Short Trade on TAO 20 Jan 2026 at 19:57:18

Take profit at 236.7159 (1.08 %) and Stop Loss at 240.607 (0.54 %)

Short Trade on TAO

The 20 Jan 2026 at 19:57:18

With 6.1679 TAO at 239.31$ per unit.

Position size of 1476.0481 $

Take profit at 236.7159 (1.08 %) and Stop Loss at 240.607 (0.54 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 2.27
Prediction Score: 4
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.96
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.73
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.93
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_medium

5m_regime : bull_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.773453

15m : 0.089417

1H : -0.037596

3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.25
  4. atr: 0.864687282
Details
  1. score: 1.25
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 236.941
  4. ema21 : 239.917
  5. ema50 : 247.383
  6. ema100 : 256.218
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00999824
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0124066
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0301776
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0659915
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.223667
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.242603
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.216842
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.168685
  17. rsi : 0.44748
  18. adx : 0.437221
  19. kc_percentage : 0.476243
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0589691
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.102678
  22. volume_ema1 : 1028779.4076337
  23. volume_ema2 : 932981.96278692
  24. chop : 51.2193
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 236.568
  29. ema21 : 236.342
  30. ema50 : 237.763
  31. ema100 : 240.889
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.0115869
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000957062
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0059765
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.0065572
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.000899015
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.0175646
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0390329
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0465758
  42. rsi : 0.606441
  43. adx : 0.206734
  44. kc_percentage : 0.957848
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0272284
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.0573166
  47. volume_ema1 : 235507.71188444
  48. volume_ema2 : 249826.94469245
  49. chop : 43.6346
  50. regime : range_medium
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 237.875
  54. ema21 : 236.688
  55. ema50 : 236.108
  56. ema100 : 235.835
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00603145
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00501259
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00245583
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.0147326
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.128113
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0684233
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.0263152
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.0132262
  67. rsi : 0.728539
  68. adx : 0.287824
  69. kc_percentage : 1.24806
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0143333
  71. volume_ema_diff : 0.182221
  72. volume_ema1 : 105823.14236481
  73. volume_ema2 : 89512.116313277
  74. chop : 25.1963
  75. regime : bull_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    89170.2
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00330007
  81. 5m_price:
    88876
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.773453
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    90452.7
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0173464
  86. 15m_price:
    88883.7
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.089417
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    92856.2
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.042865
  91. 1H_price:
    88876
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.037596
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 01:00:00
                        [1] => 273.87
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 09:00:00
                        [1] => 274.96
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 12:00:00
                        [1] => 269.35
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 17:00:00
                        [1] => 275.54
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-18 19:00:00
                        [1] => 223.75
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 01:00:00
                        [1] => 245.46
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-19 14:00:00
                        [1] => 256.78
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 11:00:00
                        [1] => 234.11
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 17:00:00
                        [1] => 231.8
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 19:00:00
                        [1] => 239.86
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.12507295922622
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.3477135461605
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.4771354616048
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 00:00:00
                        [1] => 250.56
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 01:15:00
                        [1] => 243.46
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 03:30:00
                        [1] => 239.39
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 05:15:00
                        [1] => 244.08
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 09:30:00
                        [1] => 243.23
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 11:45:00
                        [1] => 234.11
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 13:30:00
                        [1] => 234.15
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 15:15:00
                        [1] => 239.39
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 17:30:00
                        [1] => 231.8
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 19:45:00
                        [1] => 239.86
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.12507295922622
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.3477135461605
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.4771354616048
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 14:30:00
                        [1] => 234.59
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 15:25:00
                        [1] => 239.39
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 15:45:00
                        [1] => 236.41
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 16:10:00
                        [1] => 237.76
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 16:30:00
                        [1] => 235.54
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 17:15:00
                        [1] => 237.13
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 17:30:00
                        [1] => 231.8
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 18:05:00
                        [1] => 233.55
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 18:50:00
                        [1] => 233.7
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-20 19:50:00
                        [1] => 239.86
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.12507295922622
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.5074882327771
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 13
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.6358579375268
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.13%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.51%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
13 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.64%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.7470
0.31%
TP to Pivot Distance
4.9159
2.08%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-20 14:30:00 234.59 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 15:25:00 239.39 ↑ High
2026-01-20 15:45:00 236.41 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 16:10:00 237.76 ↑ High
2026-01-20 16:30:00 235.54 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 17:15:00 237.13 ↑ High
2026-01-20 17:30:00 231.8 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 18:05:00 233.55 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 18:50:00 233.7 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 19:50:00 239.86 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.13%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.35%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
9 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.48%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
9.9530
4.14%
TP to Pivot Distance
4.9159
2.08%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-20 00:00:00 250.56 ↑ High
2026-01-20 01:15:00 243.46 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 03:30:00 239.39 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 05:15:00 244.08 ↑ High
2026-01-20 09:30:00 243.23 ↑ High
2026-01-20 11:45:00 234.11 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 13:30:00 234.15 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 15:15:00 239.39 ↑ High
2026-01-20 17:30:00 231.8 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 19:45:00 239.86 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.13%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.35%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.48%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
34.9330
14.52%
TP to Pivot Distance
12.9659
5.48%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-18 01:00:00 273.87 ↑ High
2026-01-18 09:00:00 274.96 ↑ High
2026-01-18 12:00:00 269.35 ↓ Low
2026-01-18 17:00:00 275.54 ↑ High
2026-01-18 19:00:00 223.75 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 01:00:00 245.46 ↓ Low
2026-01-19 14:00:00 256.78 ↑ High
2026-01-20 11:00:00 234.11 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 17:00:00 231.8 ↓ Low
2026-01-20 19:00:00 239.86 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
20 Jan 2026
19:57:18
21 Jan 2026
01:15:00
5 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
239.31 240.607 236.7159 2 181.7
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 239.31
  • Stop Loss: 240.607
  • Take Profit: 236.7159

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 240.607 - 239.31 = 1.297

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 239.31 - 236.7159 = 2.5941

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.5941 / 1.297 = 2.0001

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1476.0481 100 6.1679 14.76
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 1.297

Taille de position = 8 / 1.297 = 6.17

Taille de position USD = 6.17 x 239.31 = 1476.54

Donc, tu peux acheter 6.17 avec un stoploss a 240.607

Avec un position size USD de 1476.54$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 6.17 x 1.297 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 6.17 x 2.5941 = 16.01

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 6.17
  • Taille de position USD 1476.54
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16.01
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0001

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.08 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.54 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.54
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.5474 % 101 % 7

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 2.33
            [max_drawdown] => 1.07
            [rr_ratio] => 2.18
            [high] => 240.38000000
            [low] => 236.98000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.97
            [mae_pct] => 0.45
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.18
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-20T19:57:18-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-20T21:57:18-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 2.33
            [max_drawdown] => 2.64
            [rr_ratio] => 0.88
            [high] => 241.95000000
            [low] => 236.98000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.97
            [mae_pct] => 1.1
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.88
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-20T19:57:18-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-21T02:57:18-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 239.86000000
            [high_after] => 240.67000000
            [low_before] => 231.80000000
            [low_after] => 236.98000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)