Short Trade on AAVE 20 Jan 2026 at 19:53:09

Take profit at 153.6078 (0.96 %) and Stop Loss at 155.8311 (0.48 %)

Short Trade on AAVE

The 20 Jan 2026 at 19:53:09

With 10.7947 AAVE at 155.09$ per unit.

Position size of 1674.1499 $

Take profit at 153.6078 (0.96 %) and Stop Loss at 155.8311 (0.48 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.09
Prediction Score: 4
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.84
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.53
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.81
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.855554

15m : 0.215261

1H : -0.082853

3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.06
  4. atr: 0.4940696653
Details
  1. score: 1.06
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 154.984
  4. ema21 : 157.139
  5. ema50 : 161.224
  6. ema100 : 165.491
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.000679473
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0137121
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0253383
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0628509
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.286635
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.252026
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.19339
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.139934
  17. rsi : 0.361118
  18. adx : 0.552253
  19. kc_percentage : 0.244308
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0473768
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.0445249
  22. volume_ema1 : 491780.18599953
  23. volume_ema2 : 470817.07818311
  24. chop : 37.0444
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 154.065
  29. ema21 : 154.295
  30. ema50 : 155.62
  31. ema100 : 157.674
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.00664782
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00148956
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00851436
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.0163925
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : -0.0359155
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.0442903
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0568558
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.054037
  42. rsi : 0.542854
  43. adx : 0.352999
  44. kc_percentage : 0.744276
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0218469
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.432524
  47. volume_ema1 : 70929.790318798
  48. volume_ema2 : 124991.86351987
  49. chop : 47.0613
  50. regime : bear_medium
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 154.299
  54. ema21 : 153.974
  55. ema50 : 154.068
  56. ema100 : 154.409
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00512399
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00211276
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00061577
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.00440668
  61. all_emas_in_trend : False
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.0495698
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0179432
  65. ema_slope_50 : -0.00154605
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.00621069
  67. rsi : 0.651268
  68. adx : 0.315723
  69. kc_percentage : 1.0563
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0128334
  71. volume_ema_diff : 0.412992
  72. volume_ema1 : 58783.676088159
  73. volume_ema2 : 41602.261614017
  74. chop : 41.1664
  75. regime : range_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    89222.7
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00395109
  81. 5m_price:
    88870.2
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.855554
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    90452.7
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0173464
  86. 15m_price:
    88883.7
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.215261
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    92856.1
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0429262
  91. 1H_price:
    88870.2
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.082853
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 03:00:00
                        [1] => 173.63
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 11:00:00
                        [1] => 176.51
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 20:00:00
                        [1] => 171.8
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 10:00:00
                        [1] => 172.07
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 13:00:00
                        [1] => 177.18
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 19:00:00
                        [1] => 156.47
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 01:00:00
                        [1] => 161.29
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 16:00:00
                        [1] => 166.08
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 18:00:00
                        [1] => 162.68
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 17:00:00
                        [1] => 151.58
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -6.5992292870906
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.335400448608
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 27
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 7.3228658134318
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 22:45:00
                        [1] => 164.14
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 01:15:00
                        [1] => 160.94
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 04:30:00
                        [1] => 158.83
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 06:00:00
                        [1] => 160.25
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 09:30:00
                        [1] => 159.13
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 10:00:00
                        [1] => 155.24
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 12:45:00
                        [1] => 153.6
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 15:15:00
                        [1] => 155.76
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 17:30:00
                        [1] => 151.58
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 19:45:00
                        [1] => 155.2
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.051546391752567
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.335400448608
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.388177859876
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 14:05:00
                        [1] => 154.9
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 14:30:00
                        [1] => 153.93
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 15:25:00
                        [1] => 155.76
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 16:45:00
                        [1] => 154.14
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 17:15:00
                        [1] => 154.84
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 17:30:00
                        [1] => 151.58
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 18:00:00
                        [1] => 153.9
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 18:50:00
                        [1] => 152.91
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 19:00:00
                        [1] => 153.95
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 19:50:00
                        [1] => 155.2
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.051546391752567
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.445294617749
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 12
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.8119519324456
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.05%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.45%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
12 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.81%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0711
0.05%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.0278
1.32%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-20 14:05:00 154.9 ↑ High
2026-01-20 14:30:00 153.93 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 15:25:00 155.76 ↑ High
2026-01-20 16:45:00 154.14 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 17:15:00 154.84 ↑ High
2026-01-20 17:30:00 151.58 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 18:00:00 153.9 ↑ High
2026-01-20 18:50:00 152.91 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 19:00:00 153.95 ↑ High
2026-01-20 19:50:00 155.2 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.05%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.34%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
9 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.39%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
8.3089
5.33%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.0278
1.32%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-19 22:45:00 164.14 ↑ High
2026-01-20 01:15:00 160.94 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 04:30:00 158.83 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 06:00:00 160.25 ↑ High
2026-01-20 09:30:00 159.13 ↑ High
2026-01-20 10:00:00 155.24 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 12:45:00 153.6 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 15:15:00 155.76 ↑ High
2026-01-20 17:30:00 151.58 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 19:45:00 155.2 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-6.60%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.34%
Bars Since Swing High
27 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
7.32%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
21.3489
13.70%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.0278
1.32%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-17 03:00:00 173.63 ↓ Low
2026-01-17 11:00:00 176.51 ↑ High
2026-01-17 20:00:00 171.8 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 10:00:00 172.07 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 13:00:00 177.18 ↑ High
2026-01-18 19:00:00 156.47 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 01:00:00 161.29 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 16:00:00 166.08 ↑ High
2026-01-19 18:00:00 162.68 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 17:00:00 151.58 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
20 Jan 2026
19:53:09
20 Jan 2026
21:00:00
1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
155.09 155.8311 153.6078 2 114.21
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 155.09
  • Stop Loss: 155.8311
  • Take Profit: 153.6078

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 155.8311 - 155.09 = 0.74109999999999

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 155.09 - 153.6078 = 1.4822

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.4822 / 0.74109999999999 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1674.1499 100 10.7947 16.74
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.74109999999999

Taille de position = 8 / 0.74109999999999 = 10.79

Taille de position USD = 10.79 x 155.09 = 1673.42

Donc, tu peux acheter 10.79 avec un stoploss a 155.8311

Avec un position size USD de 1673.42$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 10.79 x 0.74109999999999 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 10.79 x 1.4822 = 15.99

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 10.79
  • Taille de position USD 1673.42
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 15.99
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.96 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.48 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.48
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.5803 % 121.43 % 4

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 153.6078
            [entry_price] => 155.09
            [stop_loss] => 155.90521
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 21:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 153.6078
            [entry_price] => 155.09
            [stop_loss] => 155.97932
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 21:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 153.6078
            [entry_price] => 155.09
            [stop_loss] => 156.05343
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 21:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 153.6078
            [entry_price] => 155.09
            [stop_loss] => 156.20165
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 21:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.099999999999994
            [max_drawdown] => 1.17
            [rr_ratio] => 0.09
            [high] => 156.26000000
            [low] => 154.99000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.06
            [mae_pct] => 0.75
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.09
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-20T19:53:09-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-20T21:53:09-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.099999999999994
            [max_drawdown] => 3.02
            [rr_ratio] => 0.03
            [high] => 158.11000000
            [low] => 154.99000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.06
            [mae_pct] => 1.95
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.03
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-20T19:53:09-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-21T02:53:09-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 155.61000000
            [high_after] => 158.11000000
            [low_before] => 151.58000000
            [low_after] => 154.99000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)