Short Trade on TAO 20 Jan 2026 at 15:26:55

Take profit at 236.3931 (1.19 %) and Stop Loss at 240.6634 (0.59 %)

Short Trade on TAO

The 20 Jan 2026 at 15:26:55

With 5.6202 TAO at 239.24$ per unit.

Position size of 1344.5794 $

Take profit at 236.3931 (1.19 %) and Stop Loss at 240.6634 (0.59 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 100
ML Pullback Score: 9.31
Prediction Score: 4
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.9
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.5
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.91
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

5m_regime : bull_medium_confirmed

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.737842

15m : 0.075955

1H : 0.068674

3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.18
  4. atr: 0.9489559759
Details
  1. score: 1.18
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 238.263
  4. ema21 : 241.86
  5. ema50 : 249.332
  6. ema100 : 257.274
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00409862
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0148733
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0299676
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0700974
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.280022
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.262679
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.217155
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.160608
  17. rsi : 0.394799
  18. adx : 0.466298
  19. kc_percentage : 0.322728
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0548727
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.00027821
  22. volume_ema1 : 882211.91560583
  23. volume_ema2 : 882457.42416372
  24. chop : 51.5166
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 236.512
  29. ema21 : 236.973
  30. ema50 : 239.554
  31. ema100 : 243.537
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.0115327
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0019479
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0107723
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.017648
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : -0.0292
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.0631412
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0754278
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.069726
  42. rsi : 0.53934
  43. adx : 0.268643
  44. kc_percentage : 0.85618
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0274318
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.578434
  47. volume_ema1 : 104602.96208323
  48. volume_ema2 : 248129.65067353
  49. chop : 67.4915
  50. regime : bear_medium
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 237.377
  54. ema21 : 236.623
  55. ema50 : 236.702
  56. ema100 : 237.661
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.0078469
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00318382
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00033029
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.0066415
  61. all_emas_in_trend : False
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.0625775
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0307301
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.00228506
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.00888238
  67. rsi : 0.694916
  68. adx : 0.196383
  69. kc_percentage : 1.17777
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.015953
  71. volume_ema_diff : 0.389346
  72. volume_ema1 : 116552.1171882
  73. volume_ema2 : 83889.895594565
  74. chop : 37.3187
  75. regime : bull_medium_confirmed
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    90180.2
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00419405
  81. 5m_price:
    89802
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.737842
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    91186.1
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0154284
  86. 15m_price:
    89779.3
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.075955
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    93134.4
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0357805
  91. 1H_price:
    89802
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.068674
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 11:00:00
                        [1] => 278.56
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 21:00:00
                        [1] => 271.28
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 01:00:00
                        [1] => 273.87
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 09:00:00
                        [1] => 274.96
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 12:00:00
                        [1] => 269.35
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 17:00:00
                        [1] => 275.54
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 19:00:00
                        [1] => 223.75
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 01:00:00
                        [1] => 245.46
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 14:00:00
                        [1] => 256.78
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 11:00:00
                        [1] => 234.11
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -6.9865254303295
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.0204177523386
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 25
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 9.6834821237879
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 1
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 21:00:00
                        [1] => 248.87
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 22:30:00
                        [1] => 248.14
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 00:00:00
                        [1] => 250.56
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 01:15:00
                        [1] => 243.46
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 03:30:00
                        [1] => 239.39
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 05:15:00
                        [1] => 244.08
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 09:30:00
                        [1] => 243.23
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 11:45:00
                        [1] => 234.11
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 13:30:00
                        [1] => 234.15
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 15:15:00
                        [1] => 239.39
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.22975061614937
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.0029895366218
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.2378816997651
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 10:45:00
                        [1] => 237.71
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 11:00:00
                        [1] => 240.42
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 11:45:00
                        [1] => 234.11
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 12:15:00
                        [1] => 237.52
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 12:45:00
                        [1] => 234.35
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 13:10:00
                        [1] => 236.63
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 13:40:00
                        [1] => 234.15
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 14:05:00
                        [1] => 236.83
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 14:30:00
                        [1] => 234.59
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 15:25:00
                        [1] => 239.39
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.22975061614937
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.8116714267445
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 11
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.0461230231468
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.23%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.81%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
11 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.05%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.2434
0.10%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.2831
0.97%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-20 10:45:00 237.71 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 11:00:00 240.42 ↑ High
2026-01-20 11:45:00 234.11 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 12:15:00 237.52 ↑ High
2026-01-20 12:45:00 234.35 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 13:10:00 236.63 ↑ High
2026-01-20 13:40:00 234.15 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 14:05:00 236.83 ↑ High
2026-01-20 14:30:00 234.59 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 15:25:00 239.39 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.23%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.00%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.24%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
9.8966
4.11%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.2831
0.97%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-19 21:00:00 248.87 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 22:30:00 248.14 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 00:00:00 250.56 ↑ High
2026-01-20 01:15:00 243.46 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 03:30:00 239.39 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 05:15:00 244.08 ↑ High
2026-01-20 09:30:00 243.23 ↑ High
2026-01-20 11:45:00 234.11 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 13:30:00 234.15 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 15:15:00 239.39 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-6.99%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.02%
Bars Since Swing High
25 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
9.68%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
1

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
37.8966
15.75%
TP to Pivot Distance
12.6431
5.35%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-17 11:00:00 278.56 ↑ High
2026-01-17 21:00:00 271.28 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 01:00:00 273.87 ↑ High
2026-01-18 09:00:00 274.96 ↑ High
2026-01-18 12:00:00 269.35 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 17:00:00 275.54 ↑ High
2026-01-18 19:00:00 223.75 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 01:00:00 245.46 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 14:00:00 256.78 ↑ High
2026-01-20 11:00:00 234.11 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
20 Jan 2026
15:26:55
20 Jan 2026
16:25:00
58 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
239.24 240.6634 236.3931 2 180.58
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 239.24
  • Stop Loss: 240.6634
  • Take Profit: 236.3931

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 240.6634 - 239.24 = 1.4234

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 239.24 - 236.3931 = 2.8469

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.8469 / 1.4234 = 2.0001

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1344.5794 100 5.6202 13.45
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 1.4234

Taille de position = 8 / 1.4234 = 5.62

Taille de position USD = 5.62 x 239.24 = 1344.53

Donc, tu peux acheter 5.62 avec un stoploss a 240.6634

Avec un position size USD de 1344.53$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 5.62 x 1.4234 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 5.62 x 2.8469 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 5.62
  • Taille de position USD 1344.53
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0001

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.19 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.59 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 1.19
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 236.3932
            [stop_loss] => 240.6634
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 16:25:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 235.6815
            [stop_loss] => 240.6634
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 16:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 234.9698
            [stop_loss] => 240.6634
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 17:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 234.2581
            [stop_loss] => 240.6634
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 17:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 233.5464
            [stop_loss] => 240.6634
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 17:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 232.8347
            [stop_loss] => 240.6634
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 17:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 232.123
            [stop_loss] => 240.6634
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 17:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 3.7
            [max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
            [rr_ratio] => 100
            [high] => 238.99000000
            [low] => 235.54000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.55
            [mae_pct] => -0.1
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-20T15:26:55-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-20T17:26:55-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 7.44
            [max_drawdown] => 1.14
            [rr_ratio] => 6.53
            [high] => 240.38000000
            [low] => 231.80000000
            [mfe_pct] => 3.11
            [mae_pct] => 0.48
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 6.53
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-20T15:26:55-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-20T22:26:55-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 239.39000000
            [high_after] => 240.38000000
            [low_before] => 234.11000000
            [low_after] => 231.80000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)