Short Trade on XPL 20 Jan 2026 at 15:28:43

Take profit at 0.1224 (1.13 %) and Stop Loss at 0.1245 (0.57 %)

Short Trade on XPL

The 20 Jan 2026 at 15:28:43

With 11418.2915 XPL at 0.1238$ per unit.

Position size of 1413.5845 $

Take profit at 0.1224 (1.13 %) and Stop Loss at 0.1245 (0.57 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 140
ML Pullback Score: 9.35
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.95
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.63
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.94
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : range_medium

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.678693

15m : 0.031127

1H : 0.144578

3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.04
  4. atr: 0.0004670868086
Details
  1. score: 1.04
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 0.123957
  4. ema21 : 0.126029
  5. ema50 : 0.129604
  6. ema100 : 0.133341
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.0012666
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0164479
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0275783
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0715547
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.317267
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.287141
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.212031
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.152389
  17. rsi : 0.381317
  18. adx : 0.422627
  19. kc_percentage : 0.260171
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0698564
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.443835
  22. volume_ema1 : 209907.03738221
  23. volume_ema2 : 377418.72062917
  24. chop : 56.5063
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 0.12281
  29. ema21 : 0.123209
  30. ema50 : 0.124746
  31. ema100 : 0.127179
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.00805371
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00323842
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0123211
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.026576
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : -0.0710778
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.0833303
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0878504
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0810027
  42. rsi : 0.500243
  43. adx : 0.294932
  44. kc_percentage : 0.66218
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.031616
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.58999
  47. volume_ema1 : 30642.376934344
  48. volume_ema2 : 74735.85972159
  49. chop : 60.6129
  50. regime : bear_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 0.123119
  54. ema21 : 0.122838
  55. ema50 : 0.123041
  56. ema100 : 0.123619
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00553065
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00228794
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00165574
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.00146043
  61. all_emas_in_trend : False
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.0505496
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0185927
  65. ema_slope_50 : -0.00718587
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.0143281
  67. rsi : 0.656633
  68. adx : 0.197231
  69. kc_percentage : 1.04421
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0141766
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.570393
  72. volume_ema1 : 8637.7513430395
  73. volume_ema2 : 20106.207147995
  74. chop : 44.9094
  75. regime : range_medium
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    90179.1
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00476474
  81. 5m_price:
    89749.5
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.678693
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    91186.1
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0154284
  86. 15m_price:
    89779.3
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.031127
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    93133.3
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0363335
  91. 1H_price:
    89749.5
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.144578
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 21:00:00
                        [1] => 0.1379
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 04:00:00
                        [1] => 0.1419
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 10:00:00
                        [1] => 0.1382
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 14:00:00
                        [1] => 0.1422
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 19:00:00
                        [1] => 0.1134
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 03:00:00
                        [1] => 0.1319
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 08:00:00
                        [1] => 0.1281
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 12:00:00
                        [1] => 0.1362
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 15:00:00
                        [1] => 0.1362
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 12:00:00
                        [1] => 0.1212
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -9.1042584434655
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.1452145214521
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 24
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 12.376237623762
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 15:00:00
                        [1] => 0.1362
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 17:30:00
                        [1] => 0.1315
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 18:30:00
                        [1] => 0.1348
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 23:45:00
                        [1] => 0.1263
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 03:30:00
                        [1] => 0.1243
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 06:00:00
                        [1] => 0.1275
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 09:15:00
                        [1] => 0.1227
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 09:45:00
                        [1] => 0.1263
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 12:45:00
                        [1] => 0.1212
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 15:15:00
                        [1] => 0.124
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.16129032258065
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.1452145214521
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.3102310231023
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 10:45:00
                        [1] => 0.1236
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 11:15:00
                        [1] => 0.1255
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 11:45:00
                        [1] => 0.1224
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 12:05:00
                        [1] => 0.1244
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 12:45:00
                        [1] => 0.1212
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 13:00:00
                        [1] => 0.1232
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 13:45:00
                        [1] => 0.1213
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 14:00:00
                        [1] => 0.1233
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 14:30:00
                        [1] => 0.1218
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 15:25:00
                        [1] => 0.124
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.16129032258065
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.6420361247947
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 11
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.8062397372742
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.16%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.64%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
11 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.81%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0010
0.80%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0012
0.98%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-20 10:45:00 0.1236 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 11:15:00 0.1255 ↑ High
2026-01-20 11:45:00 0.1224 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 12:05:00 0.1244 ↑ High
2026-01-20 12:45:00 0.1212 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 13:00:00 0.1232 ↑ High
2026-01-20 13:45:00 0.1213 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 14:00:00 0.1233 ↑ High
2026-01-20 14:30:00 0.1218 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 15:25:00 0.124 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.16%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.15%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
10 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.31%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0117
9.40%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0012
0.98%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-19 15:00:00 0.1362 ↑ High
2026-01-19 17:30:00 0.1315 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 18:30:00 0.1348 ↑ High
2026-01-19 23:45:00 0.1263 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 03:30:00 0.1243 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 06:00:00 0.1275 ↑ High
2026-01-20 09:15:00 0.1227 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 09:45:00 0.1263 ↑ High
2026-01-20 12:45:00 0.1212 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 15:15:00 0.124 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-9.10%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.15%
Bars Since Swing High
24 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
12.38%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0177
14.22%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0090
7.35%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-17 21:00:00 0.1379 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 04:00:00 0.1419 ↑ High
2026-01-18 10:00:00 0.1382 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 14:00:00 0.1422 ↑ High
2026-01-18 19:00:00 0.1134 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 03:00:00 0.1319 ↑ High
2026-01-19 08:00:00 0.1281 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 12:00:00 0.1362 ↑ High
2026-01-19 15:00:00 0.1362 ↑ High
2026-01-20 12:00:00 0.1212 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
20 Jan 2026
15:28:43
20 Jan 2026
16:25:00
56 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1238 0.1245 0.1224 2 0.0971
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1238
  • Stop Loss: 0.1245
  • Take Profit: 0.1224

