Short Trade on XMR 20 Jan 2026 at 17:45:38

Take profit at 506.6749 (2.36 %) and Stop Loss at 525.0576 (1.18 %)

Short Trade on XMR

The 20 Jan 2026 at 17:45:38

With 1.3056 XMR at 518.93$ per unit.

Position size of 677.5019 $

Take profit at 506.6749 (2.36 %) and Stop Loss at 525.0576 (1.18 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 120
ML Pullback Score: 10
Prediction Score: 5
Prediction 1 Probability
Strong Trade
0.77
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.45
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.56
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_medium_confirmed

rules_regime_5m : bear_low_confirmed

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_high

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.360639

15m : -0.232197

1H : -0.048689

3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.08
  4. atr: 4.085046314
Details
  1. score: 1.08
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 523.576
  4. ema21 : 549.874
  5. ema50 : 578.277
  6. ema100 : 595.136
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00887376
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0478267
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0491152
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.128049
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.980994
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.750572
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.425364
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.243487
  17. rsi : 0.340028
  18. adx : 0.486303
  19. kc_percentage : 0.0802556
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.134016
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.0728185
  22. volume_ema1 : 1408328.6545861
  23. volume_ema2 : 1312737.0127125
  24. chop : 31.8476
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 511.171
  29. ema21 : 514.739
  30. ema50 : 533.295
  31. ema100 : 558.484
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.015178
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00693132
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0347951
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.0708248
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.0039941
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.139006
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.213112
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.189499
  42. rsi : 0.506385
  43. adx : 0.410304
  44. kc_percentage : 0.64931
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0607673
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.414416
  47. volume_ema1 : 225342.57115243
  48. volume_ema2 : 384817.21650963
  49. chop : 56.619
  50. regime : bear_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 510.131
  54. ema21 : 509.022
  55. ema50 : 511.891
  56. ema100 : 520.016
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.0172468
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00218002
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00560629
  60. price_ema100_diff : -0.00209026
  61. all_emas_in_trend : False
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.00252523
  64. ema_slope_21 : -0.0269772
  65. ema_slope_50 : -0.0437966
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.0551137
  67. rsi : 0.645009
  68. adx : 0.277043
  69. kc_percentage : 1.07645
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0331576
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.0264932
  72. volume_ema1 : 114790.06365996
  73. volume_ema2 : 117913.98273199
  74. chop : 23.2044
  75. regime : bull_high
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    89785.8
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0137775
  81. 5m_price:
    88548.8
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.360639
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    90817.9
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0249857
  86. 15m_price:
    88548.8
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.232197
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    92960.1
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0474538
  91. 1H_price:
    88548.8
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.048689
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 03:00:00
                        [1] => 610.26
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 10:00:00
                        [1] => 611.07
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 23:00:00
                        [1] => 556.53
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 04:00:00
                        [1] => 607.66
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 08:00:00
                        [1] => 574.34
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 19:00:00
                        [1] => 534.58
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 04:00:00
                        [1] => 649.67
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 13:00:00
                        [1] => 601.48
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 17:00:00
                        [1] => 639.23
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 17:00:00
                        [1] => 495.61
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -18.622405081113
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.9595448033736
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 24
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 28.978430620851
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 1
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 03:00:00
                        [1] => 576.8
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 04:00:00
                        [1] => 595.23
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 06:00:00
                        [1] => 560.4
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 07:00:00
                        [1] => 574.32
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 08:45:00
                        [1] => 540.23
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 09:30:00
                        [1] => 557.87
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 14:15:00
                        [1] => 498.06
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 15:15:00
                        [1] => 517.6
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 17:15:00
                        [1] => 495.61
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 17:45:00
                        [1] => 527.4
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.3670838073568
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.9595448033736
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 6.4143177094893
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 11:45:00
                        [1] => 525.47
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 12:35:00
                        [1] => 521.36
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 13:35:00
                        [1] => 501.34
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 14:00:00
                        [1] => 515.43
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 14:15:00
                        [1] => 498.06
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 14:40:00
                        [1] => 508.92
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 15:20:00
                        [1] => 517.6
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 16:55:00
                        [1] => 500.22
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 17:25:00
                        [1] => 495.61
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 17:45:00
                        [1] => 527.4
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.3670838073568
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.9595448033736
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 6.4143177094893
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.37%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.96%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
6.41%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
2.3424
0.45%
TP to Pivot Distance
11.0649
2.18%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-20 11:45:00 525.47 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 12:35:00 521.36 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 13:35:00 501.34 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 14:00:00 515.43 ↑ High
2026-01-20 14:15:00 498.06 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 14:40:00 508.92 ↑ High
2026-01-20 15:20:00 517.6 ↑ High
2026-01-20 16:55:00 500.22 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 17:25:00 495.61 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 17:45:00 527.4 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.37%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.96%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
6.41%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
70.1724
13.36%
TP to Pivot Distance
11.0649
2.18%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-20 03:00:00 576.8 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 04:00:00 595.23 ↑ High
2026-01-20 06:00:00 560.4 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 07:00:00 574.32 ↑ High
2026-01-20 08:45:00 540.23 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 09:30:00 557.87 ↑ High
2026-01-20 14:15:00 498.06 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 15:15:00 517.6 ↑ High
2026-01-20 17:15:00 495.61 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 17:45:00 527.4 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-18.62%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.96%
Bars Since Swing High
24 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
28.98%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
1

