Short Trade on AVAX 20 Jan 2026 at 19:53:57

Take profit at 12.1222 (0.91 %) and Stop Loss at 12.2884 (0.45 %)

Short Trade on AVAX

The 20 Jan 2026 at 19:53:57

With 144.4544 AVAX at 12.233$ per unit.

Position size of 1767.111 $

Take profit at 12.1222 (0.91 %) and Stop Loss at 12.2884 (0.45 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.14
Prediction Score: 4
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.96
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.67
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.79
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_medium

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.822384

15m : 0.14893

1H : -0.049755

3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.09
  4. atr: 0.0369205265
Details
  1. score: 1.09
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 12.2108
  4. ema21 : 12.3406
  5. ema50 : 12.616
  6. ema100 : 12.9214
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.0018124
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0105169
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0218315
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0532772
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.214288
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.191121
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.159529
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.120755
  17. rsi : 0.407714
  18. adx : 0.483598
  19. kc_percentage : 0.339122
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0493432
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.112184
  22. volume_ema1 : 733173.96651587
  23. volume_ema2 : 825818.33684009
  24. chop : 43.4861
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 12.1533
  29. ema21 : 12.1669
  30. ema50 : 12.2475
  31. ema100 : 12.3667
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.00655116
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00111656
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00658121
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.0108169
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : -0.0346135
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.0360549
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0445362
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0411461
  42. rsi : 0.556848
  43. adx : 0.315129
  44. kc_percentage : 0.751509
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0221271
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.536994
  47. volume_ema1 : 95914.943422133
  48. volume_ema2 : 207157.15461044
  49. chop : 46.01
  50. regime : range_medium
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 12.1699
  54. ema21 : 12.1458
  55. ema50 : 12.1514
  56. ema100 : 12.1744
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00518416
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00198003
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.000462099
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.00481319
  61. all_emas_in_trend : False
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.0419788
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0126529
  65. ema_slope_50 : -0.00251651
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.00594716
  67. rsi : 0.653226
  68. adx : 0.344258
  69. kc_percentage : 1.08818
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0120289
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.381243
  72. volume_ema1 : 37176.86905104
  73. volume_ema2 : 60083.169379819
  74. chop : 37.6709
  75. regime : range_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    89223.4
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00353359
  81. 5m_price:
    88908.2
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.822384
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    90452.7
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0173464
  86. 15m_price:
    88883.7
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.14893
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    92856.9
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0425248
  91. 1H_price:
    88908.2
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.049755
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-17 09:00:00
                        [1] => 13.966
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 10:00:00
                        [1] => 13.463
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 17:00:00
                        [1] => 13.754
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 19:00:00
                        [1] => 12.064
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 03:00:00
                        [1] => 12.824
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 12:00:00
                        [1] => 12.613
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 14:00:00
                        [1] => 12.849
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 18:00:00
                        [1] => 12.615
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 00:00:00
                        [1] => 12.757
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 17:00:00
                        [1] => 11.948
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.0997099631575
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.3937060595916
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 19
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 6.7710077000335
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 1
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 03:30:00
                        [1] => 12.393
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 05:15:00
                        [1] => 12.637
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 08:30:00
                        [1] => 12.317
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 09:30:00
                        [1] => 12.543
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 10:00:00
                        [1] => 12.297
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 12:45:00
                        [1] => 12.053
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 15:45:00
                        [1] => 12.291
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 17:30:00
                        [1] => 11.948
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 19:15:00
                        [1] => 12.052
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 19:45:00
                        [1] => 12.239
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.040853010866907
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.5101228011948
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.5516096913375
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 14:00:00
                        [1] => 12.184
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 14:30:00
                        [1] => 12.1
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 15:45:00
                        [1] => 12.291
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 16:30:00
                        [1] => 12.167
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 17:15:00
                        [1] => 12.228
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 17:30:00
                        [1] => 11.948
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 18:25:00
                        [1] => 12.067
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 18:40:00
                        [1] => 12.134
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 19:15:00
                        [1] => 12.052
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 19:50:00
                        [1] => 12.239
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.040853010866907
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.5101228011948
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.5516096913375
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.04%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.51%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.55%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0026
0.02%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.1742
1.44%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-20 14:00:00 12.184 ↑ High
2026-01-20 14:30:00 12.1 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 15:45:00 12.291 ↑ High
2026-01-20 16:30:00 12.167 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 17:15:00 12.228 ↑ High
2026-01-20 17:30:00 11.948 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 18:25:00 12.067 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 18:40:00 12.134 ↑ High
2026-01-20 19:15:00 12.052 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 19:50:00 12.239 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.04%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.51%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.55%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.3486
2.84%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.1742
1.44%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-20 03:30:00 12.393 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 05:15:00 12.637 ↑ High
2026-01-20 08:30:00 12.317 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 09:30:00 12.543 ↑ High
2026-01-20 10:00:00 12.297 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 12:45:00 12.053 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 15:45:00 12.291 ↑ High
2026-01-20 17:30:00 11.948 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 19:15:00 12.052 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 19:45:00 12.239 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-4.10%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.39%
Bars Since Swing High
19 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
6.77%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
1

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
1.6776
13.65%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.1742
1.44%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-17 09:00:00 13.966 ↑ High
2026-01-18 10:00:00 13.463 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 17:00:00 13.754 ↑ High
2026-01-18 19:00:00 12.064 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 03:00:00 12.824 ↑ High
2026-01-19 12:00:00 12.613 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 14:00:00 12.849 ↑ High
2026-01-19 18:00:00 12.615 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 00:00:00 12.757 ↑ High
2026-01-20 17:00:00 11.948 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
20 Jan 2026
19:53:57
20 Jan 2026
20:10:00
16 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
12.233 12.2884 12.1222 2 8.955
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 12.233
  • Stop Loss: 12.2884
  • Take Profit: 12.1222

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 12.2884 - 12.233 = 0.055399999999999

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 12.233 - 12.1222 = 0.1108

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1108 / 0.055399999999999 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1767.111 100 144.4544 17.67
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.055399999999999

Taille de position = 8 / 0.055399999999999 = 144.4

Taille de position USD = 144.4 x 12.233 = 1766.45

Donc, tu peux acheter 144.4 avec un stoploss a 12.2884

Avec un position size USD de 1766.45$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 144.4 x 0.055399999999999 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 144.4 x 0.1108 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 144.4
  • Taille de position USD 1766.45
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.91 % 16.01 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.45 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.45
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.4905 % 108.3 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.1222
            [entry_price] => 12.233
            [stop_loss] => 12.29394
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 20:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.1222
            [entry_price] => 12.233
            [stop_loss] => 12.29948
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 20:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.1222
            [entry_price] => 12.233
            [stop_loss] => 12.30502
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 21:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.1222
            [entry_price] => 12.233
            [stop_loss] => 12.3161
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-20 21:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0030000000000001
            [max_drawdown] => 0.09
            [rr_ratio] => 0.03
            [high] => 12.32300000
            [low] => 12.23000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.02
            [mae_pct] => 0.74
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.03
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-20T19:53:57-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-20T21:53:57-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.028
            [max_drawdown] => 0.145
            [rr_ratio] => 0.19
            [high] => 12.37800000
            [low] => 12.20500000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.23
            [mae_pct] => 1.19
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.19
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-20T19:53:57-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-21T02:53:57-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 12.27000000
            [high_after] => 12.37800000
            [low_before] => 11.94800000
            [low_after] => 12.23000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)