Short Trade on POL 20 Jan 2026 at 15:48:13
Take profit at 0.13 (0.84 %) and Stop Loss at 0.1316 (0.38 %)
Short Trade on POL 20 Jan 2026 at 15:48:13
Take profit at 0.13 (0.84 %) and Stop Loss at 0.1316 (0.38 %)
Position size of 1985.6461 $
Take profit at 0.13 (0.84 %) and Stop Loss at 0.1316 (0.38 %)
That's a 2.2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.92 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.49 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.82 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : bear_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.73365 15m : 0.024169 1H : -0.102327 |
3 |
Indicators:
90134.4
-0.00368722
89802.1
0.73365
91131.5
-0.0145887
89802.1
0.024169
93134.4
-0.0357795
89802.1
-0.102327
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-16 20:00:00
[1] => 0.1465
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-17 06:00:00
[1] => 0.1493
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 06:00:00
[1] => 0.1412
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 11:00:00
[1] => 0.1452
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-18 19:00:00
[1] => 0.1256
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 08:00:00
[1] => 0.1338
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 14:00:00
[1] => 0.1374
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 18:00:00
[1] => 0.1347
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 21:00:00
[1] => 0.1371
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 13:00:00
[1] => 0.129
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.5951859956236
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.3953488372093
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 18
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 6.2790697674419
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 18:30:00
[1] => 0.137
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 20:00:00
[1] => 0.135
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-19 21:45:00
[1] => 0.1371
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 03:45:00
[1] => 0.1312
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 05:15:00
[1] => 0.1337
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 09:30:00
[1] => 0.1333
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 10:00:00
[1] => 0.1305
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 13:45:00
[1] => 0.129
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 15:15:00
[1] => 0.1311
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 15:45:00
[1] => 0.1311
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.22883295194508
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.3953488372093
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 12:45:00
[1] => 0.1291
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 13:10:00
[1] => 0.1304
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 13:45:00
[1] => 0.129
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 14:05:00
[1] => 0.1303
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 14:35:00
[1] => 0.1293
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 14:45:00
[1] => 0.13
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 15:05:00
[1] => 0.1293
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 15:25:00
[1] => 0.1311
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 15:35:00
[1] => 0.1311
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-20 15:45:00
[1] => 0.1311
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.22883295194508
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.076511094108637
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-20 12:45:00 | 0.1291 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 13:10:00 | 0.1304 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 13:45:00 | 0.129 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 14:05:00 | 0.1303 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 14:35:00 | 0.1293 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 14:45:00 | 0.13 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 15:05:00 | 0.1293 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 15:25:00 | 0.1311 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 15:35:00 | 0.1311 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 15:45:00 | 0.1311 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 18:30:00 | 0.137 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-19 20:00:00 | 0.135 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-19 21:45:00 | 0.1371 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 03:45:00 | 0.1312 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 05:15:00 | 0.1337 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 09:30:00 | 0.1333 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 10:00:00 | 0.1305 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 13:45:00 | 0.129 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-20 15:15:00 | 0.1311 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 15:45:00 | 0.1311 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-16 20:00:00 | 0.1465 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-17 06:00:00 | 0.1493 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-18 06:00:00 | 0.1412 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-18 11:00:00 | 0.1452 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-18 19:00:00 | 0.1256 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-19 08:00:00 | 0.1338 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-19 14:00:00 | 0.1374 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-19 18:00:00 | 0.1347 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-19 21:00:00 | 0.1371 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-20 13:00:00 | 0.129 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan 2026 15:48:13 |
20 Jan 2026 17:30:00 |
1 hour |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1311 | 0.1316 | 0.13 | 2.2 | 0.1093 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1316 - 0.1311 = 0.0005
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1311 - 0.13 = 0.0011
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0011 / 0.0005 = 2.2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1985.6461 | 100 | 15146.042 | 19.86 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0005 = 16000
Taille de position USD = 16000 x 0.1311 = 2097.6
Donc, tu peux acheter 16000 avec un stoploss a 0.1316
Avec un position size USD de 2097.6$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 16000 x 0.0005 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 16000 x 0.0011 = 17.6
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 17.6$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.84 % | 16.66 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.38 % | 7.57 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.66 $ | 0.84 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0763 % | 20.01 % | 3 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1301
[stop_loss] => 0.1316
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-01-20 16:30:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.12985
[stop_loss] => 0.1316
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-20 17:30:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1296
[stop_loss] => 0.1316
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2026-01-20 17:30:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.12935
[stop_loss] => 0.1316
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-20 17:30:00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1291
[stop_loss] => 0.1316
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2026-01-20 19:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.12885
[stop_loss] => 0.1316
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-20 19:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1286
[stop_loss] => 0.1316
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-20 19:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.12835
[stop_loss] => 0.1316
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-20 19:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1281
[stop_loss] => 0.1316
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2026-01-20 19:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.12785
[stop_loss] => 0.1316
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-20 19:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1276
[stop_loss] => 0.1316
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2026-01-20 19:00:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0019
[max_drawdown] => 0.00010000000000002
[rr_ratio] => 19
[high] => 0.13120000
[low] => 0.12920000
[mfe_pct] => 1.45
[mae_pct] => 0.08
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 19
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-01-20T15:48:13-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-20T17:48:13-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0019
[max_drawdown] => 0.0043
[rr_ratio] => 0.44
[high] => 0.13540000
[low] => 0.12920000
[mfe_pct] => 1.45
[mae_pct] => 3.28
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.44
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-01-20T15:48:13-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-20T22:48:13-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 0.13150000
[high_after] => 0.13540000
[low_before] => 0.12900000
[low_after] => 0.12920000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)