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
124.6124
23.73%
TP to Pivot Distance
11.0649
2.18%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-17 03:00:00 610.26 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 10:00:00 611.07 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 23:00:00 556.53 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 04:00:00 607.66 ↑ High
2026-01-18 08:00:00 574.34 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 19:00:00 534.58 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 04:00:00 649.67 ↑ High
2026-01-19 13:00:00 601.48 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 17:00:00 639.23 ↑ High
2026-01-20 17:00:00 495.61 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
20 Jan 2026
17:45:38
20 Jan 2026
18:30:00
44 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
518.93 525.0576 506.6749 2 347.81
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 518.93
  • Stop Loss: 525.0576
  • Take Profit: 506.6749

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 525.0576 - 518.93 = 6.1276

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 518.93 - 506.6749 = 12.2551

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 12.2551 / 6.1276 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
677.5019 100 1.3056 6.78
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 6.1276

Taille de position = 8 / 6.1276 = 1.31

Taille de position USD = 1.31 x 518.93 = 679.8

Donc, tu peux acheter 1.31 avec un stoploss a 525.0576

Avec un position size USD de 679.8$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1.31 x 6.1276 = 8.03

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.03$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1.31 x 12.2551 = 16.05

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.05$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 1.31
  • Taille de position USD 679.8
  • Perte potentielle 8.03
  • Gain potentiel 16.05
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.36 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.18 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 2.36
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.3218 % 27.25 % 3

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 506.6748
            [stop_loss] => 525.0576
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 18:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 503.611
            [stop_loss] => 525.0576
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 18:55:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 500.5472
            [stop_loss] => 525.0576
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 19:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 497.4834
            [stop_loss] => 525.0576
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 20:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 494.4196
            [stop_loss] => 525.0576
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 20:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 491.3558
            [stop_loss] => 525.0576
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 20:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 488.292
            [stop_loss] => 525.0576
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 20:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 485.2282
            [stop_loss] => 525.0576
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 20:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 482.1644
            [stop_loss] => 525.0576
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 20:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 18.55
            [max_drawdown] => 1.6700000000001
            [rr_ratio] => 11.11
            [high] => 520.60000000
            [low] => 500.38000000
            [mfe_pct] => 3.57
            [mae_pct] => 0.32
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 11.11
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-20T17:45:38-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-20T19:45:38-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 37.15
            [max_drawdown] => 1.6700000000001
            [rr_ratio] => 22.25
            [high] => 520.60000000
            [low] => 481.78000000
            [mfe_pct] => 7.16
            [mae_pct] => 0.32
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 22.25
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-20T17:45:38-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-21T00:45:38-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 527.40000000
            [high_after] => 520.60000000
            [low_before] => 495.61000000
            [low_after] => 481.78000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)