

15m : -0.070537

1H : -0.014166

3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.07
  4. atr: 0.9104747701
Details
  1. score: 1.07
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 238.065
  4. ema21 : 241.77
  5. ema50 : 249.293
  6. ema100 : 257.254
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.000775214
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0153255
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0301776
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0738749
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.286714
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.265682
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.218418
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.161231
  17. rsi : 0.366539
  18. adx : 0.470437
  19. kc_percentage : 0.248048
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0536905
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.12915
  22. volume_ema1 : 755506.15991583
  23. volume_ema2 : 867550.86467078
  24. chop : 51.4658
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 236.49
  29. ema21 : 236.963
  30. ema50 : 239.55
  31. ema100 : 243.535
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.0074406
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00199862
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0107963
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.0217043
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : -0.0299725
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.0634902
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0755765
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0697999
  42. rsi : 0.535232
  43. adx : 0.268643
  44. kc_percentage : 0.706926
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0275457
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.579265
  47. volume_ema1 : 104385.93931323
  48. volume_ema2 : 248104.11858294
  49. chop : 67.4915
  50. regime : bear_medium
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 236.64
  54. ema21 : 236.197
  55. ema50 : 236.536
  56. ema100 : 237.592
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00680329
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00187342
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0014337
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.00276899
  61. all_emas_in_trend : False
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.0316135
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0128647
  65. ema_slope_50 : -0.00698255
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.0136008
  67. rsi : 0.669461
  68. adx : 0.176571
  69. kc_percentage : 1.06817
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0150739
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.544699
  72. volume_ema1 : 34656.466505947
  73. volume_ema2 : 76117.816330246
  74. chop : 44.9397
  75. regime : range_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    90188.1
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00565574
  81. 5m_price:
    89678.1
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.746915
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    91184.1
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0165167
  86. 15m_price:
    89678.1
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.070537
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    93131.9
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0370855
  91. 1H_price:
    89678.1
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.014166
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 11:00:00
                        [1] => 278.56
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 21:00:00
                        [1] => 271.28
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 01:00:00
                        [1] => 273.87
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 09:00:00
                        [1] => 274.96
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 12:00:00
                        [1] => 269.35
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 17:00:00
                        [1] => 275.54
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 19:00:00
                        [1] => 223.75
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 01:00:00
                        [1] => 245.46
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 14:00:00
                        [1] => 256.78
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 11:00:00
                        [1] => 234.11
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -7.1734558766259
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.8153859296912
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 25
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 9.6834821237879
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 1
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 21:00:00
                        [1] => 248.87
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 22:30:00
                        [1] => 248.14
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 00:00:00
                        [1] => 250.56
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 01:15:00
                        [1] => 243.46
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 03:30:00
                        [1] => 239.39
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 05:15:00
                        [1] => 244.08
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 09:30:00
                        [1] => 243.23
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 11:45:00
                        [1] => 234.11
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 13:30:00
                        [1] => 234.15
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 15:15:00
                        [1] => 238.52
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.067080328693609
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.7979927396968
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.8663250053385
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 10:45:00
                        [1] => 237.71
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 11:00:00
                        [1] => 240.42
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 11:45:00
                        [1] => 234.11
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 12:15:00
                        [1] => 237.52
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 12:45:00
                        [1] => 234.35
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 13:10:00
                        [1] => 236.63
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 13:40:00
                        [1] => 234.15
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 14:05:00
                        [1] => 236.83
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 14:30:00
                        [1] => 234.59
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 15:15:00
                        [1] => 238.52
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.067080328693609
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.6070591244299
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.6752632252014
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.07%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.61%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
9 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.68%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.8043
0.34%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.4086
0.60%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-20 10:45:00 237.71 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 11:00:00 240.42 ↑ High
2026-01-20 11:45:00 234.11 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 12:15:00 237.52 ↑ High
2026-01-20 12:45:00 234.35 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 13:10:00 236.63 ↑ High
2026-01-20 13:40:00 234.15 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 14:05:00 236.83 ↑ High
2026-01-20 14:30:00 234.59 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 15:15:00 238.52 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.07%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.80%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.87%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
10.9443
4.57%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.4086
0.60%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-19 21:00:00 248.87 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 22:30:00 248.14 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 00:00:00 250.56 ↑ High
2026-01-20 01:15:00 243.46 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 03:30:00 239.39 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 05:15:00 244.08 ↑ High
2026-01-20 09:30:00 243.23 ↑ High
2026-01-20 11:45:00 234.11 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 13:30:00 234.15 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 15:15:00 238.52 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-7.17%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.82%
Bars Since Swing High
25 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
9.68%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
1

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
38.9443
16.25%
TP to Pivot Distance
11.7686
5.00%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-17 11:00:00 278.56 ↑ High
2026-01-17 21:00:00 271.28 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 01:00:00 273.87 ↑ High
2026-01-18 09:00:00 274.96 ↑ High
2026-01-18 12:00:00 269.35 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 17:00:00 275.54 ↑ High
2026-01-18 19:00:00 223.75 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 01:00:00 245.46 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 14:00:00 256.78 ↑ High
2026-01-20 11:00:00 234.11 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
20 Jan 2026
15:19:21
20 Jan 2026
17:30:00
2 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
238.25 239.6157 235.5186 2 182.4
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 238.25
  • Stop Loss: 239.6157
  • Take Profit: 235.5186

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 239.6157 - 238.25 = 1.3657

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 238.25 - 235.5186 = 2.7314

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.7314 / 1.3657 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1395.6089 100 5.8577 13.96
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 1.3657

Taille de position = 8 / 1.3657 = 5.86

Taille de position USD = 5.86 x 238.25 = 1396.15

Donc, tu peux acheter 5.86 avec un stoploss a 239.6157

Avec un position size USD de 1396.15$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 5.86 x 1.3657 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 5.86 x 2.7314 = 16.01

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 5.86
  • Taille de position USD 1396.15
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16.01
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.15 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.57 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 1.15
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.4785 % 83.48 % 4

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 235.5186
            [stop_loss] => 239.6157
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 17:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 234.83575
            [stop_loss] => 239.6157
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 17:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 234.1529
            [stop_loss] => 239.6157
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 17:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 233.47005
            [stop_loss] => 239.6157
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 17:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 232.7872
            [stop_loss] => 239.6157
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 17:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 232.10435
            [stop_loss] => 239.6157
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 17:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 231.4215
            [stop_loss] => 239.6157
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 19:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 230.73865
            [stop_loss] => 239.6157
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 19:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 230.0558
            [stop_loss] => 239.6157
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 19:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 229.37295
            [stop_loss] => 239.6157
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 19:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 228.6901
            [stop_loss] => 239.6157
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 19:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 2.71
            [max_drawdown] => 1.14
            [rr_ratio] => 2.38
            [high] => 239.39000000
            [low] => 235.54000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.14
            [mae_pct] => 0.48
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.38
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-20T15:19:21-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-20T17:19:21-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 6.45
            [max_drawdown] => 2.13
            [rr_ratio] => 3.03
            [high] => 240.38000000
            [low] => 231.80000000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.71
            [mae_pct] => 0.89
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.03
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-20T15:19:21-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-20T22:19:21-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 239.15000000
            [high_after] => 240.38000000
            [low_before] => 234.11000000
            [low_after] => 231.80000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)