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1245 - 0.1238 = 0.00070000000000001

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1238 - 0.1224 = 0.0014

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0014 / 0.00070000000000001 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1413.5845 100 11418.2915 14.14
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00070000000000001

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00070000000000001 = 11428.57

Taille de position USD = 11428.57 x 0.1238 = 1414.86

Donc, tu peux acheter 11428.57 avec un stoploss a 0.1245

Avec un position size USD de 1414.86$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 11428.57 x 0.00070000000000001 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 11428.57 x 0.0014 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 11428.57
  • Taille de position USD 1414.86
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.13 % 15.99 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.57 % 7.99 $
PNL PNL %
15.99 $ 1.13
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.0808 % 14.29 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1224
            [stop_loss] => 0.1245
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 16:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.12205
            [stop_loss] => 0.1245
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 16:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1217
            [stop_loss] => 0.1245
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 17:25:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.12135
            [stop_loss] => 0.1245
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 17:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.121
            [stop_loss] => 0.1245
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 17:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.12065
            [stop_loss] => 0.1245
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 17:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1203
            [stop_loss] => 0.1245
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 17:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.11995
            [stop_loss] => 0.1245
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 17:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1196
            [stop_loss] => 0.1245
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 17:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.11925
            [stop_loss] => 0.1245
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 17:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1189
            [stop_loss] => 0.1245
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 17:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0022
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0001
            [rr_ratio] => 22
            [high] => 0.12390000
            [low] => 0.12160000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.78
            [mae_pct] => 0.08
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 22
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-20T15:28:43-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-20T17:28:43-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0054
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00080000000000001
            [rr_ratio] => 6.75
            [high] => 0.12460000
            [low] => 0.11840000
            [mfe_pct] => 4.36
            [mae_pct] => 0.65
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 6.75
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-20T15:28:43-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-20T22:28:43-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.12440000
            [high_after] => 0.12440000
            [low_before] => 0.12120000
            [low_after] => 0.11840000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)